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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 15
LOSC LilleLOSC Lille
1–0
FT
Olympique MarseilleOM

Momentum

– LOSC LilleOM –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
15

Venue

Stadium
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Capacity
50,186
Surface
grass
Attendance
48,258

Teams

Coaches
Bruno Génésio · Roberto De Zerbi
Position
4 · 3
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Jérôme Brisard

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
5.3° (feels 0.1°)
Wind
9.8
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 201

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

LOSC Lille

LLWWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 8.56–4.58 · xPts 8.79

  • W A Le Havre 1–0 xG 1.13–0.95 FRA L1
  • W H Dinamo Zagreb 4–0 xG 2.09–0.12 UEFA EL
  • W H Paris 4–2 xG 3.73–0.93 FRA L1
  • L A Strasbourg 0–2 xG 0.26–0.41 FRA L1
  • L A Crvena Zvezda 0–1 xG 1.35–2.17 UEFA EL

Olympique Marseille

LWWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 5 · xG 9.21–5.05 · xPts 9.21

  • D H Toulouse 2–2 xG 1.35–0.6 FRA L1
  • W H Newcastle United 2–1 xG 1.72–1.55 UEFA CL
  • W A Nice 5–1 xG 2.29–1.15 FRA L1
  • W H Brest 3–0 xG 3.05–0.32 FRA L1
  • L H Atalanta 0–1 xG 0.81–1.44 UEFA CL

All meetings · 42 matches since 2005

LOSC Lille 1413 draws15 Olympique Marseille

Goals 48–54 · 2.43 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 48%

Last 10 · 10 matches

LOSC Lille 54 draws1 Olympique Marseille

Goals 14–8 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

LOSC Lille 32 draws0 Olympique Marseille

Goals 8–4 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Olympique Marseille 1–2 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 1–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 1–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 1–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 3–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 0–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 2–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 2–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 1–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 2–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLOSC Lille all · 34LOSC Lille at home · 17Olympique Marseille all · 34Olympique Marseille away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.791.711.741.29
W / D / L18 / 7 / 98 / 5 / 418 / 5 / 117 / 1 / 9
Goals for / match1.531.411.851.29
Goals against / match1.091.001.321.47
Clean sheets38%35%26%24%
Failed to score29%24%24%41%
Both teams scored38%47%50%35%
Over 2.538%29%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.581.711.701.61
xG against / match1.040.891.201.35
xG difference0.540.830.490.25
Finishing vs xG-0.05-0.300.16-0.31
xPts / match1.711.891.691.55
Points vs xPts0.09-0.180.04-0.26
Game state
Scored first53%47%59%47%
PPG when scoring first2.672.502.402.38
PPG when conceding first0.791.000.790.33
Came back from behind40%50%31%10%
Leads held86%80%72%78%
Minutes leading26%18%38%28%
Minutes level52%59%41%43%
Minutes trailing22%22%21%29%
First goal (min)48603638
First goal conceded (min)44474647
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half71%71%59%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%65%69%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.680.650.500.29
Late goals against0.210.240.440.29
Style
Possession56%57%57%56%
Shots13.614.815.114.4
On target4.64.85.75.1
Shot conversion11%10%12%9%
Shots inside box70%73%64%64%
Big chances created2.83.13.02.6
Corners5.76.45.24.8
xG from set plays30%30%26%26%
Goals from headers10%8%10%4%
Pressure index15.215.817.615.8
Dominant minutes61.463.058.355.6
Pass accuracy85%85%87%87%
Fouls10.710.512.712.5
Cards2.412.062.532.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

LOSC Lille

0–15'53
16–30'54
31–45'57
46–60'99
61–75'57
76–90'237

Olympique Marseille

0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

LOSC Lille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

LOSC Lille

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%1.931.550.91.580.98
4-3-32 6%0.50.52.00.861.28
4-3-1-21 3%1.01.01.00.640.59
5-4-11 3%0.01.04.01.963.0
4-4-21 3%3.04.02.03.730.93

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%2.172.441.171.91.23
3-4-2-19 26%1.441.671.441.521.09
3-4-1-22 6%1.51.01.01.310.95
3-2-4-11 3%0.00.01.02.280.97
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.02.01.670.83

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.37Home 40% P 40%3.5Draw 27% P 28%2.9Away 33% P 32%

Double Chance

1.4Lille or Draw 33% P 34%1.28Lille or Marseille 36% P 36%1.53Draw or Marseille 30% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 61%2.25No 41% P 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.8Over 51% P 54%1.9Under 49% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%41%41%-0.1
Draw28%28%26%-1.9
Away32%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes61%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Jérôme Brisard

Career
207 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.0 (3.73 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 89 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.914.06-0.3828
Fouls / match23.424.3-0.39
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.360.36-0.0344
Time added7.46.7+0.5988
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-27 21 240 27'6
2025-11-22 52 260 3'7
2025-11-02 · LOSC Lille 10 200 88'7
2025-10-29 100 300 16'12
2025-10-18 30 211 26'10
2025-09-24 50 150 40'5
2025-09-22 · Olympique Marseille 40 230 18'8
2025-08-31 50 290 1'10
2025-08-24 62 250 6'10
2025-08-21 51 280 8'8