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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 13
LOSC LilleLOSC Lille
4–2
FT
ParisParis

Momentum

– LOSC LilleParis –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Capacity
50,186
Surface
grass
Attendance
39,053

Teams

Coaches
Bruno Génésio · Stéphane Gilli
Position
7 · 12
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Benoît Millot

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
3.9° (feels 1.5°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
95%

Where to watch · 202

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

LOSC Lille

WLWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 7.48–5.45 · xPts 7.95

  • L A Strasbourg 0–2 xG 0.26–0.41 FRA L1
  • L A Crvena Zvezda 0–1 xG 1.35–2.17 UEFA EL
  • W H Angers SCO 1–0 xG 2.16–0.35 FRA L1
  • L A Nice 0–2 xG 1.27–1.33 FRA L1
  • W H Metz 6–1 xG 2.44–1.19 FRA L1

Paris

LLDWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 6.09–5.68 · xPts 7.0

  • L H Rennes 0–1 xG 2.28–0.96 FRA L1
  • W A Monaco 1–0 xG 1.05–0.86 FRA L1
  • D H Olympique Lyonnais 3–3 xG 0.71–1.29 FRA L1
  • L H Nantes 1–2 xG 1.07–0.85 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 1–2 xG 0.99–1.72 FRA L1

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

LOSC Lille 20 draws0 Paris

Goals 5–2 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

LOSC Lille 20 draws0 Paris

Goals 5–2 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

LOSC Lille 20 draws0 Paris

Goals 5–2 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Paris 0–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 4–2 Paris FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLOSC Lille all · 34LOSC Lille at home · 17Paris all · 34Paris away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.791.711.291.12
W / D / L18 / 7 / 98 / 5 / 411 / 11 / 124 / 7 / 6
Goals for / match1.531.411.381.12
Goals against / match1.091.001.471.35
Clean sheets38%35%24%24%
Failed to score29%24%26%24%
Both teams scored38%47%62%71%
Over 2.538%29%56%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.581.711.321.12
xG against / match1.040.891.621.64
xG difference0.540.83-0.30-0.52
Finishing vs xG-0.05-0.300.060.00
xPts / match1.711.891.251.11
Points vs xPts0.09-0.180.040.01
Game state
Scored first53%47%41%47%
PPG when scoring first2.672.502.141.75
PPG when conceding first0.791.000.630.33
Came back from behind40%50%33%25%
Leads held86%80%69%50%
Minutes leading26%18%23%21%
Minutes level52%59%49%58%
Minutes trailing22%22%28%20%
First goal (min)48604141
First goal conceded (min)44474047
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half71%71%55%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%65%58%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.680.650.410.24
Late goals against0.210.240.380.41
Style
Possession56%57%50%49%
Shots13.614.811.79.9
On target4.64.84.03.4
Shot conversion11%10%12%11%
Shots inside box70%73%67%64%
Big chances created2.83.12.41.9
Corners5.76.44.43.2
xG from set plays30%30%26%21%
Goals from headers10%8%4%0%
Pressure index15.215.810.58.3
Dominant minutes61.463.046.037.5
Pass accuracy85%85%84%84%
Fouls10.710.510.610.4
Cards2.412.062.351.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

LOSC Lille

0–15'53
16–30'54
31–45'57
46–60'99
61–75'57
76–90'237

Paris

0–15'73
16–30'99
31–45'59
46–60'510
61–75'76
76–90'1413

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

LOSC Lille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26

Paris · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)-0.364
Late push (76+, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.062
When level-0.154
10 min after scoring-0.242

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.042
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.082
v bottom-tier opponents-0.162
As favourite-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.222
Conceded late (76+)-0.194

Ahead vs level +0.09

LOSC Lille

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%1.931.550.91.580.98
4-3-32 6%0.50.52.00.861.28
4-3-1-21 3%1.01.01.00.640.59
5-4-11 3%0.01.04.01.963.0
4-4-21 3%3.04.02.03.730.93

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 29%1.51.92.01.421.79
5-4-18 24%1.00.750.881.041.42
4-2-3-17 21%1.431.571.01.341.09
4-1-4-13 9%2.02.671.671.962.36
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.430.83

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.66Home 57% P 57%3.9Draw 24% P 24%5.0Away 19% P 19%

Double Chance

1.16Lille or Draw 41% P 41%1.25Lille or Paris FC 38% P 38%2.15Draw or Paris FC 22% P 21%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 55%2.0No 47% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 55%2.0Under 47% P 45%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46% P 44%1.72Under 54% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home57%56%53%-2.8
Draw24%25%26%+1.0
Away19%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%54%54%+0.8

Benoît Millot

Career
284 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.14 (3.93 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.28
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 83 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.994.06-0.2140
Fouls / match25.824.3+0.86
Fouls per card6.56.0+0.71 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.36-0.5924
Time added7.06.7+0.3060
First card
35' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-29 40 230 43'7
2025-10-26 · LOSC Lille 50 300 22'15
2025-10-03 · Paris 30 290 45'6
2025-09-14 10 172 45'12
2025-08-24 10 240 63'14
2025-05-03 50 220 14'7
2025-04-20 –– 22– 45'9
2025-04-13 20 250 37'2
2025-03-15 · LOSC Lille 51 240 12'6
2025-03-02 30 281 34'8