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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 14
StrasbourgStrasbourg
1–2
FT
BrestBrest

Momentum

– StrasbourgBrest –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
14

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Capacity
29,200
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,017

Teams

Coaches
Liam Rosenior · Eric Roy
Position
7 · 14
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Bastien Dechepy

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
7.0° (feels 6.2°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
93%

Where to watch · 194

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Strasbourg

LWWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 6.02–7.16 · xPts 6.04

  • W H Crystal Palace 2–1 xG 2.41–1.68 UEFA ECL
  • L A Lens 0–1 xG 0.54–1.81 FRA L1
  • W H LOSC Lille 2–0 xG 0.41–0.26 FRA L1
  • W A Häcken 2–1 xG 1.04–1.05 UEFA ECL
  • L A Rennes 1–4 xG 1.63–2.37 FRA L1

Brest

LLDLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 9 · xG 7.03–6.93 · xPts 7.23

  • W H Metz 3–2 xG 3.15–0.96 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Marseille 0–3 xG 0.32–3.05 FRA L1
  • D H Olympique Lyonnais 0–0 xG 1.45–0.18 FRA L1
  • L A Le Havre 0–1 xG 0.52–0.91 FRA L1
  • L H Paris Saint Germain 0–3 xG 1.59–1.83 FRA L1

All meetings · 13 matches since 2019

Strasbourg 44 draws5 Brest

Goals 15–20 · 2.69 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Strasbourg 33 draws4 Brest

Goals 10–13 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Strasbourg 11 draws3 Brest

Goals 4–9 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Brest 1–2 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 1–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Strasbourg 0–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 3–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 0–3 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Brest 1–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 0–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Brest 1–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 0–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 3–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricStrasbourg all · 34Strasbourg at home · 17Brest all · 34Brest away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.561.761.150.76
W / D / L15 / 8 / 119 / 3 / 510 / 9 / 153 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.711.761.260.88
Goals against / match1.381.121.621.88
Clean sheets26%41%26%12%
Failed to score18%18%32%41%
Both teams scored65%53%47%47%
Over 2.565%65%50%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.461.501.290.91
xG against / match1.331.051.541.66
xG difference0.130.45-0.25-0.75
Finishing vs xG0.240.26-0.03-0.02
xPts / match1.441.631.280.95
Points vs xPts0.120.13-0.13-0.19
Game state
Scored first56%71%47%35%
PPG when scoring first2.052.081.941.33
PPG when conceding first0.921.000.380.45
Came back from behind31%17%21%23%
Leads held65%69%56%38%
Minutes leading26%31%24%15%
Minutes level52%59%44%45%
Minutes trailing22%10%32%41%
First goal (min)41383547
First goal conceded (min)39463338
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%57%49%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%63%51%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.240.240.24
Late goals against0.350.350.320.47
Style
Possession54%52%43%42%
Shots11.512.111.28.6
On target4.65.13.52.5
Shot conversion15%15%11%10%
Shots inside box69%70%63%63%
Big chances created3.03.32.21.5
Corners4.24.93.93.1
xG from set plays23%21%36%42%
Goals from headers16%10%21%13%
Pressure index14.216.38.16.1
Dominant minutes54.756.636.732.6
Pass accuracy88%88%78%78%
Fouls11.19.612.712.9
Cards1.941.471.851.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Strasbourg

0–15'47
16–30'106
31–45'115
46–60'914
61–75'103
76–90'1412

Brest

0–15'98
16–30'612
31–45'77
46–60'86
61–75'511
76–90'811

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Strasbourg · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Game state

When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023

Situations

At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.434
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.313

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

Strasbourg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.591.761.471.61.46
3-4-2-110 29%1.11.61.41.551.24
4-4-1-12 6%1.52.02.01.021.73
3-5-21 3%0.01.02.00.621.57
4-4-21 3%3.03.02.01.961.72

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.421.381.421.351.38
4-3-35 15%0.21.02.21.512.04
4-1-4-12 6%0.51.53.50.512.69
4-2-2-21 3%0.00.02.00.90.43
4-4-21 3%3.02.00.01.791.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.8Home 53% P 53%3.8Draw 25% P 25%4.33Away 22% P 22%

Double Chance

1.2Strasbourg or Draw 39% P 39%1.25Strasbourg or Brest 37% P 37%1.95Draw or Brest 24% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 58%2.1No 44% P 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 56%2.1Under 45% P 44%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home53%54%56%+2.6
Draw25%25%27%+1.4
Away22%21%17%-4.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes58%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Bastien Dechepy

Career
99 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.14 (3.87 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
25.1 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 82 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.34.06+0.4276
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.23
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.33 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.36+0.5072
Time added6.56.7-0.0636
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.21

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-08 31 342 45'10
2025-10-29 60 211 35'8
2025-10-18 31 291 34'11
2025-09-28 61 250 1'7
2025-09-14 · Brest 31 211 23'9
2025-08-24 · Strasbourg 40 200 22'9
2025-08-07 40 250 53'8
2025-07-24 60 342 21'6
2025-05-10 70 290 51'6
2025-03-16 50 322 37'9