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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12
MetzMetz
2–1
FT
NiceNice

Momentum

– MetzNice –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Stade Saint-Symphorien, Longeville-lès-Metz
Capacity
28,786
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,683

Teams

Coaches
Stéphane Le Mignan · Franck Haise
Position
17 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Stéphanie Frappart

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
12.0° (feels 11.5°)
Wind
3.9
Humidity
86%

Where to watch · 187

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Metz

LLLWW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 13 · xG 5.41–10.31 · xPts 4.46

  • W A Nantes 2–0 xG 0.93–1.09 FRA L1
  • W H Lens 2–0 xG 2.92–1.24 FRA L1
  • L A LOSC Lille 1–6 xG 1.19–2.44 FRA L1
  • L A Toulouse 0–4 xG 0.18–2.8 FRA L1
  • L H Olympique Marseille 0–3 xG 0.19–2.74 FRA L1

Nice

LWWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 5.28–8.7 · xPts 4.69

  • L H SC Freiburg 1–3 xG 1.59–2.13 UEFA EL
  • L A Paris Saint Germain 0–1 xG 0.54–2.05 FRA L1
  • W H LOSC Lille 2–0 xG 1.33–1.27 FRA L1
  • W A Rennes 2–1 xG 0.42–1.75 FRA L1
  • L A Celta de Vigo 1–2 xG 1.39–1.51 UEFA EL

All meetings · 19 matches since 2005

Metz 54 draws10 Nice

Goals 16–27 · 2.26 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 47%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Metz 42 draws4 Nice

Goals 9–12 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Metz 11 draws3 Nice

Goals 2–5 · 1.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Nice 0–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Metz 2–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 1–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 0–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 0–2 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 0–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 1–2 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Metz 1–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 4–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Metz 2–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricMetz all · 34Metz at home · 17Nice all · 34Nice away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.500.590.940.71
W / D / L3 / 8 / 232 / 4 / 117 / 11 / 163 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match0.940.881.091.06
Goals against / match2.241.881.761.94
Clean sheets21%24%18%12%
Failed to score44%47%32%29%
Both teams scored50%47%59%65%
Over 2.562%53%50%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.001.161.241.11
xG against / match1.771.411.711.78
xG difference-0.77-0.25-0.47-0.67
Finishing vs xG-0.06-0.28-0.15-0.05
xPts / match0.931.211.120.99
Points vs xPts-0.43-0.62-0.18-0.28
Game state
Scored first21%18%38%41%
PPG when scoring first1.141.331.851.43
PPG when conceding first0.180.270.280.11
Came back from behind8%8%24%8%
Leads held38%50%54%43%
Minutes leading6%6%20%15%
Minutes level52%58%48%47%
Minutes trailing42%35%32%38%
First goal (min)42484242
First goal conceded (min)31393838
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%60%49%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%56%52%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.350.210.24
Late goals against0.710.710.350.29
Style
Possession49%50%46%47%
Shots10.111.811.29.5
On target3.23.83.93.5
Shot conversion9%8%10%11%
Shots inside box62%61%65%66%
Big chances created1.41.82.72.1
Corners4.24.95.14.6
xG from set plays33%31%27%28%
Goals from headers16%13%11%6%
Pressure index8.710.19.08.4
Dominant minutes40.346.840.939.2
Pass accuracy85%86%82%82%
Fouls11.411.512.412.5
Cards1.761.472.122.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Metz

0–15'412
16–30'49
31–45'613
46–60'59
61–75'29
76–90'1124

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Metz

No pressure profile yet.

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.092

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.403
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.252
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Metz

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 56%0.581.112.051.041.7
3-4-2-15 15%0.20.42.60.771.98
4-3-34 12%0.250.753.01.022.05
4-1-4-13 9%1.00.671.331.421.38
5-3-22 6%0.00.02.00.321.82

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-4-33 9%1.332.03.01.23.1

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.0Home 32% P 31%3.6Draw 26% P 27%2.25Away 42% P 43%

Double Chance

1.61Metz or Draw 29% P 29%1.28Metz or Nice 37% P 37%1.36Draw or Nice 34% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 60%2.25No 41% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 42.5–45% · 201 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home31%31%31%-0.1
Draw27%26%26%+0.2
Away43%43%43%-0.1

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 64%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Stéphanie Frappart

Career
125 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.19 (3.99 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
24.5 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 76 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.214.06+0.2468
Fouls / match24.724.3+0.29
Fouls per card6.06.0+0.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.250.36-1.0812
Time added6.76.7+0.0840
First card
28' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-25 60 211 22'8
2025-09-21 · Metz 10 211 43'10
2025-08-30 40 240 43'7
2025-05-17 40 231 12'7
2025-04-27 50 300 36'9
2025-04-13 50 201 2'2
2025-03-15 20 310 21'10
2025-03-02 30 290 37'7
2025-02-16 · Nice 41 300 34'8
2025-02-02 60 240 15'3