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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12

Momentum

MonacoLens
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Stade Louis II., Monaco
Capacity
18,523
Surface
grass
Attendance
9,456

Teams

Coaches
Sebastien Pocognoli · Pierre Sage
Position
5 · 3
Formation
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Bastien Dechepy

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
15.2° (feels 14.4°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
63%

Where to watch · 338

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Monaco

DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 11.07–7.01 · xPts 9.0

  • W A Bodø / Glimt 1–0 xG 1.41–1.94 UEFA CL
  • L H Paris 0–1 xG 0.86–1.05 FRA L1
  • W A Nantes 5–3 xG 3.08–2.12 FRA L1
  • W H Toulouse 1–0 xG 2.93–0.86 FRA L1
  • D H Tottenham Hotspur 0–0 xG 2.79–1.04 UEFA CL

Lens

WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 7.29–8.46 · xPts 6.39

  • W H Lorient 3–0 xG 2.16–2.1 FRA L1
  • L A Metz 0–2 xG 1.24–2.92 FRA L1
  • W H Olympique Marseille 2–1 xG 1.55–0.9 FRA L1
  • W H Paris 2–1 xG 1.72–0.99 FRA L1
  • W A Auxerre 2–1 xG 0.61–1.55 FRA L1

All meetings · 25 matches since 2005

Monaco 89 draws8 Lens

Goals 29–36 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 52%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Monaco 42 draws4 Lens

Goals 16–23 · 3.9 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 90%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Monaco 21 draws2 Lens

Goals 7–12 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Monaco 2–1 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lens 2–3 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 1–4 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 4–0 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Monaco 1–1 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lens 2–3 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 3–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 3–0 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 1–4 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lens 2–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricMonaco all · 34Monaco at home · 17Lens all · 34Lens away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.591.882.061.65
W / D / L16 / 6 / 1210 / 2 / 522 / 4 / 88 / 4 / 5
Goals for / match1.761.941.941.82
Goals against / match1.591.351.031.29
Clean sheets21%29%35%24%
Failed to score21%12%18%24%
Both teams scored65%59%50%59%
Over 2.565%65%65%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.631.761.981.74
xG against / match1.431.211.291.50
xG difference0.200.550.690.23
Finishing vs xG0.140.18-0.040.09
xPts / match1.491.681.731.46
Points vs xPts0.100.200.320.18
Game state
Scored first44%53%59%53%
PPG when scoring first2.533.002.752.78
PPG when conceding first0.820.631.080.29
Came back from behind33%38%43%29%
Leads held84%100%92%89%
Minutes leading28%34%35%29%
Minutes level51%49%43%45%
Minutes trailing21%17%21%26%
First goal (min)43394042
First goal conceded (min)47483741
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%64%61%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%56%43%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.410.440.47
Late goals against0.410.290.150.24
Style
Possession54%55%51%50%
Shots12.512.116.414.6
On target4.44.55.64.7
Shot conversion14%16%12%12%
Shots inside box73%74%70%71%
Big chances created3.03.13.73.3
Corners5.14.96.25.6
xG from set plays25%26%23%22%
Goals from headers12%12%17%10%
Pressure index12.313.216.714.6
Dominant minutes50.052.654.648.6
Pass accuracy83%84%84%84%
Fouls13.012.812.712.7
Cards2.442.062.182.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Monaco

0–15'55
16–30'76
31–45'1010
46–60'127
61–75'1412
76–90'1214

Lens

0–15'67
16–30'77
31–45'136
46–60'163
61–75'97
76–90'155

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Monaco · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.037
Early press (0-15, level)+0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.162

Game state

When ahead-0.096
When level+0.037
When behind+0.122
10 min after conceding-0.434
10 min after scoring+0.267

Situations

At home-0.113
Away+0.024
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.025

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.223
As favourite-0.044
Evenly matched+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.196
Conceded late (76+)+0.106

Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.09

Lens · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.08) · stands out: when ahead -0.48

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.086
Early press (0-15, level)-0.116
Late push (76+, level)+0.144
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.124

Game state

When ahead-0.483
When level+0.196
When behind+0.165
10 min after conceding-0.106
10 min after scoring-0.095

Situations

Against ten men+0.012
At home-0.112
Away+0.174
4+ days rest+0.075

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.073
v bottom-tier opponents-0.102
As favourite-0.054

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead+0.513
Conceded late (76+)-0.416

Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.02

Monaco

Current: unbeaten 7 · wins 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 41%1.571.641.291.471.31
4-2-3-17 21%1.861.711.141.731.2
3-1-4-23 9%2.03.03.02.472.15
4-2-2-22 6%0.50.51.50.920.66
4-4-22 6%3.03.51.52.121.25

Lens

Current: winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 100%2.061.941.031.981.29

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.0Home 48% P 48%3.9Draw 24% P 25%3.4Away 28% P 27%

Double Chance

1.28Monaco or Draw 36% P 37%1.22Monaco or Lens 38% P 37%1.83Draw or Lens 25% P 26%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62% P 65%2.5No 38% P 35%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 62% P 62%2.5Under 38% P 38%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.72Over 54% P 55%2.0Under 46% P 45%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home48%48%47%-1.0
Draw25%26%27%+1.9
Away27%26%25%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes65%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.6

Bastien Dechepy

Career
99 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.14 (3.87 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
25.1 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 82 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.34.06+0.4376
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.23
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.34 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.36+0.4972
Time added6.56.7-0.0536
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.21

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-29 60 211 35'8
2025-10-18 31 291 34'11
2025-09-28 · Lens 61 250 1'7
2025-09-14 31 211 23'9
2025-08-24 40 200 22'9
2025-08-07 40 250 53'8
2025-07-24 60 342 21'6
2025-05-10 · Lens 70 290 51'6
2025-03-16 50 322 37'9
2025-02-22 30 292 5'5