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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 14
LorientLorient
3–1
FT
NiceNice

Momentum

– LorientNice –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
14

Venue

Stadium
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir, Lorient
Capacity
18,110
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
15,648

Teams

Coaches
Olivier Pantaloni · Franck Haise
Position
17 · 9
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Romain Lissorgue

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
8.0° (feels 6.4°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
80%

Where to watch · 189

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Lorient

LDLDD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 6.29–6.79 · xPts 6.19

  • D A Nantes 1–1 xG 0.49–1.01 FRA L1
  • D H Toulouse 1–1 xG 1.35–1.41 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 0–3 xG 2.1–2.16 FRA L1
  • D H Paris Saint Germain 1–1 xG 0.23–1.28 FRA L1
  • L A Angers SCO 0–2 xG 2.13–0.93 FRA L1

Nice

LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 14 · xG 5.27–9.28 · xPts 4.37

  • L A Porto 0–3 xG 0.81–1.31 UEFA EL
  • L H Olympique Marseille 1–5 xG 1.15–2.29 FRA L1
  • L A Metz 1–2 xG 1.18–1.51 FRA L1
  • L H SC Freiburg 1–3 xG 1.59–2.13 UEFA EL
  • L A Paris Saint Germain 0–1 xG 0.54–2.05 FRA L1

All meetings · 33 matches since 2006

Lorient 712 draws14 Nice

Goals 32–42 · 2.24 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lorient 25 draws3 Nice

Goals 12–14 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lorient 13 draws1 Nice

Goals 7–8 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Nice 0–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 3–3 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 3–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 3–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 1–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 1–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 1–2 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 2–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 1–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 1–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLorient all · 34Lorient at home · 17Nice all · 34Nice away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.321.760.940.71
W / D / L11 / 12 / 118 / 6 / 37 / 11 / 163 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match1.411.821.091.06
Goals against / match1.501.471.761.94
Clean sheets21%24%18%12%
Failed to score29%6%32%29%
Both teams scored53%71%59%65%
Over 2.544%53%50%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.621.241.11
xG against / match1.381.181.711.78
xG difference-0.030.43-0.47-0.67
Finishing vs xG0.070.21-0.15-0.05
xPts / match1.341.611.120.99
Points vs xPts-0.010.16-0.18-0.28
Game state
Scored first47%65%38%41%
PPG when scoring first2.192.181.851.43
PPG when conceding first0.531.000.280.11
Came back from behind42%62%24%8%
Leads held65%67%54%43%
Minutes leading26%37%20%15%
Minutes level49%50%48%47%
Minutes trailing25%13%32%38%
First goal (min)37364242
First goal conceded (min)45483838
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%55%49%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%72%52%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.240.210.24
Late goals against0.470.530.350.29
Style
Possession45%46%46%47%
Shots11.311.911.29.5
On target3.94.43.93.5
Shot conversion12%15%10%11%
Shots inside box63%64%65%66%
Big chances created2.02.52.72.1
Corners3.53.25.14.6
xG from set plays33%34%27%28%
Goals from headers6%10%11%6%
Pressure index10.110.69.08.4
Dominant minutes42.843.640.939.2
Pass accuracy84%84%82%82%
Fouls9.59.512.412.5
Cards1.681.712.122.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lorient

0–15'46
16–30'76
31–45'95
46–60'811
61–75'77
76–90'1316

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lorient · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.96

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)+0.374
Late push (76+, level)-0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.322
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.963

Situations

At home-0.072
Away-0.182
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
Evenly matched-0.232

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Ahead vs level -0.18 · Behind vs level +0.28

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.092

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.403
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.252
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Lorient

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%1.291.391.681.371.46
3-4-34 12%1.751.750.51.680.99
5-4-12 6%1.01.01.00.410.96

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-5-23 9%0.330.671.671.421.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.35Home 40% P 40%3.4Draw 28% P 28%3.0Away 32% P 32%

Double Chance

1.36Lorient or Draw 34% P 34%1.3Lorient or Nice 36% P 36%1.57Draw or Nice 30% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 60%2.25No 41% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 53%2.1Under 45% P 47%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 53%1.83Under 50% P 47%
5.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%39%39%-0.2
Draw28%30%31%+1.5
Away32%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Romain Lissorgue

Career
60 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.05 (3.7 yellow · 0.25 red)
Fouls / match
26.0 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.42
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 54 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.24.06+0.2264
Fouls / match26.324.3+1.12
Fouls per card6.46.0+0.46 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.460.36+0.9692
Time added7.16.7+0.3764
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 24% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.43

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-08 60 280 22'8
2025-09-13 91 310 38'10
2025-08-30 · Lorient 60 321 28'10
2025-08-16 50 330 34'9
2025-07-15 61 260 34'4
2025-05-04 30 320 13'12
2025-04-06 50 341 19'9
2025-03-28 40 271 66'7
2025-03-09 20 220 31'7
2025-02-16 31 271 37'7