Rating 7.23 (93th pct) · G+A 4 + 5 (14% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 14
Momentum
– OMToulouse –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Olympique Marseille | at home | Stat | league | away | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.9 #2 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 42.2 #16 |
| 15.1 #3 | – | Shots total | 12.4 | – | 12.8 #6 |
| 5.7 #2 | – | Shots on target | 4.3 | – | 4.3 #9 |
| 5.2 #6 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 4.5 #10 |
| 12.7 #7 | – | Fouls | 12.0 | – | 14.4 #1 |
| 1.2 #17 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.1 #18 |
| 14.9 #15 | – | Tackles | 16.4 | – | 16.4 #9 |
| 103.7 #4 | – | Attacks | 92.9 | – | 88.4 #12 |
| 50.0 #5 | – | Dangerous attacks | 43.9 | – | 41.1 #10 |
| 540.7 #2 | – | Passes | 454.3 | – | 374.0 #16 |
| 2.4 #2 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.4 #1 |
| 0.1 #9 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| 1.4 #3 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.0 #8 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 50.8 | – | – #12 |
| – #8 | – | Cleansheet | 28.3 | – | – #7 |
| – #16 | – | Draw | 24.3 | – | – #8 |
| 1.7 #3 | – | Expected goals | 1.4 | – | 1.4 #9 |
| 0.2 #4 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | 0.0 #8 |
| – #12 | – | Failed to score | 28.4 | – | – #8 |
| 1.9 #3 | 2.4 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 #9 |
| 1.3 #12 | 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 #10 |
| 0.3 #8 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.4 #7 |
| 8.7 #13 | – | Interceptions | 9.3 | – | 9.8 #6 |
| – #11 | – | Lost | 37.9 | – | – #7 |
| 0.2 #2 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #10 |
| 6.9 #3 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #9 |
| 3.5 #6 | – | Shots blocked | 3.3 | – | 3.4 #8 |
| 9.6 #3 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.2 | – | 8.4 #7 |
| 5.9 #3 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 5.1 #5 |
| 5.5 #2 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 4.5 #5 |
| – #3 | – | Win | 37.8 | – | – #9 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 305 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.83 (home 1.59 · away 1.24)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 24% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 51% · 53%
- Cards / match
- 3.95 (reds 0.18)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Olympique Marseille · 2025/2026 · Ligue 1
Rating 7.07 (82th pct) · G+A 8 + 3 (17% of team goals) · 43% of minutes
Team 1.87 ppg with (15) · 1.63 without (19)
Rating 7.07 (93th pct) · G+A 0 + 3 (5% of team goals) · 69% of minutes
Team 1.61 ppg with (23) · 2.0 without (11)
Toulouse · 2025/2026 · Ligue 1
Rating 7.26 (96th pct) · G+A 4 + 5 (19% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.29 ppg with (28) · 1.6 without (5)
Rating 7.09 (85th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (11% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Team 1.21 ppg with (28) · 2.0 without (5)
Rating 6.78 (39th pct) · G+A 5 + 6 (23% of team goals) · 44% of minutes
Team 1.71 ppg with (14) · 1.05 without (19)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 14
Venue
- Stadium
- Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
- Capacity
- 67,395
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 65,163
Teams
- Coaches
- Roberto De Zerbi · Carles Martínez Novell
- Position
- 2 · 10
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Eric Wattellier
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 11.3° (feels 10.6°)
- Wind
- 0.5
- Humidity
- 79%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain |
34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 76 | WDWWL |
| 2 |  Lens |
34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66 | 35 | 31 | 70 | DDWLW |
| 3 |  LOSC Lille |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 61 | DWDWL |
| 4 |  Olympique Lyonnais |
34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 60 | WWWLL |
| 5 |  Olympique Marseille |
34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 59 | LDLWW |
| 6 |  Rennes |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 59 | WWLWL |
| 7 |  Monaco |
34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60 | 54 | 6 | 54 | DDWLL |
| 8 |  Strasbourg |
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 53 | WLDWW |
| 9 |  Lorient |
34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 45 | WLDWL |
| 10 |  Toulouse |
33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 44 | LLDWW |
| 11 |  Paris |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 44 | WLWLW |
| 12 |  Brest |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 39 | DLLLD |
| 13 |  Angers SCO |
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 36 | DLLDD |
| 14 |  Le Havre |
34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 35 | DDDLW |
| 15 |  Auxerre |
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 34 | DLWWW |
| 16 |  Nice |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | DDDLD |
| 17 |  Nantes |
33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 23 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Metz |
34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 76 | -44 | 17 | LDLLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens |
