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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12
Le HavreLe Havre
1–1
FT
NantesNantes

Momentum

– Le HavreNantes –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Stade Océane, Le Havre
Capacity
25,181
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,747

Teams

Coaches
Didier Digard · Luís Ferreira de Castro
Position
12 · 15
Formation
4-1-3-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Romain Lissorgue

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
13.4° (feels 13.2°)
Wind
5.4
Humidity
90%

Where to watch · 189

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Le Havre

DLWWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 4.87–7.37 · xPts 5.87

  • D A Toulouse 0–0 xG 0.86–1.73 FRA L1
  • W H Brest 1–0 xG 0.91–0.52 FRA L1
  • W A Auxerre 1–0 xG 0.95–1.02 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Marseille 2–6 xG 0.42–3.23 FRA L1
  • D H Rennes 2–2 xG 1.73–0.87 FRA L1

Nantes

DLWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 5.1–9.67 · xPts 4.36

  • L H Metz 0–2 xG 1.09–0.93 FRA L1
  • L H Monaco 3–5 xG 2.12–3.08 FRA L1
  • W A Paris 2–1 xG 0.85–1.07 FRA L1
  • L H LOSC Lille 0–2 xG 0.69–3.17 FRA L1
  • D A Brest 0–0 xG 0.35–1.43 FRA L1

All meetings · 8 matches since 2008

Le Havre 32 draws3 Nantes

Goals 8–9 · 2.13 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Le Havre 32 draws3 Nantes

Goals 8–9 · 2.13 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Le Havre 21 draws2 Nantes

Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Nantes 2–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Le Havre 1–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 3–2 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 0–2 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Havre 0–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 0–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 1–2 Le Havre neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Havre 0–2 Nantes neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLe Havre all · 34Le Havre at home · 17Nantes all · 33Nantes away · 17
Results
Matches34173317
Points per game1.031.350.700.65
W / D / L7 / 14 / 135 / 8 / 45 / 8 / 202 / 5 / 10
Goals for / match0.941.180.880.65
Goals against / match1.291.061.581.47
Clean sheets24%24%21%24%
Failed to score41%35%42%53%
Both teams scored50%59%46%41%
Over 2.532%41%46%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.331.100.99
xG against / match1.531.171.491.56
xG difference-0.360.16-0.38-0.57
Finishing vs xG-0.24-0.15-0.22-0.35
xPts / match1.191.501.131.00
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.15-0.44-0.36
Game state
Scored first35%35%27%24%
PPG when scoring first2.082.672.002.00
PPG when conceding first0.290.500.100.00
Came back from behind28%50%9%0%
Leads held58%83%56%50%
Minutes leading14%18%19%14%
Minutes level60%58%50%61%
Minutes trailing26%24%30%25%
First goal (min)41393740
First goal conceded (min)38344346
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%55%45%36%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%33%58%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.150.12
Late goals against0.260.120.580.53
Style
Possession47%47%42%40%
Shots10.912.011.310.6
On target3.63.93.33.1
Shot conversion9%10%8%6%
Shots inside box62%62%65%67%
Big chances created2.02.21.81.5
Corners4.34.83.73.4
xG from set plays31%38%36%38%
Goals from headers19%15%14%18%
Pressure index9.912.68.28.1
Dominant minutes43.951.436.235.1
Pass accuracy80%81%78%78%
Fouls13.713.412.712.9
Cards2.031.942.122.18

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Le Havre

0–15'46
16–30'46
31–45'611
46–60'56
61–75'76
76–90'69

Nantes

0–15'66
16–30'18
31–45'98
46–60'57
61–75'34
76–90'519

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Le Havre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: at home +0.15

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.064
Late push (76+, level)-0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.102

Game state

When level+0.084
When behind+0.212
10 min after conceding+0.113
10 min after scoring+0.212

Situations

At home+0.153
4+ days rest+0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.102
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.102

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.364

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.12

Nantes

No pressure profile yet.

Le Havre

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-37 21%0.860.571.141.231.31
4-1-3-26 18%1.00.671.171.361.68
4-1-4-15 15%0.61.01.61.221.26
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.61.41.511.35
3-4-1-24 12%0.750.751.01.191.9

Nantes

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 30%0.91.22.11.081.94
4-1-4-110 30%0.50.51.10.91.38
5-3-23 9%0.00.01.670.771.19
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.672.01.071.2
4-2-3-12 6%1.52.01.02.41.5

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.85Home 51% P 51%3.3Draw 28% P 28%4.5Away 21% P 21%

Double Chance

1.16Le Havre or Draw 40% P 40%1.3Le Havre or Nantes 36% P 36%1.95Draw or Nantes 24% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.281 73%3.52 27%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 50%1.8No 52% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 50%1.83Under 50% P 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home51%51%55%+3.6
Draw28%27%26%-1.4
Away21%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Romain Lissorgue

Career
60 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.05 (3.7 yellow · 0.25 red)
Fouls / match
26.0 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.42
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 54 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.24.06+0.2264
Fouls / match26.324.3+1.12
Fouls per card6.46.0+0.46 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.460.36+0.9692
Time added7.16.7+0.3764
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 24% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.43

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-13 91 310 38'10
2025-08-30 60 321 28'10
2025-08-16 50 330 34'9
2025-07-15 61 260 34'4
2025-05-04 30 320 13'12
2025-04-06 50 341 19'9
2025-03-28 40 271 66'7
2025-03-09 20 220 31'7
2025-02-16 31 271 37'7
2025-02-08 51 251 8'8