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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 13

Momentum

ToulouseAngers SCO
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Capacity
33,150
Attendance
19,009

Teams

Coaches
Carles Martínez Novell · Alexandre Dujeux
Position
10 · 13
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Marc Bollengier

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
12.1° (feels 11.5°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
82%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Toulouse

WLDDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 8.59–6.28 · xPts 8.49

  • D A Lorient 1–1 xG 1.41–1.35 FRA L1
  • D H Le Havre 0–0 xG 1.73–0.86 FRA L1
  • D H Rennes 2–2 xG 1.78–0.97 FRA L1
  • L A Monaco 0–1 xG 0.86–2.93 FRA L1
  • W H Metz 4–0 xG 2.8–0.18 FRA L1

Angers SCO

DWDLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 5.34–8.06 · xPts 5.2

  • W H Auxerre 2–0 xG 1.08–0.97 FRA L1
  • L A LOSC Lille 0–1 xG 0.35–2.16 FRA L1
  • D A Olympique Marseille 2–2 xG 0.88–1.45 FRA L1
  • W H Lorient 2–0 xG 0.93–2.13 FRA L1
  • D H Monaco 1–1 xG 2.1–1.34 FRA L1

All meetings · 15 matches since 2015

Toulouse 74 draws4 Angers SCO

Goals 21–11 · 2.13 per match · BTTS 27% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Toulouse 43 draws3 Angers SCO

Goals 12–7 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Toulouse 21 draws2 Angers SCO

Goals 7–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Angers SCO 1–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Toulouse 0–1 Angers SCO FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Angers SCO 0–4 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Toulouse 1–1 Angers SCO FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Angers SCO 0–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 3–2 Angers SCO FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Toulouse 0–2 Angers SCO FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Toulouse 0–0 Angers SCO FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Angers SCO 0–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 2–0 Angers SCO FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricToulouse all · 33Toulouse at home · 17Angers SCO all · 34Angers SCO away · 17
Results
Matches33173417
Points per game1.331.411.060.76
W / D / L12 / 8 / 136 / 6 / 59 / 9 / 163 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.421.470.850.65
Goals against / match1.391.411.411.65
Clean sheets27%35%29%24%
Failed to score30%35%35%41%
Both teams scored48%41%41%41%
Over 2.554%53%29%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.381.631.010.93
xG against / match1.261.151.581.73
xG difference0.120.48-0.57-0.80
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.16-0.16-0.28
xPts / match1.471.681.010.87
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.270.04-0.10
Game state
Scored first39%35%29%24%
PPG when scoring first2.383.002.802.50
PPG when conceding first0.610.440.270.17
Came back from behind38%44%30%23%
Leads held80%100%90%75%
Minutes leading24%24%17%13%
Minutes level45%43%48%44%
Minutes trailing31%33%35%43%
First goal (min)41425154
First goal conceded (min)40353734
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%72%69%73%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%54%50%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.480.590.290.18
Late goals against0.300.240.120.06
Style
Possession42%43%42%40%
Shots12.814.79.38.4
On target4.34.83.32.8
Shot conversion11%10%9%8%
Shots inside box65%68%63%67%
Big chances created1.92.11.51.4
Corners4.55.13.63.0
xG from set plays38%38%26%37%
Goals from headers15%8%7%0%
Pressure index8.69.57.56.1
Dominant minutes38.240.832.326.7
Pass accuracy80%82%82%82%
Fouls14.413.911.19.4
Cards2.582.181.621.47

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Toulouse

0–15'95
16–30'49
31–45'78
46–60'58
61–75'66
76–90'1610

Angers SCO

0–15'17
16–30'67
31–45'210
46–60'68
61–75'412
76–90'104

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Toulouse · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when level +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)+0.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.182

Game state

When level+0.354
When behind+0.033
10 min after conceding-0.264
10 min after scoring+0.392

Situations

At home+0.422
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.422
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.063

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.044
Conceded late (76+)+0.104

Ahead vs level -0.73 · Behind vs level -0.32

Angers SCO · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.524
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.412

Game state

When level+0.304
When behind-0.122
10 min after conceding-0.173
10 min after scoring+0.122

Situations

At home-0.052
Away+0.122
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.122
As underdog+0.013

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.274

Ahead vs level -0.51 · Behind vs level -0.42

Toulouse

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 70%1.01.041.391.251.2
3-4-39 27%2.332.220.891.611.24
5-4-11 3%0.03.06.02.362.75

Angers SCO

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 59%1.31.151.351.181.55
3-5-25 15%0.80.41.20.61.62
5-3-24 12%0.50.51.50.851.59
4-3-32 6%0.00.03.00.942.22
3-5-1-11 3%1.01.01.00.821.89

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.65Home 57% P 56%3.6Draw 26% P 26%5.75Away 16% P 18%

Double Chance

1.14Toulouse or Draw 41% P 41%1.28Toulouse or Angers 37% P 37%2.1Draw or Angers 22% P 22%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 45%1.75No 53% P 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.72Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56% P 56%2.1Under 44% P 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%53%-2.8
Draw26%25%26%+1.0
Away18%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes45%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Marc Bollengier

Career
69 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.99 (3.7 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
25.9 · 6.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.43
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 68 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.06-0.1944
Fouls / match25.924.3+0.92
Fouls per card6.66.0+0.75 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.440.36+0.7580
Time added6.76.7+0.0840
First card
37' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.24

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-26 70 350 29'8
2025-10-19 50 251 51'8
2025-09-21 · Toulouse 71 321 35'9
2025-08-31 · Angers SCO 40 200 24'7
2025-08-23 10 212 88'10
2025-05-10 40 310 56'5
2025-04-26 20 8
2025-04-20 · Toulouse 11 230 27'7
2025-04-05 · Angers SCO 30 190 15'5
2025-03-30 40 280 18'5