17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 13 | 22 | 42 | DDWLW |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 12 | 29 | 41 | WDWWL |
| 3 | Olympique Marseille |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 37 | LDLWW |
| 4 | Olympique Lyonnais |
17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 37 | WWWLL |
| 5 | Rennes |
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 34 | WWLWL |
| 6 | Monaco |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 32 | DDWLL |
| 7 | Strasbourg |
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 | WLDWW |
| 8 | Lorient |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 30 | WLDWL |
| 9 | LOSC Lille |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 | DWDWL |
| 10 | Brest |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 26 | DLLLD |
| 11 | Paris |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 25 | WLWLW |
| 12 | Toulouse |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 24 | LLDWW |
| 13 | Le Havre |
17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 | DDDLW |
| 14 | Angers SCO |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 23 | DLLDD |
| 15 | Auxerre |
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 22 | DLWWW |
| 16 | Nice |
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 20 | DDDLD |
| 17 | Nantes |
16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 12 | DLLWL |
| 18 | Metz |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 10 | LDLLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain |
17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 35 | WDWWL |
| 2 | LOSC Lille |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 3 | Lens |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 28 | DDWLW |
| 4 | Rennes |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 25 | WWLWL |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Strasbourg |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 23 | WLDWW |
| 7 | Olympique Marseille |
17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 | LDLWW |
| 8 | Monaco |
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 22 | DDWLL |
| 9 | Toulouse |
16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 20 | LLDWW |
| 10 | Paris |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 19 | WLWLW |
| 11 | Lorient |
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 | WLDWL |
| 12 | Brest |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 13 | DLLLD |
| 13 | Angers SCO |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 13 | DLLDD |
| 14 | Auxerre |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 12 | DLWWW |
| 15 | Le Havre |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 12 | DDDLW |
| 16 | Nice |
17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 12 | DDDLD |
| 17 | Nantes |
17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 11 | DLLWL |
| 18 | Metz |
17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 44 | -27 | 7 | LDLLD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Olympique Marseille
WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 3 · xG 8.46–5.28 · xPts 8.37
- W
H
Newcastle United
2–1
xG 1.72–1.55
UEFA CL - W
A
Nice
5–1
xG 2.29–1.15
FRA L1
- W
H
Brest
3–0
xG 3.05–0.32
FRA L1
- L
H
Atalanta
0–1
xG 0.81–1.44
UEFA CL - W
A
Auxerre
1–0
xG 0.59–0.83
FRA L1
WWLLDWLWWW 6W 1D 3L · 19 pts (1.9 ppg) · GF 24 GA 11 · xG 17.47–9.47 · xPts 17.61
- W
H
Newcastle United
2–1
xG 1.72–1.55
UEFA CL
- W
A
Nice
5–1
xG 2.29–1.15
FRA L1
- W
H
Brest
3–0
xG 3.05–0.32
FRA L1
- L
H
Atalanta
0–1
xG 0.81–1.44
UEFA CL
- W
A
Auxerre
1–0
xG 0.59–0.83
FRA L1
- D
H
Angers SCO
2–2
xG 1.45–0.88
FRA L1
- L
A
Lens
1–2
xG 0.9–1.55
FRA L1
- L
A
Sporting CP
1–2
xG 0.69–1.15
UEFA CL - W
H
Le Havre
6–2
xG 3.23–0.42
FRA L1
- W
A
Metz
3–0
xG 2.74–0.19
FRA L1
Toulouse
LDDDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 7.57–6.59 · xPts 7.98
- L
H
Angers SCO
0–1
xG 1.79–0.48
FRA L1
- D
A
Lorient
1–1
xG 1.41–1.35
FRA L1
- D
H
Le Havre
0–0
xG 1.73–0.86
FRA L1
- D
H
Rennes
2–2
xG 1.78–0.97
FRA L1
- L
A
Monaco
0–1
xG 0.86–2.93
FRA L1
LLDWWLDDDL 2W 4D 4L · 10 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 11 · xG 17.24–12.33 · xPts 17.23
- L
H
Angers SCO
0–1
xG 1.79–0.48
FRA L1
- D
A
Lorient
1–1
xG 1.41–1.35
FRA L1
- D
H
Le Havre
0–0
xG 1.73–0.86
FRA L1
- D
H
Rennes
2–2
xG 1.78–0.97
FRA L1
- L
A
Monaco
0–1
xG 0.86–2.93
FRA L1
- W
H
Metz
4–0
xG 2.8–0.18
FRA L1
- W
A
Olympique Lyonnais
2–1
xG 1.4–1.04
FRA L1
- D
H
Nantes
2–2
xG 2.27–1.45
FRA L1
- L
A
Auxerre
0–1
xG 2.3–0.58
FRA L1
- L
A
LOSC Lille
1–2
xG 0.89–2.49
FRA L1
All meetings · 38 matches since 2005
Goals 63–33 · 2.53 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 45%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 23–10 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 11–7 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W Toulouse 0–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Olympique Marseille 2–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Olympique Marseille 3–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Toulouse 1–3 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Toulouse 2–2 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Olympique Marseille 0–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Toulouse 2–3 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Olympique Marseille 6–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Olympique Marseille 1–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Toulouse 0–2 Olympique Marseille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
