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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12

Momentum

StrasbourgLOSC Lille
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Capacity
29,200
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,000

Teams

Coaches
Liam Rosenior · Bruno Génésio
Position
7 · 4
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

François Letexier

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
12.2° (feels 11.7°)
Wind
2.8
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 192

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Strasbourg

DLWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 9.31–6.31 · xPts 8.21

  • W A Häcken 2–1 xG 1.04–1.05 UEFA ECL
  • L A Rennes 1–4 xG 1.63–2.37 FRA L1
  • W H Auxerre 3–0 xG 3.55–0.61 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 1–2 xG 0.62–1.57 FRA L1
  • D H Jagiellonia Białystok 1–1 xG 2.46–0.71 UEFA ECL

LOSC Lille

LWLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 10 GA 8 · xG 8.76–6.97 · xPts 8.05

  • L A Crvena Zvezda 0–1 xG 1.35–2.17 UEFA EL
  • W H Angers SCO 1–0 xG 2.16–0.35 FRA L1
  • L A Nice 0–2 xG 1.27–1.33 FRA L1
  • W H Metz 6–1 xG 2.44–1.19 FRA L1
  • L H PAOK 3–4 xG 1.54–1.93 UEFA EL

All meetings · 22 matches since 2005

Strasbourg 65 draws11 LOSC Lille

Goals 26–31 · 2.59 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Strasbourg 41 draws5 LOSC Lille

Goals 14–15 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Strasbourg 31 draws1 LOSC Lille

Goals 11–6 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W LOSC Lille 1–4 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 2–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 2–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 3–3 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 1–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 2–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 2–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 0–3 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 1–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 1–2 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricStrasbourg all · 34Strasbourg at home · 17LOSC Lille all · 34LOSC Lille away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.561.761.791.88
W / D / L15 / 8 / 119 / 3 / 518 / 7 / 910 / 2 / 5
Goals for / match1.711.761.531.65
Goals against / match1.381.121.091.18
Clean sheets26%41%38%41%
Failed to score18%18%29%35%
Both teams scored65%53%38%29%
Over 2.565%65%38%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.461.501.581.46
xG against / match1.331.051.041.20
xG difference0.130.450.540.26
Finishing vs xG0.240.26-0.050.19
xPts / match1.441.631.711.52
Points vs xPts0.120.130.090.36
Game state
Scored first56%71%53%59%
PPG when scoring first2.052.082.672.80
PPG when conceding first0.921.000.790.50
Came back from behind31%17%40%29%
Leads held65%69%86%91%
Minutes leading26%31%26%34%
Minutes level52%59%52%45%
Minutes trailing22%10%22%21%
First goal (min)41384834
First goal conceded (min)39464440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%57%71%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%63%62%60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.240.680.71
Late goals against0.350.350.210.18
Style
Possession54%52%56%55%
Shots11.512.113.612.4
On target4.65.14.64.5
Shot conversion15%15%11%13%
Shots inside box69%70%70%66%
Big chances created3.03.32.82.4
Corners4.24.95.75.1
xG from set plays23%21%30%30%
Goals from headers16%10%10%11%
Pressure index14.216.315.214.5
Dominant minutes54.756.661.459.8
Pass accuracy88%88%85%85%
Fouls11.19.610.710.9
Cards1.941.472.412.76

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Strasbourg

0–15'47
16–30'106
31–45'115
46–60'914
61–75'103
76–90'1412

LOSC Lille

0–15'53
16–30'54
31–45'57
46–60'99
61–75'57
76–90'237

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Strasbourg · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Game state

When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023

Situations

At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02

LOSC Lille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26

Strasbourg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.591.761.471.61.46
3-4-2-110 29%1.11.61.41.551.24
4-4-1-12 6%1.52.02.01.021.73
3-4-1-21 3%3.02.00.00.410.26
3-5-21 3%0.01.02.00.621.57

LOSC Lille

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%1.931.550.91.580.98
4-3-32 6%0.50.52.00.861.28
4-4-21 3%3.04.02.03.730.93
4-3-1-21 3%1.01.01.00.640.59
5-4-11 3%0.01.04.01.963.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.62Home 36% P 35%3.75Draw 25% P 27%2.45Away 39% P 38%

Double Chance

1.5Strasbourg or Draw 32% P 31%1.28Strasbourg or Lille 37% P 36%1.5Draw or Lille 32% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 63%2.25No 41% P 37%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 58%2.2Under 43% P 42%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.72Over 54% P 55%2.0Under 46% P 45%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 37.5–40% · 153 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%36%35%-1.3
Draw27%26%30%+4.3
Away38%38%35%-3.0

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes63%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

François Letexier

Career
253 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
23.3 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 86 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.06+0.7184
Fouls / match22.924.3-0.68
Fouls per card5.26.0-1.21 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.2056
Time added7.26.7+0.4472
First card
31' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.36

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-01 40 170 27'5
2025-10-22 20 90 52'6
2025-10-19 31 251 34'5
2025-10-04 101 310 15'8
2025-10-01 40 310 26'7
2025-09-21 · Strasbourg 60 210 21'13
2025-09-16 10 211 42'8
2025-08-31 41 270 22'12
2025-08-19 40 200 52'10
2025-08-17 31 240 10'10