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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 15
AuxerreAuxerre
3–1
FT
MetzMetz

Momentum

– AuxerreMetz –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
15

Venue

Stadium
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre
Capacity
18,541
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,588

Teams

Coaches
Christophe Pélissier · Stéphane Le Mignan
Position
18 · 17
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Eric Wattellier

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
13.3° (feels 12.9°)
Wind
8.9
Humidity
86%

Where to watch · 189

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Auxerre

LLLDD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 1 GA 7 · xG 6.0–8.06 · xPts 6.18

  • D A Paris 1–1 xG 1.42–1.62 FRA L1
  • D H Olympique Lyonnais 0–0 xG 2.17–1.21 FRA L1
  • L A Angers SCO 0–2 xG 0.97–1.08 FRA L1
  • L H Olympique Marseille 0–1 xG 0.83–0.59 FRA L1
  • L A Strasbourg 0–3 xG 0.61–3.55 FRA L1

Metz

WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 7.41–7.72 · xPts 6.86

  • L H Rennes 0–1 xG 1.09–1.06 FRA L1
  • L A Brest 2–3 xG 0.96–3.15 FRA L1
  • W H Nice 2–1 xG 1.51–1.18 FRA L1
  • W A Nantes 2–0 xG 0.93–1.09 FRA L1
  • W H Lens 2–0 xG 2.92–1.24 FRA L1

All meetings · 6 matches since 2005

Auxerre 42 draws0 Metz

Goals 10–4 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 6 matches

Auxerre 42 draws0 Metz

Goals 10–4 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Auxerre 32 draws0 Metz

Goals 8–3 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Metz 1–3 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Auxerre 3–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Auxerre 0–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Metz 0–1 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Auxerre 1–1 Metz neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Metz 1–2 Auxerre neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricAuxerre all · 34Auxerre at home · 17Metz all · 34Metz away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.001.290.500.41
W / D / L8 / 10 / 166 / 4 / 73 / 8 / 231 / 4 / 12
Goals for / match1.001.060.941.00
Goals against / match1.291.002.242.59
Clean sheets26%41%21%18%
Failed to score47%47%44%41%
Both teams scored41%35%50%53%
Over 2.544%47%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.121.271.000.84
xG against / match1.371.171.772.13
xG difference-0.250.10-0.77-1.29
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.21-0.060.16
xPts / match1.231.420.930.65
Points vs xPts-0.23-0.13-0.43-0.24
Game state
Scored first32%29%21%24%
PPG when scoring first2.273.001.141.00
PPG when conceding first0.220.380.180.09
Came back from behind16%12%8%8%
Leads held62%86%38%25%
Minutes leading18%20%6%6%
Minutes level57%58%52%45%
Minutes trailing25%22%42%50%
First goal (min)31434237
First goal conceded (min)39383124
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%67%56%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%47%55%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.120.320.29
Late goals against0.350.410.710.71
Style
Possession44%44%49%48%
Shots10.711.510.18.4
On target3.53.83.22.5
Shot conversion9%9%9%12%
Shots inside box65%67%62%64%
Big chances created1.71.81.41.0
Corners4.85.54.23.5
xG from set plays31%37%33%37%
Goals from headers18%22%16%19%
Pressure index8.19.68.77.3
Dominant minutes39.243.140.333.9
Pass accuracy80%79%85%85%
Fouls13.713.411.411.2
Cards2.292.241.762.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Auxerre

0–15'65
16–30'49
31–45'76
46–60'38
61–75'84
76–90'612

Metz

0–15'412
16–30'49
31–45'613
46–60'59
61–75'29
76–90'1124

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Auxerre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.00) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.004
Early press (0-15, level)+0.074
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.443

Game state

When level-0.114
When behind+0.133
10 min after conceding+0.043
10 min after scoring+0.074

Situations

At home-0.012
Away+0.012
4+ days rest+0.004

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.012
v bottom-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog+0.012

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.094

Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level +0.24

Metz

No pressure profile yet.

Auxerre

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 9 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-312 35%1.331.251.331.451.19
5-4-19 26%0.780.671.220.881.32
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.41.20.861.56
4-4-22 6%1.01.01.01.231.29
3-4-2-12 6%0.00.02.00.822.25

Metz

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 56%0.581.112.051.041.7
3-4-2-15 15%0.20.42.60.771.98
4-3-34 12%0.250.753.01.022.05
4-1-4-13 9%1.00.671.331.421.38
5-3-22 6%0.00.02.00.321.82

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.0Home 47% P 47%3.5Draw 27% P 28%3.7Away 26% P 25%

Double Chance

1.25Auxerre or Draw 37% P 37%1.28Auxerre or Metz 37% P 36%1.8Draw or Metz 26% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 53%2.0No 47% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 47%1.9Under 50% P 53%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 854 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home47%46%44%-1.8
Draw28%28%30%+1.8
Away25%26%26%-0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Eric Wattellier

Career
147 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
3.39 (3.16 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 94 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.434.06-1.338
Fouls / match20.624.3-1.89
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.04 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.430.36+0.5976
Time added6.36.7-0.2032
First card
40' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-29 30 170 42'7
2025-11-01 50 220 36'8
2025-10-26 41 341 61'11
2025-10-19 · Auxerre 40 241 45'6
2025-09-20 40 280 36'11
2025-08-30 10 184 82'10
2025-08-23 · Metz 20 280 54'9
2025-08-14 30 170 22'7
2025-05-10 10 250 52'7
2025-05-04 40 170 29'4