| Metric | Olympique Marseille all · 34 | Olympique Marseille at home · 17 | Toulouse all · 33 | Toulouse away · 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 33 | 16 |
| Points per game | 1.74 | 2.18 | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| W / D / L | 18 / 5 / 11 | 11 / 4 / 2 | 12 / 8 / 13 | 6 / 2 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.85 | 2.41 | 1.42 | 1.38 |
| Goals against / match | 1.32 | 1.18 | 1.39 | 1.38 |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 29% | 27% | 19% |
| Failed to score | 24% | 6% | 30% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 65% | 48% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 71% | 54% | 56% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.70 | 1.78 | 1.38 | 1.11 |
| xG against / match | 1.20 | 1.05 | 1.26 | 1.38 |
| xG difference | 0.49 | 0.74 | 0.12 | -0.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.16 | 0.63 | 0.04 | 0.26 |
| xPts / match | 1.69 | 1.83 | 1.47 | 1.24 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.04 | 0.34 | -0.13 | 0.01 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 59% | 71% | 39% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.40 | 2.42 | 2.38 | 1.86 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.79 | 1.60 | 0.61 | 0.78 |
| Came back from behind | 31% | 67% | 38% | 33% |
| Leads held | 72% | 69% | 80% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 38% | 47% | 24% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 41% | 40% | 45% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 21% | 14% | 31% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 36 | 41 | 41 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | 46 | 40 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 61% | 57% | 41% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 69% | 70% | 52% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.71 | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| Late goals against | 0.44 | 0.59 | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 58% | 42% | 41% |
| Shots | 15.1 | 15.8 | 12.8 | 10.9 |
| On target | 5.7 | 6.3 | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 15% | 11% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 64% | 65% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 5.6 | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 26% | 38% | 36% |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 12% | 15% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 17.6 | 19.4 | 8.6 | 7.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 58.3 | 61.0 | 38.2 | 35.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 87% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 12.9 | 14.4 | 14.8 |
| Cards | 2.53 | 2.41 | 2.58 | 3.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Olympique Marseille
0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715
Toulouse
0–15'95
16–30'49
31–45'78
46–60'58
61–75'66
76–90'1610
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Olympique Marseille · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064
Game state
When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563
Situations
At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325
Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27
Toulouse · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when level +0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)+0.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.182
Game state
When level+0.354
When behind+0.033
10 min after conceding-0.264
10 min after scoring+0.402
Situations
At home+0.422
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.204
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.422
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.063
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.044
Conceded late (76+)+0.104
Ahead vs level -0.73 · Behind vs level -0.32
Olympique Marseille
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 18 53% | 2.17 | 2.44 | 1.17 | 1.9 | 1.23 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 9 26% | 1.44 | 1.67 | 1.44 | 1.52 | 1.09 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 6% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.31 | 0.95 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.81 | 1.38 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.59 | 0.83 |
Toulouse
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 23 70% | 1.0 | 1.04 | 1.39 | 1.25 | 1.2 |
| 3-4-3 | 9 27% | 2.33 | 2.22 | 0.89 | 1.61 | 1.24 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 2.36 | 2.75 |
| Metric | Olympique Marseille all · 10 | Olympique Marseille at home · 10 | Toulouse all · 10 | Toulouse away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 6 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 2 / 3 / 5 | 3 / 2 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 2.30 | 1.30 | 1.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.70 | 1.30 | 2.10 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 0% | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 80% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 80% | 80% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.71 | 1.70 | 1.35 | 0.97 |
