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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12

Momentum

ParisRennes
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Capacity
15,097
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
16,587

Teams

Coaches
Stéphane Gilli · Habib Beye
Position
11 · 10
Formation
5-4-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Guillaume Paradis

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
14.8° (feels 13.9°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
61%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Paris

WLLDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 5.31–5.44 · xPts 6.74

  • W A Monaco 1–0 xG 1.05–0.86 FRA L1
  • D H Olympique Lyonnais 3–3 xG 0.71–1.29 FRA L1
  • L H Nantes 1–2 xG 1.07–0.85 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 1–2 xG 0.99–1.72 FRA L1
  • W H Lorient 2–0 xG 1.49–0.72 FRA L1

Rennes

DDLDW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 11 GA 9 · xG 8.05–6.84 · xPts 7.68

  • W H Strasbourg 4–1 xG 2.37–1.63 FRA L1
  • D A Toulouse 2–2 xG 0.97–1.78 FRA L1
  • L H Nice 1–2 xG 1.75–0.42 FRA L1
  • D H Auxerre 2–2 xG 2.09–1.27 FRA L1
  • D A Le Havre 2–2 xG 0.87–1.73 FRA L1

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Paris 00 draws2 Rennes

Goals 1–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Paris 00 draws2 Rennes

Goals 1–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Paris 00 draws2 Rennes

Goals 1–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Rennes 2–1 Paris FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris 0–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricParis all · 34Paris at home · 17Rennes all · 34Rennes away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.471.741.47
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 617 / 8 / 97 / 4 / 6
Goals for / match1.381.651.741.71
Goals against / match1.471.591.471.94
Clean sheets24%24%29%35%
Failed to score26%29%18%18%
Both teams scored62%53%59%47%
Over 2.556%65%71%76%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.321.531.561.40
xG against / match1.621.601.541.73
xG difference-0.30-0.070.02-0.33
Finishing vs xG0.060.120.180.30
xPts / match1.251.391.431.20
Points vs xPts0.040.080.310.27
Game state
Scored first41%35%56%71%
PPG when scoring first2.142.672.261.83
PPG when conceding first0.630.801.080.60
Came back from behind33%40%40%14%
Leads held69%88%71%54%
Minutes leading23%25%36%42%
Minutes level49%40%41%35%
Minutes trailing28%34%23%23%
First goal (min)41413731
First goal conceded (min)40324037
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%54%54%45%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%62%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.590.350.18
Late goals against0.380.350.290.41
Style
Possession50%52%54%52%
Shots11.713.514.112.5
On target4.04.55.04.5
Shot conversion12%12%12%14%
Shots inside box67%69%62%65%
Big chances created2.42.82.42.0
Corners4.45.56.05.5
xG from set plays26%30%29%30%
Goals from headers4%7%19%7%
Pressure index10.512.714.112.7
Dominant minutes46.054.551.951.4
Pass accuracy84%84%84%84%
Fouls10.610.812.311.8
Cards2.352.821.822.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris

0–15'73
16–30'99
31–45'59
46–60'510
61–75'76
76–90'1413

Rennes

0–15'78
16–30'151
31–45'510
46–60'1211
61–75'810
76–90'1210

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)-0.364
Late push (76+, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.062
When level-0.154
10 min after scoring-0.242

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.042
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.082
v bottom-tier opponents-0.162
As favourite-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.222
Conceded late (76+)-0.194

Ahead vs level +0.09

Rennes · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: when level +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)+0.245
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.014
When level+0.555
10 min after conceding-0.423
10 min after scoring-0.024

Situations

At home-0.123
Away+0.832
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.252
v bottom-tier opponents+0.142
As favourite+0.444

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.105
Conceded when ahead+0.174
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.54

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 29%1.51.92.01.421.79
5-4-18 24%1.00.750.881.041.42
4-2-3-17 21%1.431.571.01.341.09
4-1-4-13 9%2.02.671.671.962.36
4-5-12 6%0.50.01.51.052.0

Rennes

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 53%1.51.561.721.41.61
4-4-26 18%2.02.331.832.01.29
4-3-35 15%2.01.60.61.471.07
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.00.51.352.23
3-1-4-21 3%1.01.01.02.180.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 42%3.6Draw 26% P 27%3.0Away 32% P 31%

Double Chance

1.36Paris FC or Draw 34% P 34%1.28Paris FC or Rennes 37% P 36%1.61Draw or Rennes 29% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 62%2.25No 41% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 56%2.1Under 45% P 44%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49% P 46%1.8Under 51% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%41%41%-0.1
Draw27%28%26%-1.9
Away31%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Guillaume Paradis

Career
17 matches · 2 seasons
Cards / match
3.94 (3.82 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
24.5 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.06
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.824.06-0.5620
Fouls / match24.524.3+0.15
Fouls per card6.46.0+0.50 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.060.36-2.900
Time added8.96.7+1.6796
First card
30' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 25% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-25 70 330 18'17
2025-10-05 40 230 6'7
2025-09-28 40 320 30'9
2025-09-13 20 300 44'11
2025-08-24 40 331 7'9