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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10
ToulouseToulouse
2–2
FT
RennesRennes

Momentum

– ToulouseRennes –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Capacity
33,150
Attendance
25,484

Teams

Coaches
Carles Martínez Novell · Habib Beye
Position
9 · 11
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Clément Turpin

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.3° (feels 14.8°)
Wind
6.0
Humidity
71%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Toulouse

LDWWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 9.63–6.17 · xPts 9.12

  • L A Monaco 0–1 xG 0.86–2.93 FRA L1
  • W H Metz 4–0 xG 2.8–0.18 FRA L1
  • W A Olympique Lyonnais 2–1 xG 1.4–1.04 FRA L1
  • D H Nantes 2–2 xG 2.27–1.45 FRA L1
  • L A Auxerre 0–1 xG 2.3–0.58 FRA L1

Rennes

DDDDL 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 7.28–6.7 · xPts 7.33

  • L H Nice 1–2 xG 1.75–0.42 FRA L1
  • D H Auxerre 2–2 xG 2.09–1.27 FRA L1
  • D A Le Havre 2–2 xG 0.87–1.73 FRA L1
  • D H Lens 0–0 xG 1.26–1.34 FRA L1
  • D A Nantes 2–2 xG 1.32–1.93 FRA L1

All meetings · 38 matches since 2005

Toulouse 129 draws17 Rennes

Goals 46–59 · 2.76 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Toulouse 42 draws4 Rennes

Goals 14–13 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Toulouse 31 draws1 Rennes

Goals 8–5 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Rennes 1–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Toulouse 2–2 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 2–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 0–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 1–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Toulouse 0–0 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 3–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 2–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Toulouse 0–2 Rennes neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 3–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricToulouse all · 33Toulouse at home · 17Rennes all · 34Rennes away · 17
Results
Matches33173417
Points per game1.331.411.741.47
W / D / L12 / 8 / 136 / 6 / 517 / 8 / 97 / 4 / 6
Goals for / match1.421.471.741.71
Goals against / match1.391.411.471.94
Clean sheets27%35%29%35%
Failed to score30%35%18%18%
Both teams scored48%41%59%47%
Over 2.554%53%71%76%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.381.631.561.40
xG against / match1.261.151.541.73
xG difference0.120.480.02-0.33
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.160.180.30
xPts / match1.471.681.431.20
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.270.310.27
Game state
Scored first39%35%56%71%
PPG when scoring first2.383.002.261.83
PPG when conceding first0.610.441.080.60
Came back from behind38%44%40%14%
Leads held80%100%71%54%
Minutes leading24%24%36%42%
Minutes level45%43%41%35%
Minutes trailing31%33%23%23%
First goal (min)41423731
First goal conceded (min)40354037
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%72%54%45%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%54%62%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.480.590.350.18
Late goals against0.300.240.290.41
Style
Possession42%43%54%52%
Shots12.814.714.112.5
On target4.34.85.04.5
Shot conversion11%10%12%14%
Shots inside box65%68%62%65%
Big chances created1.92.12.42.0
Corners4.55.16.05.5
xG from set plays38%38%29%30%
Goals from headers15%8%19%7%
Pressure index8.69.514.112.7
Dominant minutes38.240.851.951.4
Pass accuracy80%82%84%84%
Fouls14.413.912.311.8
Cards2.582.181.822.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Toulouse

0–15'95
16–30'49
31–45'78
46–60'58
61–75'66
76–90'1610

Rennes

0–15'78
16–30'151
31–45'510
46–60'1211
61–75'810
76–90'1210

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Toulouse · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when level +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)+0.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.182

Game state

When level+0.354
When behind+0.033
10 min after conceding-0.264
10 min after scoring+0.392

Situations

At home+0.422
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.422
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.063

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.044
Conceded late (76+)+0.104

Ahead vs level -0.73 · Behind vs level -0.32

Rennes · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: when level +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)+0.245
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.014
When level+0.555
10 min after conceding-0.423
10 min after scoring-0.024

Situations

At home-0.123
Away+0.832
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.252
v bottom-tier opponents+0.142
As favourite+0.444

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.105
Conceded when ahead+0.174
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.54

Toulouse

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 70%1.01.041.391.251.2
3-4-39 27%2.332.220.891.611.24
5-4-11 3%0.03.06.02.362.75

Rennes

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 53%1.51.561.721.41.61
4-4-26 18%2.02.331.832.01.29
4-3-35 15%2.01.60.61.471.07
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.00.51.352.23
4-1-4-11 3%0.01.03.02.532.87

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 49% P 48%3.6Draw 26% P 27%3.8Away 25% P 25%

Double Chance

1.33Toulouse or Draw 35% P 38%1.28Toulouse or Rennes 37% P 36%1.66Draw or Rennes 28% P 26%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 56%2.05No 45% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 31%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home48%49%47%-1.9
Draw27%28%29%+1.7
Away25%24%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Clément Turpin

Career
413 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.74 (3.47 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.494.06-1.2412
Fouls / match23.724.3-0.25
Fouls per card6.96.0+1.14 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.36-0.7016
Time added6.16.7-0.3524
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-17 30 201 56'8
2025-10-04 –– 15– –10
2025-09-30 80 261 36'13
2025-09-19 40 260 20'6
2025-08-27 60 351 37'8
2025-08-17 30 240 15'13
2025-08-05 30 241 19'6
2025-05-17 40 231 49'4
2025-05-10 40 160 45'6
2025-04-30 20 210 59'5