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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 13
BrestBrest
3–2
FT
MetzMetz

Momentum

– BrestMetz –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest
Capacity
15,097
Surface
grass
Attendance
13,938

Teams

Coaches
Eric Roy · Stéphane Le Mignan
Position
15 · 14
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Gaël Angoula

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
9.2° (feels 7.8°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 186

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Brest

DLLDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 10 · xG 5.46–7.35 · xPts 6.22

  • L A Olympique Marseille 0–3 xG 0.32–3.05 FRA L1
  • D H Olympique Lyonnais 0–0 xG 1.45–0.18 FRA L1
  • L A Le Havre 0–1 xG 0.52–0.91 FRA L1
  • L H Paris Saint Germain 0–3 xG 1.59–1.83 FRA L1
  • D A Lorient 3–3 xG 1.58–1.38 FRA L1

Metz

LLWWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 11 · xG 6.73–8.76 · xPts 5.93

  • W H Nice 2–1 xG 1.51–1.18 FRA L1
  • W A Nantes 2–0 xG 0.93–1.09 FRA L1
  • W H Lens 2–0 xG 2.92–1.24 FRA L1
  • L A LOSC Lille 1–6 xG 1.19–2.44 FRA L1
  • L A Toulouse 0–4 xG 0.18–2.8 FRA L1

All meetings · 9 matches since 2019

Brest 70 draws2 Metz

Goals 17–11 · 3.11 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 9 matches

Brest 70 draws2 Metz

Goals 17–11 · 3.11 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 44%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Brest 50 draws0 Metz

Goals 10–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Metz 0–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 3–2 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 4–3 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Metz 0–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Metz 0–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 1–2 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 2–4 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Metz 0–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 2–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricBrest all · 34Brest at home · 17Metz all · 34Metz away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.530.500.41
W / D / L10 / 9 / 157 / 5 / 53 / 8 / 231 / 4 / 12
Goals for / match1.261.650.941.00
Goals against / match1.621.352.242.59
Clean sheets26%41%21%18%
Failed to score32%24%44%41%
Both teams scored47%47%50%53%
Over 2.550%47%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.291.681.000.84
xG against / match1.541.421.772.13
xG difference-0.250.25-0.77-1.29
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.03-0.060.16
xPts / match1.281.610.930.65
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.08-0.43-0.24
Game state
Scored first47%59%21%24%
PPG when scoring first1.942.301.141.00
PPG when conceding first0.380.200.180.09
Came back from behind21%17%8%8%
Leads held56%70%38%25%
Minutes leading24%33%6%6%
Minutes level44%43%52%45%
Minutes trailing32%24%42%50%
First goal (min)35264237
First goal conceded (min)33273124
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%50%56%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%39%55%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.240.320.29
Late goals against0.320.180.710.71
Style
Possession43%44%49%48%
Shots11.213.910.18.4
On target3.54.53.22.5
Shot conversion11%12%9%12%
Shots inside box63%63%62%64%
Big chances created2.23.01.41.0
Corners3.94.64.23.5
xG from set plays36%33%33%37%
Goals from headers21%25%16%19%
Pressure index8.110.28.77.3
Dominant minutes36.740.740.333.9
Pass accuracy78%78%85%85%
Fouls12.712.611.411.2
Cards1.851.761.762.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Brest

0–15'98
16–30'612
31–45'77
46–60'86
61–75'511
76–90'811

Metz

0–15'412
16–30'49
31–45'613
46–60'59
61–75'29
76–90'1124

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.434
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.313

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

Metz

No pressure profile yet.

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.421.381.421.351.38
4-3-35 15%0.21.02.21.512.04
4-1-4-12 6%0.51.53.50.512.69
3-4-31 3%0.00.01.00.271.95
4-4-21 3%3.02.00.01.791.34

Metz

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 56%0.581.112.051.041.7
3-4-2-15 15%0.20.42.60.771.98
4-3-34 12%0.250.753.01.022.05
4-1-4-13 9%1.00.671.331.421.38
5-3-22 6%0.00.02.00.321.82

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.83Home 52% P 52%3.8Draw 25% P 26%4.1Away 23% P 23%

Double Chance

1.18Brest or Draw 39% P 39%1.25Brest or Metz 37% P 37%2.0Draw or Metz 23% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 56%2.0No 47% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 54%2.0Under 47% P 46%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49% P 49%1.8Under 51% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 22.5–25% · 500 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home52%51%53%+2.3
Draw26%25%23%-2.6
Away23%23%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Gaël Angoula

Career
31 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
3.35 (3.26 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
22.6 · 6.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
38%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 32 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.284.06-1.670
Fouls / match21.824.3-1.25
Fouls per card6.76.0+0.84 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.36-0.4828
Time added8.76.7+1.5392
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
36% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.27

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-02 · Metz 40 160 26'7
2025-10-19 40 170 8'8
2025-10-04 · Brest 30 230 10'8
2025-01-10 41 151 12'11
2024-12-15 · Brest 60 240 15'10