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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 13
NantesNantes
1–1
FT
LorientLorient

Momentum

– NantesLorient –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, Nantes
Capacity
37,473
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,967

Teams

Coaches
Luís Ferreira de Castro · Olivier Pantaloni
Position
16 · 17
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Ruddy Buquet

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
10.0° (feels 9.7°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
99%

Where to watch · 189

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nantes

LWLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 11 · xG 4.91–9.63 · xPts 4.22

  • D A Le Havre 1–1 xG 0.16–1.39 FRA L1
  • L H Metz 0–2 xG 1.09–0.93 FRA L1
  • L H Monaco 3–5 xG 2.12–3.08 FRA L1
  • W A Paris 2–1 xG 0.85–1.07 FRA L1
  • L H LOSC Lille 0–2 xG 0.69–3.17 FRA L1

Lorient

DLDLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 7.18–7.36 · xPts 6.56

  • D H Toulouse 1–1 xG 1.35–1.41 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 0–3 xG 2.1–2.16 FRA L1
  • D H Paris Saint Germain 1–1 xG 0.23–1.28 FRA L1
  • L A Angers SCO 0–2 xG 2.13–0.93 FRA L1
  • D H Brest 3–3 xG 1.38–1.58 FRA L1

All meetings · 22 matches since 2006

Nantes 115 draws6 Lorient

Goals 31–27 · 2.64 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Nantes 62 draws2 Lorient

Goals 19–12 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Nantes 31 draws1 Lorient

Goals 9–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Lorient 2–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 1–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 0–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 5–3 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 1–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 3–2 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 4–2 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 0–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 1–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 0–2 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNantes all · 33Nantes at home · 16Lorient all · 34Lorient away · 17
Results
Matches33163417
Points per game0.700.751.320.88
W / D / L5 / 8 / 203 / 3 / 1011 / 12 / 113 / 6 / 8
Goals for / match0.881.131.411.00
Goals against / match1.581.691.501.53
Clean sheets21%19%21%18%
Failed to score42%31%29%53%
Both teams scored46%50%53%35%
Over 2.546%44%44%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.101.221.351.08
xG against / match1.491.401.381.57
xG difference-0.38-0.19-0.03-0.49
Finishing vs xG-0.22-0.090.07-0.08
xPts / match1.131.271.341.07
Points vs xPts-0.44-0.52-0.01-0.18
Game state
Scored first27%31%47%29%
PPG when scoring first2.002.002.192.20
PPG when conceding first0.100.180.530.27
Came back from behind9%17%42%27%
Leads held56%60%65%60%
Minutes leading19%25%26%16%
Minutes level50%40%49%48%
Minutes trailing30%36%25%36%
First goal (min)37353738
First goal conceded (min)43394542
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%50%58%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%67%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.190.380.53
Late goals against0.580.630.470.41
Style
Possession42%44%45%45%
Shots11.312.111.310.7
On target3.33.53.93.5
Shot conversion8%9%12%9%
Shots inside box65%63%63%61%
Big chances created1.82.12.01.5
Corners3.74.03.53.8
xG from set plays36%34%33%30%
Goals from headers14%11%6%0%
Pressure index8.28.310.19.6
Dominant minutes36.237.342.842.1
Pass accuracy78%78%84%84%
Fouls12.712.59.59.5
Cards2.122.061.681.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nantes

0–15'66
16–30'18
31–45'98
46–60'57
61–75'34
76–90'519

Lorient

0–15'46
16–30'76
31–45'95
46–60'811
61–75'77
76–90'1316

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nantes

No pressure profile yet.

Lorient · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.95

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)+0.374
Late push (76+, level)-0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.322
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.953

Situations

At home-0.072
Away-0.182
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
Evenly matched-0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Ahead vs level -0.18 · Behind vs level +0.28

Nantes

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 30%0.91.22.11.081.94
4-1-4-110 30%0.50.51.10.91.38
5-3-23 9%0.00.01.670.771.19
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.672.01.071.2
4-2-3-12 6%1.52.01.02.41.5

Lorient

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%1.291.391.681.371.46
3-4-34 12%1.751.750.51.680.99
5-4-12 6%1.01.01.00.410.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.0Home 31% P 31%3.3Draw 29% P 29%2.37Away 40% P 40%

Double Chance

1.53Nantes or Draw 31% P 30%1.33Nantes or Lorient 35% P 36%1.36Draw or Lorient 34% P 34%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 55%1.95No 48% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 37.5–40% · 556 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home31%31%31%-0.2
Draw29%30%31%+1.5
Away40%39%38%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Ruddy Buquet

Career
355 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.37 (4.08 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
20.3 · 3.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 76 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.334.06+0.4980
Fouls / match24.024.3-0.08
Fouls per card5.56.0-0.67 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.350.36-0.0836
Time added7.16.7+0.3764
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.26

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-29 20 270 90'7
2025-10-24 · Nantes 50 230 24'14
2025-09-27 · Lorient 51 211 9'13
2025-09-14 41 310 26'11
2025-08-16 10 190 89'12