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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 14
MonacoMonaco
1–0
FT
Paris Saint GermainPSG

Momentum

– MonacoPSG –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
14

Venue

Stadium
Stade Louis II., Monaco
Capacity
18,523
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,546

Teams

Coaches
Sebastien Pocognoli · Luis Enrique
Position
8 · 1
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Clément Turpin

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
9.9° (feels 7.7°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
76%

Where to watch · 283

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Monaco

LWLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 11 · xG 8.12–9.56 · xPts 6.09

  • D A Pafos FC 2–2 xG 1.57–1.22 UEFA CL
  • L A Rennes 1–4 xG 1.4–2.67 FRA L1
  • L H Lens 1–4 xG 2.88–2.68 FRA L1
  • W A Bodø / Glimt 1–0 xG 1.41–1.94 UEFA CL
  • L H Paris 0–1 xG 0.86–1.05 FRA L1

Paris Saint Germain

WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 13 GA 7 · xG 11.05–5.66 · xPts 9.81

  • W H Tottenham Hotspur 5–3 xG 2.0–1.57 UEFA CL
  • W H Le Havre 3–0 xG 4.31–1.58 FRA L1
  • W A Olympique Lyonnais 3–2 xG 0.93–0.77 FRA L1
  • L H FC Bayern München 1–2 xG 1.76–1.2 UEFA CL
  • W H Nice 1–0 xG 2.05–0.54 FRA L1

All meetings · 41 matches since 2005

Monaco 1215 draws14 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 56–70 · 3.07 per match · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Monaco 42 draws4 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 18–21 · 3.9 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Monaco 31 draws1 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 10–7 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Paris Saint Germain 1–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 1–3 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Monaco UEFA CL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • L Monaco 2–3 Paris Saint Germain UEFA CL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 1/2
  • W Monaco 1–0 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 4–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 2–4 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Monaco 0–0 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 5–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 3–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricMonaco all · 34Monaco at home · 17Paris Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.591.882.242.06
W / D / L16 / 6 / 1210 / 2 / 524 / 4 / 611 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match1.761.942.181.94
Goals against / match1.591.350.851.00
Clean sheets21%29%53%41%
Failed to score21%12%6%12%
Both teams scored65%59%41%47%
Over 2.565%65%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.631.761.991.74
xG against / match1.431.210.981.16
xG difference0.200.551.010.58
Finishing vs xG0.140.180.180.20
xPts / match1.491.681.991.74
Points vs xPts0.100.200.250.32
Game state
Scored first44%53%85%82%
PPG when scoring first2.533.002.622.50
PPG when conceding first0.820.630.000.00
Came back from behind33%38%14%0%
Leads held84%100%83%79%
Minutes leading28%34%44%37%
Minutes level51%49%45%52%
Minutes trailing21%17%11%11%
First goal (min)43393841
First goal conceded (min)47483846
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%64%55%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%56%55%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.410.530.47
Late goals against0.410.290.240.41
Style
Possession54%55%69%68%
Shots12.512.117.715.2
On target4.44.56.76.4
Shot conversion14%16%12%13%
Shots inside box73%74%63%66%
Big chances created3.03.13.73.8
Corners5.14.96.45.2
xG from set plays25%26%29%26%
Goals from headers12%12%15%18%
Pressure index12.313.227.424.6
Dominant minutes50.052.673.068.8
Pass accuracy83%84%91%91%
Fouls13.012.89.18.6
Cards2.442.061.181.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Monaco

0–15'55
16–30'76
31–45'1010
46–60'127
61–75'1412
76–90'1214

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Monaco · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.006
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306

Game state

When ahead-0.165
When level+0.216
When behind+0.122
10 min after conceding-0.413
10 min after scoring+0.236

Situations

At home-0.072
Away+0.024
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest+0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
As favourite+0.013
Evenly matched+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.235
Conceded late (76+)+0.025

Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.10

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.675

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Monaco

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 41%1.571.641.291.471.31
4-2-3-17 21%1.861.711.141.731.2
3-1-4-23 9%2.03.03.02.472.15
3-4-1-22 6%3.02.51.02.081.55
4-4-22 6%3.03.51.52.121.25

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.5Home 21% P 21%4.33Draw 22% P 22%1.66Away 57% P 57%

Double Chance

2.25Monaco or Draw 21% P 22%1.18Monaco or PSG 40% P 39%1.18Draw or PSG 40% P 40%

Draw No Bet

3.751 25%1.252 75%

Both Teams To Score

1.4Yes 66% P 66%2.75No 34% P 34%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.36Over 70% P 68%3.2Under 30% P 32%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.52.2Over 42% P 44%1.61Under 58% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 55–57.5% · 207 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home21%21%18%-2.6
Draw22%23%25%+2.1
Away57%56%57%+0.4

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 63%

Both teams to score · yes 65–67.5% · 319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes66%66%66%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.568%69%69%+0.6

Clément Turpin

Career
414 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.74 (3.47 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.38
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 91 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.474.06-1.2512
Fouls / match23.724.3-0.25
Fouls per card6.96.0+1.17 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.36-0.7416
Time added6.16.7-0.3424
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-04 20 160 63'6
2025-11-02 11 250 8'9
2025-10-29 50 211 45'7
2025-10-17 · Paris Saint Germain 30 201 56'8
2025-10-04 –– 15– –10
2025-09-30 80 261 36'13
2025-09-19 40 260 20'6
2025-08-27 60 351 37'8
2025-08-17 30 240 15'13
2025-08-05 30 241 19'6