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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12

Momentum

LYOPSG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Groupama Stadium, Décines-Charpieu
Capacity
59,186
Surface
grass
Attendance
58,257

Teams

Coaches
Marinho Nascimento · Luis Enrique
Position
6 · 3
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Benoît Bastien

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
11.2° (feels 10.6°)
Wind
3.4
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 335

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Olympique Lyonnais

WWDDL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 5.59–4.86 · xPts 7.2

  • L A Real Betis 0–2 xG 0.65–1.04 UEFA EL
  • D A Brest 0–0 xG 0.18–1.45 FRA L1
  • D A Paris 3–3 xG 1.29–0.71 FRA L1
  • W H Strasbourg 2–1 xG 1.57–0.62 FRA L1
  • W H Basel 2–0 xG 1.89–1.04 UEFA EL

Paris Saint Germain

WWDWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 13 GA 5 · xG 9.28–5.38 · xPts 9.58

  • L H FC Bayern München 1–2 xG 1.76–1.2 UEFA CL
  • W H Nice 1–0 xG 2.05–0.54 FRA L1
  • D A Lorient 1–1 xG 1.28–0.23 FRA L1
  • W A Brest 3–0 xG 1.83–1.59 FRA L1
  • W A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 7–2 xG 2.37–1.82 UEFA CL

All meetings · 42 matches since 2005

Olympique Lyonnais 138 draws21 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 52–76 · 3.05 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 55%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Olympique Lyonnais 21 draws7 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 12–22 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Olympique Lyonnais 10 draws4 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 8–14 · 4.4 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Paris Saint Germain 1–2 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Lyonnais 2–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Lyonnais 2–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 4–1 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Lyonnais 1–4 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 0–1 Olympique Lyonnais neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Lyonnais 0–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Lyonnais 1–1 Paris Saint Germain neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Olympique Lyonnais neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricOlympique Lyonnais all · 34Olympique Lyonnais at home · 17Paris Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.762.182.242.06
W / D / L18 / 6 / 1012 / 1 / 424 / 4 / 611 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match1.561.762.181.94
Goals against / match1.181.060.851.00
Clean sheets44%47%53%41%
Failed to score18%6%6%12%
Both teams scored50%47%41%47%
Over 2.556%59%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.541.791.991.74
xG against / match1.391.250.981.16
xG difference0.150.541.010.58
Finishing vs xG0.02-0.030.180.20
xPts / match1.471.701.991.74
Points vs xPts0.300.480.250.32
Game state
Scored first62%71%85%82%
PPG when scoring first2.332.502.622.50
PPG when conceding first0.781.400.000.00
Came back from behind23%43%14%0%
Leads held78%86%83%79%
Minutes leading36%34%44%37%
Minutes level50%54%45%52%
Minutes trailing14%11%11%11%
First goal (min)37453841
First goal conceded (min)46463846
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%57%55%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%56%55%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.290.530.47
Late goals against0.440.290.240.41
Style
Possession55%56%69%68%
Shots12.313.517.715.2
On target4.74.86.76.4
Shot conversion13%13%12%13%
Shots inside box68%68%63%66%
Big chances created2.73.13.73.8
Corners5.96.56.45.2
xG from set plays26%25%29%26%
Goals from headers17%13%15%18%
Pressure index14.517.927.424.6
Dominant minutes53.458.173.068.8
Pass accuracy85%86%91%91%
Fouls13.013.39.18.6
Cards2.151.821.181.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Olympique Lyonnais

0–15'63
16–30'93
31–45'129
46–60'105
61–75'75
76–90'915

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Olympique Lyonnais · 8 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.42

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.028
Early press (0-15, level)-0.128
Late push (76+, level)-0.353
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.342

Game state

When ahead+0.155
When level-0.128
When behind-0.052
10 min after conceding-0.145
10 min after scoring+0.427

Situations

At home+0.094
Away-0.134
4+ days rest-0.017

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.032
v mid-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents+0.112
As favourite+0.094
Evenly matched-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.008
Conceded when ahead-0.115
Conceded late (76+)-0.327

Congested vs rested -0.06 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.07

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: when behind +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.325
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Olympique Lyonnais

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.351.411.291.621.38
4-3-37 21%2.571.290.711.251.15
4-3-1-24 12%1.51.752.251.461.94
3-4-2-13 9%2.01.670.331.611.37
4-1-4-12 6%2.01.50.51.571.37

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.75Home 16% P 16%4.1Draw 23% P 23%1.57Away 60% P 60%

Double Chance

2.0Lyon or Draw 23% P 20%1.25Lyon or PSG 37% P 38%1.18Draw or PSG 39% P 42%

Draw No Bet

3.41 28%1.32 72%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 52%1.95No 48% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56% P 55%2.1Under 44% P 45%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 60–62.5% · 275 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home16%16%15%-1.7
Draw23%23%20%-3.0
Away60%61%66%+4.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 61%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Benoît Bastien

Career
347 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.264.06+0.3472
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.19
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.30 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.1652
Time added7.36.7+0.5280
First card
31' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-05 40 272 4'7
2025-11-01 72 260 26'9
2025-10-26 10 201 75'13
2025-10-05 · Paris Saint Germain 20 230 45'6
2025-09-27 50 301 58'11
2025-09-20 40 280 18'10
2025-08-31 31 251 8'12
2025-08-28 50 210 9'9
2025-08-17 · Paris Saint Germain 20 120 45'9
2025-08-12 110 520 49'7