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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 13

Momentum

NiceOM
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
Allianz Riviera, Nice
Capacity
36,178
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,089

Teams

Coaches
Franck Haise · Roberto De Zerbi
Position
9 · 2
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Jérémie Pignard

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
5.8° (feels 2.7°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
64%

Where to watch · 289

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nice

WWLLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 5.07–8.71 · xPts 4.54

  • L A Metz 1–2 xG 1.18–1.51 FRA L1
  • L H SC Freiburg 1–3 xG 1.59–2.13 UEFA EL
  • L A Paris Saint Germain 0–1 xG 0.54–2.05 FRA L1
  • W H LOSC Lille 2–0 xG 1.33–1.27 FRA L1
  • W A Rennes 2–1 xG 0.42–1.75 FRA L1

Olympique Marseille

LDWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 6.81–5.01 · xPts 7.49

  • W H Brest 3–0 xG 3.05–0.32 FRA L1
  • L H Atalanta 0–1 xG 0.81–1.44 UEFA CL
  • W A Auxerre 1–0 xG 0.59–0.83 FRA L1
  • D H Angers SCO 2–2 xG 1.45–0.88 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 1–2 xG 0.9–1.55 FRA L1

All meetings · 41 matches since 2005

Nice 126 draws23 Olympique Marseille

Goals 44–69 · 2.76 per match · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 51%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Nice 33 draws4 Olympique Marseille

Goals 12–17 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Nice 12 draws2 Olympique Marseille

Goals 6–10 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Olympique Marseille 1–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 1–5 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 2–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 2–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 2–2 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 1–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 1–3 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 0–3 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 2–1 Nice neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 1–1 Olympique Marseille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNice all · 34Nice at home · 17Olympique Marseille all · 34Olympique Marseille away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.181.741.29
W / D / L7 / 11 / 164 / 8 / 518 / 5 / 117 / 1 / 9
Goals for / match1.091.121.851.29
Goals against / match1.761.591.321.47
Clean sheets18%24%26%24%
Failed to score32%35%24%41%
Both teams scored59%53%50%35%
Over 2.550%41%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.381.701.61
xG against / match1.711.651.201.35
xG difference-0.47-0.270.490.25
Finishing vs xG-0.15-0.260.16-0.31
xPts / match1.121.261.691.55
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.090.04-0.26
Game state
Scored first38%35%59%47%
PPG when scoring first1.852.332.402.38
PPG when conceding first0.280.440.790.33
Came back from behind24%44%31%10%
Leads held54%67%72%78%
Minutes leading20%25%38%28%
Minutes level48%49%41%43%
Minutes trailing32%26%21%29%
First goal (min)42423638
First goal conceded (min)38384647
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%58%59%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%52%69%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.180.500.29
Late goals against0.350.410.440.29
Style
Possession46%46%57%56%
Shots11.213.015.114.4
On target3.94.45.75.1
Shot conversion10%9%12%9%
Shots inside box65%63%64%64%
Big chances created2.73.23.02.6
Corners5.15.55.24.8
xG from set plays27%27%26%26%
Goals from headers11%16%10%4%
Pressure index9.09.617.615.8
Dominant minutes40.942.658.355.6
Pass accuracy82%82%87%87%
Fouls12.412.212.712.5
Cards2.122.002.532.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Olympique Marseille

0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.092

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.403
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.252
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-4-33 9%1.332.03.01.23.1

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%2.172.441.171.91.23
3-4-2-19 26%1.441.671.441.521.09
3-4-1-22 6%1.51.01.01.310.95
3-5-1-11 3%1.01.01.01.811.38
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.02.01.670.83

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.7Home 26% P 25%3.7Draw 26% P 27%1.95Away 49% P 48%

Double Chance

1.8Nice or Draw 26% P 26%1.28Nice or Marseille 37% P 37%1.28Draw or Marseille 37% P 37%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 59%2.2No 42% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
5.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 47.5–50% · 285 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home25%26%24%-2.2
Draw27%25%27%+1.9
Away48%49%49%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 56%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Jérémie Pignard

Career
139 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.65 (4.34 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
22.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 89 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.734.06+1.3192
Fouls / match23.224.3-0.51
Fouls per card4.96.0-1.54 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.510.36+1.3796
Time added6.16.7-0.3524
First card
31' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.24

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-02 40 181 26'4
2025-10-25 20 201 8'12
2025-10-05 30 221 34'5
2025-10-02 70 170 20'6
2025-09-26 · Olympique Marseille 60 280 24'7
2025-09-14 30 180 5'9
2025-08-28 30 170 15'6
2025-08-15 · Olympique Marseille 51 190 26'12
2025-07-22 60 240 19'8
2025-05-17 · Olympique Marseille 60 202 29'6