| xG against / match | 1.71 | 1.22 | 1.60 | 1.45 |
| xG difference | 0.00 | 0.48 | -0.25 | -0.49 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.51 | 0.60 | -0.05 | 0.63 |
| xPts / match | 1.40 | 1.69 | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.40 | 0.31 | -0.41 | -0.03 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 80% | 30% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | 2.13 | 1.33 | 1.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 1.50 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
| Leads held | 75% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 21% | 46% | 20% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 43% | 47% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 34% | 11% | 33% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 33 | 29 | 26 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 54 | 41 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 65% | 54% | 31% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 71% | 77% | 57% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 56% | 43% | 45% |
| Shots | 15.9 | 16.5 | 12.7 | 11.8 |
| On target | 5.3 | 6.3 | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 14% | 10% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 64% | 61% | 55% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 5.6 | 3.8 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 20% | 28% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 4% | 38% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 14.5 | 17.3 | 10.7 | 9.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.1 | 58.6 | 42.8 | 41.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 87% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 11.8 | 16.0 | 15.3 |
| Cards | 2.10 | 2.20 | 2.50 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Olympique Marseille
0–15'33
16–30'12
31–45'00
46–60'48
61–75'20
76–90'24
Toulouse
0–15'41
16–30'15
31–45'13
46–60'12
61–75'35
76–90'35
Olympique Marseille
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.67 | 1.77 | 1.67 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 2.24 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.04 | 1.24 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.81 | 1.38 |
Toulouse
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 1.17 | 1.5 | 2.33 | 1.05 | 1.65 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.52 |
| Metric | Olympique Marseille all · 42 | Olympique Marseille at home · 21 | Toulouse all · 33 | Toulouse away · 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 42 | 21 | 33 | 16 |
| Points per game | 1.55 | 1.90 | 1.21 | 1.19 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 17 | 12 / 4 / 5 | 10 / 10 / 13 | 5 / 4 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.69 | 2.10 | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.24 | 1.36 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 29% | 21% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 26% | 14% | 36% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 57% | 48% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 71% | 54% | 62% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.55 | 1.63 | 1.44 | 1.15 |
| xG against / match | 1.23 | 1.19 | 1.23 | 1.41 |
| xG difference | 0.31 | 0.44 | 0.21 | -0.27 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.14 | 0.46 | -0.11 | 0.35 |
| xPts / match | 1.57 | 1.64 | 1.53 | 1.26 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.02 | 0.26 | -0.31 | -0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 57% | 33% | 38% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.29 | 2.42 | 2.36 | 1.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.81 | 1.22 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 50% | 41% | 42% |
| Leads held | 71% | 71% | 77% | 62% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 40% | 23% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 38% | 42% | 47% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 18% | 30% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 36 | 37 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 44 | 40 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 66% | 54% | 42% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 65% | 53% | 42% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.38 | 0.52 | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| Late goals against | 0.45 | 0.62 | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 57% | 44% | 43% |
| Shots | 14.8 | 15.6 | 13.5 | 10.9 |
| On target | 5.6 | 6.0 | 4.4 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 13% | 10% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 61% | 62% | 66% | 63% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 20% | 37% | 37% |
| Goals from headers | 7% | 9% | 18% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 15.3 | 16.3 | 10.2 | 8.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.1 | 55.6 | 42.3 | 38.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 87% | 81% | 80% |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 12.3 | 15.1 | 15.6 |
