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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12
Olympique MarseilleOM
3–0
FT
BrestBrest

Momentum

– OMBrest –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Capacity
67,395
Surface
grass
Attendance
66,279

Teams

Coaches
Roberto De Zerbi · Eric Roy
Position
1 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Willy Delajod

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
15.4° (feels 14.8°)
Wind
5.4
Humidity
66%

Where to watch · 199

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Olympique Marseille

LLDWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 4.45–5.84 · xPts 5.68

  • L H Atalanta 0–1 xG 0.81–1.44 UEFA CL
  • W A Auxerre 1–0 xG 0.59–0.83 FRA L1
  • D H Angers SCO 2–2 xG 1.45–0.88 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 1–2 xG 0.9–1.55 FRA L1
  • L A Sporting CP 1–2 xG 0.69–1.15 UEFA CL

Brest

DDLLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 6.57–4.66 · xPts 8.28

  • D H Olympique Lyonnais 0–0 xG 1.45–0.18 FRA L1
  • L A Le Havre 0–1 xG 0.52–0.91 FRA L1
  • L H Paris Saint Germain 0–3 xG 1.59–1.83 FRA L1
  • D A Lorient 3–3 xG 1.58–1.38 FRA L1
  • D H Nantes 0–0 xG 1.43–0.35 FRA L1

All meetings · 19 matches since 2010

Olympique Marseille 113 draws5 Brest

Goals 36–18 · 2.84 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Olympique Marseille 51 draws4 Brest

Goals 21–11 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Olympique Marseille 30 draws2 Brest

Goals 12–5 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Brest 2–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 3–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 4–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 1–5 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 1–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 2–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 1–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Brest 1–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 1–4 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 1–2 Brest neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricOlympique Marseille all · 34Olympique Marseille at home · 17Brest all · 34Brest away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.742.181.150.76
W / D / L18 / 5 / 1111 / 4 / 210 / 9 / 153 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.852.411.260.88
Goals against / match1.321.181.621.88
Clean sheets26%29%26%12%
Failed to score24%6%32%41%
Both teams scored50%65%47%47%
Over 2.562%71%50%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.701.781.290.91
xG against / match1.201.051.541.66
xG difference0.490.74-0.25-0.75
Finishing vs xG0.160.63-0.03-0.02
xPts / match1.691.831.280.95
Points vs xPts0.040.34-0.13-0.19
Game state
Scored first59%71%47%35%
PPG when scoring first2.402.421.941.33
PPG when conceding first0.791.600.380.45
Came back from behind31%67%21%23%
Leads held72%69%56%38%
Minutes leading38%47%24%15%
Minutes level41%40%44%45%
Minutes trailing21%14%32%41%
First goal (min)36363547
First goal conceded (min)46463338
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%61%49%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half69%70%51%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.710.240.24
Late goals against0.440.590.320.47
Style
Possession57%58%43%42%
Shots15.115.811.28.6
On target5.76.33.52.5
Shot conversion12%15%11%10%
Shots inside box64%64%63%63%
Big chances created3.03.42.21.5
Corners5.25.63.93.1
xG from set plays26%26%36%42%
Goals from headers10%12%21%13%
Pressure index17.619.48.16.1
Dominant minutes58.361.036.732.6
Pass accuracy87%87%78%78%
Fouls12.712.912.712.9
Cards2.532.411.851.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Olympique Marseille

0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715

Brest

0–15'98
16–30'612
31–45'77
46–60'86
61–75'511
76–90'811

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.434
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.313

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%2.172.441.171.91.23
3-4-2-19 26%1.441.671.441.521.09
3-4-1-22 6%1.51.01.01.310.95
3-2-4-11 3%0.00.01.02.280.97
3-5-1-11 3%1.01.01.01.811.38

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.421.381.421.351.38
4-3-35 15%0.21.02.21.512.04
4-1-4-12 6%0.51.53.50.512.69
3-4-31 3%0.00.01.00.271.95
4-2-2-21 3%0.00.02.00.90.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.45Home 65% P 64%4.75Draw 20% P 20%6.5Away 15% P 15%

Double Chance

1.11Marseille or Draw 42% P 42%1.18Marseille or Brest 40% P 40%2.62Draw or Brest 18% P 18%

Draw No Bet

1.161 81%5.02 19%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 55%1.95No 48% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 60%2.3Under 41% P 40%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 17%12.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 53%1.9Under 49% P 47%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 15–17.5% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home64%63%64%+0.7
Draw20%21%19%-2.0
Away15%16%17%+1.3

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 62%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%59%60%+0.8

Willy Delajod

Career
170 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.05 (3.76 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.43
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.984.06-0.2336
Fouls / match24.824.3+0.33
Fouls per card6.36.0+0.38 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.36+0.4868
Time added6.96.7+0.2352
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-29 20 180 68'8
2025-10-23 30 150 8'9
2025-10-05 41 193 24'16
2025-10-02 50 291 1'9
2025-09-28 · Brest 20 261 41'9
2025-09-14 41 241 40'8
2025-08-27 50 350 31'6
2025-08-24 30 211 84'8
2025-05-17 10 181 84'8
2025-05-10 · Olympique Marseille 40 240 48'10