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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 13

Momentum

PSGLe Havre
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
Parc des Princes, Paris
Capacity
48,583
Surface
grass
Attendance
47,694

Teams

Coaches
Luis Enrique · Didier Digard
Position
3 · 12
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-1-3-2

Referee

Mathieu Vernice

Weather

Conditions
snow
Temperature
-0.1° (feels -5.4°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 339

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Paris Saint Germain

WDWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 7.85–4.33 · xPts 9.34

  • W A Olympique Lyonnais 3–2 xG 0.93–0.77 FRA L1
  • L H FC Bayern München 1–2 xG 1.76–1.2 UEFA CL
  • W H Nice 1–0 xG 2.05–0.54 FRA L1
  • D A Lorient 1–1 xG 1.28–0.23 FRA L1
  • W A Brest 3–0 xG 1.83–1.59 FRA L1

Le Havre

LWWDD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 4.53–6.66 · xPts 6.25

  • D H Nantes 1–1 xG 1.39–0.16 FRA L1
  • D A Toulouse 0–0 xG 0.86–1.73 FRA L1
  • W H Brest 1–0 xG 0.91–0.52 FRA L1
  • W A Auxerre 1–0 xG 0.95–1.02 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Marseille 2–6 xG 0.42–3.23 FRA L1

All meetings · 8 matches since 2008

Paris Saint Germain 71 draws0 Le Havre

Goals 21–6 · 3.38 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Paris Saint Germain 71 draws0 Le Havre

Goals 21–6 · 3.38 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Paris Saint Germain 41 draws0 Le Havre

Goals 13–5 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Le Havre 0–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 1–4 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Paris Saint Germain 3–3 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 0–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Le Havre neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 1–3 Paris Saint Germain neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricParis Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain at home · 17Le Havre all · 34Le Havre away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.242.411.030.71
W / D / L24 / 4 / 613 / 2 / 27 / 14 / 132 / 6 / 9
Goals for / match2.182.410.940.71
Goals against / match0.850.711.291.53
Clean sheets53%65%24%24%
Failed to score6%0%41%47%
Both teams scored41%35%50%41%
Over 2.562%71%32%24%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.992.251.181.03
xG against / match0.980.801.531.90
xG difference1.011.45-0.36-0.87
Finishing vs xG0.180.16-0.24-0.32
xPts / match1.992.241.190.88
Points vs xPts0.250.18-0.16-0.17
Game state
Scored first85%88%35%35%
PPG when scoring first2.622.732.081.50
PPG when conceding first0.000.000.290.11
Came back from behind14%33%28%10%
Leads held83%87%58%33%
Minutes leading44%50%14%10%
Minutes level45%38%60%62%
Minutes trailing11%12%26%28%
First goal (min)38364143
First goal conceded (min)38253843
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%58%56%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%42%48%58%
Late goals for (76'+)0.530.590.180.12
Late goals against0.240.060.260.41
Style
Possession69%69%47%47%
Shots17.720.210.99.9
On target6.77.03.63.4
Shot conversion12%12%9%7%
Shots inside box63%61%62%62%
Big chances created3.73.52.01.7
Corners6.47.54.33.7
xG from set plays29%31%31%23%
Goals from headers15%12%19%25%
Pressure index27.430.39.97.2
Dominant minutes73.077.243.936.4
Pass accuracy91%91%80%80%
Fouls9.19.513.713.9
Cards1.181.242.032.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Le Havre

0–15'46
16–30'46
31–45'611
46–60'56
61–75'76
76–90'69

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: when behind +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.325
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Le Havre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: at home +0.15

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.064
Late push (76+, level)-0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.102

Game state

When level+0.084
When behind+0.212
10 min after conceding+0.113
10 min after scoring+0.212

Situations

At home+0.153
4+ days rest+0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.092
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.092

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.364

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.12

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Le Havre

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-37 21%0.860.571.141.231.31
4-1-3-26 18%1.00.671.171.361.68
4-1-4-15 15%0.61.01.61.221.26
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.61.41.511.35
3-4-1-24 12%0.750.751.01.191.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.22Home 77% P 80%6.5Draw 14% P 13%11.0Away 9% P 7%

Double Chance

1.05PSG or Draw 46% P 46%1.1PSG or Le Havre 44% P 44%4.5Draw or Le Havre 11% P 10%

Draw No Bet

1.061 90%10.02 10%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 43%1.66No 56% P 57%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 62% P 62%2.5Under 38% P 38%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%
3.52.25Over 41%1.57Under 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 77.5–80% · away 5–7.5% · 360 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home80%79%82%+3.0
Draw13%14%13%-1.5
Away7%7%5%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 63%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes43%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.6

Mathieu Vernice

Career
66 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.64 (4.29 yellow · 0.23 red)
Fouls / match
26.9 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 61 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.06+0.8788
Fouls / match26.924.3+1.43
Fouls per card6.06.0+0.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.460.36+0.9188
Time added7.36.7+0.5280
First card
29' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-28 80 440 43'14
2025-09-20 40 322 6'8
2025-08-17 40 290 31'9
2025-07-24 90 300 11'8
2025-05-10 · Paris Saint Germain 20 252 39'3
2025-04-27 81 250 43'9
2025-04-19 · Paris Saint Germain · Le Havre 17 6
2025-03-30 40 280 22'6
2025-03-08 · Paris Saint Germain 50 170 34'8
2025-03-02 41 200 17'8