| Cards | 2.40 | 2.29 | 2.45 | 2.69 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Olympique Marseille
0–15'1312
16–30'96
31–45'74
46–60'1613
61–75'109
76–90'1619
Toulouse
0–15'102
16–30'410
31–45'69
46–60'47
61–75'78
76–90'139
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Olympique Marseille · 42 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.58
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2342
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2742
Late push (76+, level)+0.1513
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3017
Game state
When ahead+0.1328
When level+0.2242
When behind+0.3724
10 min after conceding-0.0130
10 min after scoring+0.5831
Situations
With ten men-0.254
Against ten men+0.392
At home+0.2021
Away+0.2821
3 days rest or fewer+0.375
4+ days rest+0.2237
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1214
v mid-tier opponents+0.2712
v bottom-tier opponents+0.438
As favourite+0.3127
Evenly matched+0.319
As underdog-0.216
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1042
Conceded when ahead+0.0128
Conceded late (76+)-0.1037
Congested vs rested +0.15 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.15
Toulouse · 33 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: with ten men -0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0933
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0433
Late push (76+, level)-0.2416
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0617
Game state
When ahead-0.2612
When level-0.0533
When behind-0.0222
10 min after conceding-0.2826
10 min after scoring+0.1020
Situations
With ten men-0.354
Against ten men-0.203
At home-0.0217
Away-0.1516
4+ days rest-0.0933
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1412
v mid-tier opponents-0.0411
v bottom-tier opponents-0.007
As favourite-0.0613
Evenly matched-0.0810
As underdog-0.1210
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1133
Conceded when ahead+0.4312
Conceded late (76+)+0.0630
Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.03
Olympique Marseille
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 21 50% | 2.0 | 2.19 | 1.33 | 1.78 | 1.17 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 24% | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.43 | 1.1 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 7% | 2.0 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.39 | 0.88 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 7% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 2.0 | 1.44 | 1.77 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.83 | 2.23 |
Toulouse
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 23 70% | 1.0 | 1.04 | 1.39 | 1.25 | 1.2 |
| 3-4-3 | 6 18% | 2.5 | 2.67 | 1.0 | 1.93 | 1.12 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 12% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.52 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.66Home 56% P 58%3.9Draw 24% P 24%4.75Away 20% P 18%
Double Chance
1.16Marseille or Draw 41% P 41%1.25Marseille or Toulouse 38% P 38%2.15Draw or Toulouse 22% P 21%
Draw No Bet
1.251 75%3.752 25%
Both Teams To Score
1.7Yes 55% P 55%2.05No 45% P 45%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%
Total Corners
7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%
Number of Cards
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 17.5–20% · 511 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 58% | 59% | 60% | +1.3 |
| Draw | 24% | 23% | 24% | +1.3 |
| Away | 18% | 18% | 16% | -2.6 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 57%
Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55% | 54% | 54% | -0.2 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Eric Wattellier
- Career
- 147 matches · 9 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.39 (3.16 yellow · 0.18 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.6 · 6.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.4
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 94 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.43 | 4.06 | -1.33 | 8 |
| Fouls / match | 20.6 | 24.3 | -1.89 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.1 | 6.0 | +0.04 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.43 | 0.36 | +0.59 | 76 |
| Time added | 6.3 | 6.7 | -0.20 | 32 |
- First card
- 40' on average
- Card timing
- 13% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.33
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 36' | 8 |
| 2025-10-26 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 1 | 61' | 11 |
| 2025-10-19 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 45' | 6 |
| 2025-09-20 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 36' | 11 |
| 2025-08-30 · Toulouse | 1 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 82' | 10 |
| 2025-08-23 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 54' | 9 |
| 2025-08-14 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 22' | 7 |
| 2025-05-10 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 52' | 7 |
| 2025-05-04 · Olympique Marseille | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 29' | 4 |
| 2025-04-19 | 6 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 12' | 6 |