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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10
ParisParis
3–3
FT
Olympique LyonnaisLYO

Momentum

– ParisLYO –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Capacity
15,097
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
18,445

Teams

Coaches
Stéphane Gilli · Marinho Nascimento
Position
12 · 4
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Jeremy Stinat

Where to watch · 196

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Paris

LDWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 7.37–6.13 · xPts 7.76

  • L H Nantes 1–2 xG 1.07–0.85 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 1–2 xG 0.99–1.72 FRA L1
  • W H Lorient 2–0 xG 1.49–0.72 FRA L1
  • D A Nice 1–1 xG 2.1–0.87 FRA L1
  • L H Strasbourg 2–3 xG 1.72–1.96 FRA L1

Olympique Lyonnais

WLLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 11.11–4.79 · xPts 10.34

  • W H Strasbourg 2–1 xG 1.57–0.62 FRA L1
  • W H Basel 2–0 xG 1.89–1.04 UEFA EL
  • L A Nice 2–3 xG 3.69–1.26 FRA L1
  • L H Toulouse 1–2 xG 1.04–1.4 FRA L1
  • W H Salzburg 2–0 xG 2.92–0.48 UEFA EL

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Paris 03 draws0 Olympique Lyonnais

Goals 4–4 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Paris 03 draws0 Olympique Lyonnais

Goals 4–4 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Paris 03 draws0 Olympique Lyonnais

Goals 4–4 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • D Paris 0–0 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Lyonnais 1–1 Paris FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Paris 3–3 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricParis all · 34Paris at home · 17Olympique Lyonnais all · 34Olympique Lyonnais away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.471.761.35
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 618 / 6 / 106 / 5 / 6
Goals for / match1.381.651.561.35
Goals against / match1.471.591.181.29
Clean sheets24%24%44%41%
Failed to score26%29%18%29%
Both teams scored62%53%50%53%
Over 2.556%65%56%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.321.531.541.29
xG against / match1.621.601.391.53
xG difference-0.30-0.070.15-0.24
Finishing vs xG0.060.120.020.06
xPts / match1.251.391.471.24
Points vs xPts0.040.080.300.12
Game state
Scored first41%35%62%53%
PPG when scoring first2.142.672.332.11
PPG when conceding first0.630.800.780.00
Came back from behind33%40%23%0%
Leads held69%88%78%67%
Minutes leading23%25%36%38%
Minutes level49%40%50%45%
Minutes trailing28%34%14%17%
First goal (min)41413727
First goal conceded (min)40324646
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%54%49%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%62%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.590.260.24
Late goals against0.380.350.440.59
Style
Possession50%52%55%53%
Shots11.713.512.311.0
On target4.04.54.74.6
Shot conversion12%12%13%12%
Shots inside box67%69%68%67%
Big chances created2.42.82.72.3
Corners4.45.55.95.2
xG from set plays26%30%26%27%
Goals from headers4%7%17%22%
Pressure index10.512.714.511.2
Dominant minutes46.054.553.448.8
Pass accuracy84%84%85%84%
Fouls10.610.813.012.7
Cards2.352.822.152.47

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris

0–15'73
16–30'99
31–45'59
46–60'510
61–75'76
76–90'1413

Olympique Lyonnais

0–15'63
16–30'93
31–45'129
46–60'105
61–75'75
76–90'915

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)-0.364
Late push (76+, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.062
When level-0.154
10 min after scoring-0.242

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.042
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.082
v bottom-tier opponents-0.162
As favourite-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.222
Conceded late (76+)-0.194

Ahead vs level +0.09

Olympique Lyonnais · 8 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.42

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.028
Early press (0-15, level)-0.118
Late push (76+, level)-0.353
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.332

Game state

When ahead+0.155
When level-0.128
When behind-0.052
10 min after conceding-0.145
10 min after scoring+0.427

Situations

At home+0.094
Away-0.134
4+ days rest-0.017

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.032
v mid-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents+0.102
As favourite+0.094
Evenly matched-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.008
Conceded when ahead-0.115
Conceded late (76+)-0.327

Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.07

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 29%1.51.92.01.421.79
5-4-18 24%1.00.750.881.041.42
4-2-3-17 21%1.431.571.01.341.09
4-1-4-13 9%2.02.671.671.962.36
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.430.83

Olympique Lyonnais

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.351.411.291.621.38
4-3-37 21%2.571.290.711.251.15
4-3-1-24 12%1.51.752.251.461.94
3-4-2-13 9%2.01.670.331.611.37
4-1-4-12 6%2.01.50.51.571.37

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 35%3.5Draw 27% P 28%2.55Away 37% P 37%

Double Chance

1.5Paris FC or Draw 32% P 31%1.28Paris FC or Lyon 37% P 36%1.5Draw or Lyon 32% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 61%2.25No 41% P 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%36%35%-0.6
Draw28%28%28%+0.2
Away37%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes61%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Jeremy Stinat

Career
134 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.1 (3.85 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
25.3 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.14.06+0.0160
Fouls / match24.324.3+0.08
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.05 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.36-0.6020
Time added7.26.7+0.4472
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-18 40 290 1'8
2025-09-14 61 221 23'11
2025-08-31 · Paris 21 121 45'9
2025-08-23 41 250 34'10
2025-05-10 20 180 45'12
2025-05-04 · Olympique Lyonnais 50 200 13'7
2025-04-20 20 180 56'6
2025-03-29 20 211 26'6
2025-03-02 60 220 45'7
2025-02-22 41 221 38'8