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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 15

Momentum

Le HavreParis
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
15

Venue

Stadium
Stade Océane, Le Havre
Capacity
25,181
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,460

Teams

Coaches
Didier Digard · Stéphane Gilli
Position
14 · 13
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-5-1

Referee

Ruddy Buquet

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
14.5° (feels 14.3°)
Wind
8.2
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 191

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Le Havre

WDDLL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 5 · xG 5.69–7.84 · xPts 6.37

  • L H LOSC Lille 0–1 xG 0.95–1.13 FRA L1
  • L A Paris Saint Germain 0–3 xG 1.58–4.31 FRA L1
  • D H Nantes 1–1 xG 1.39–0.16 FRA L1
  • D A Toulouse 0–0 xG 0.86–1.73 FRA L1
  • W H Brest 1–0 xG 0.91–0.52 FRA L1

Paris

DWLLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 6.58–8.26 · xPts 6.35

  • D H Auxerre 1–1 xG 1.62–1.42 FRA L1
  • L A LOSC Lille 2–4 xG 0.93–3.73 FRA L1
  • L H Rennes 0–1 xG 2.28–0.96 FRA L1
  • W A Monaco 1–0 xG 1.05–0.86 FRA L1
  • D H Olympique Lyonnais 3–3 xG 0.71–1.29 FRA L1

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Le Havre 01 draws1 Paris

Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Le Havre 01 draws1 Paris

Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Le Havre 01 draws1 Paris

Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Paris 3–2 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Le Havre 0–0 Paris FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLe Havre all · 34Le Havre at home · 17Paris all · 34Paris away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.031.351.291.12
W / D / L7 / 14 / 135 / 8 / 411 / 11 / 124 / 7 / 6
Goals for / match0.941.181.381.12
Goals against / match1.291.061.471.35
Clean sheets24%24%24%24%
Failed to score41%35%26%24%
Both teams scored50%59%62%71%
Over 2.532%41%56%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.331.321.12
xG against / match1.531.171.621.64
xG difference-0.360.16-0.30-0.52
Finishing vs xG-0.24-0.150.060.00
xPts / match1.191.501.251.11
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.150.040.01
Game state
Scored first35%35%41%47%
PPG when scoring first2.082.672.141.75
PPG when conceding first0.290.500.630.33
Came back from behind28%50%33%25%
Leads held58%83%69%50%
Minutes leading14%18%23%21%
Minutes level60%58%49%58%
Minutes trailing26%24%28%20%
First goal (min)41394141
First goal conceded (min)38344047
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%55%55%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%33%58%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.410.24
Late goals against0.260.120.380.41
Style
Possession47%47%50%49%
Shots10.912.011.79.9
On target3.63.94.03.4
Shot conversion9%10%12%11%
Shots inside box62%62%67%64%
Big chances created2.02.22.41.9
Corners4.34.84.43.2
xG from set plays31%38%26%21%
Goals from headers19%15%4%0%
Pressure index9.912.610.58.3
Dominant minutes43.951.446.037.5
Pass accuracy80%81%84%84%
Fouls13.713.410.610.4
Cards2.031.942.351.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Le Havre

0–15'46
16–30'46
31–45'611
46–60'56
61–75'76
76–90'69

Paris

0–15'73
16–30'99
31–45'59
46–60'510
61–75'76
76–90'1413

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Le Havre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: at home +0.15

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.064
Late push (76+, level)-0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.102

Game state

When level+0.084
When behind+0.212
10 min after conceding+0.113
10 min after scoring+0.212

Situations

At home+0.153
4+ days rest+0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.102
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.102

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.364

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.12

Paris · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)-0.364
Late push (76+, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.062
When level-0.154
10 min after scoring-0.242

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.042
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.082
v bottom-tier opponents-0.162
As favourite-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.222
Conceded late (76+)-0.194

Ahead vs level +0.09

Le Havre

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-37 21%0.860.571.141.231.31
4-1-3-26 18%1.00.671.171.361.68
4-1-4-15 15%0.61.01.61.221.26
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.61.41.511.35
3-4-1-24 12%0.750.751.01.191.9

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 29%1.51.92.01.421.79
5-4-18 24%1.00.750.881.041.42
4-2-3-17 21%1.431.571.01.341.09
4-1-4-13 9%2.02.671.671.962.36
4-5-12 6%0.50.01.51.052.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.9Home 33% P 33%3.1Draw 31% P 30%2.62Away 36% P 37%

Double Chance

1.44Le Havre or Draw 32% P 32%1.36Le Havre or Paris FC 34% P 35%1.4Draw or Paris FC 33% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.91 49%1.82 51%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 53%2.0No 47% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 45%1.8Under 53% P 55%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 691 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%34%34%+0.5
Draw30%30%27%-2.5
Away37%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%44%43%-1.2

Ruddy Buquet

Career
355 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.37 (4.08 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
20.3 · 3.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 76 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.334.06+0.4880
Fouls / match24.024.3-0.08
Fouls per card5.56.0-0.66 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.350.36-0.0736
Time added7.16.7+0.3764
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.26

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-23 20 340 45'10
2025-10-29 20 270 90'7
2025-10-24 · Paris 50 230 24'14
2025-09-27 51 211 9'13
2025-09-14 41 310 26'11
2025-08-16 · Le Havre 10 190 89'12