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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 15

Momentum

LorientLYO
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
15

Venue

Stadium
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir, Lorient
Capacity
18,110
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
16,213

Teams

Coaches
Olivier Pantaloni · Paulo Rodrigues Fonseca
Position
15 · 5
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Mathieu Vernice

Weather

Conditions
mist
Temperature
14.3° (feels 14.3°)
Wind
10.8
Humidity
97%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Lorient

DLDDW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 6.9–6.76 · xPts 6.47

  • W H Nice 3–1 xG 2.74–0.9 FRA L1
  • D A Nantes 1–1 xG 0.49–1.01 FRA L1
  • D H Toulouse 1–1 xG 1.35–1.41 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 0–3 xG 2.1–2.16 FRA L1
  • D H Paris Saint Germain 1–1 xG 0.23–1.28 FRA L1

Olympique Lyonnais

LLDWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 5 · xG 9.8–5.52 · xPts 8.38

  • W H Nantes 3–0 xG 2.85–0.87 FRA L1
  • W A Maccabi Tel Aviv 6–0 xG 4.32–0.51 UEFA EL
  • D A Auxerre 0–0 xG 1.21–2.17 FRA L1
  • L H Paris Saint Germain 2–3 xG 0.77–0.93 FRA L1
  • L A Real Betis 0–2 xG 0.65–1.04 UEFA EL

All meetings · 32 matches since 2006

Lorient 710 draws15 Olympique Lyonnais

Goals 32–52 · 2.63 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lorient 24 draws4 Olympique Lyonnais

Goals 11–18 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lorient 12 draws2 Olympique Lyonnais

Goals 4–7 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Olympique Lyonnais 2–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 1–0 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 0–2 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Lyonnais 3–3 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Lyonnais 0–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 3–1 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 1–4 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Lyonnais 1–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Lyonnais 4–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 1–1 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLorient all · 34Lorient at home · 17Olympique Lyonnais all · 34Olympique Lyonnais away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.321.761.761.35
W / D / L11 / 12 / 118 / 6 / 318 / 6 / 106 / 5 / 6
Goals for / match1.411.821.561.35
Goals against / match1.501.471.181.29
Clean sheets21%24%44%41%
Failed to score29%6%18%29%
Both teams scored53%71%50%53%
Over 2.544%53%56%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.621.541.29
xG against / match1.381.181.391.53
xG difference-0.030.430.15-0.24
Finishing vs xG0.070.210.020.06
xPts / match1.341.611.471.24
Points vs xPts-0.010.160.300.12
Game state
Scored first47%65%62%53%
PPG when scoring first2.192.182.332.11
PPG when conceding first0.531.000.780.00
Came back from behind42%62%23%0%
Leads held65%67%78%67%
Minutes leading26%37%36%38%
Minutes level49%50%50%45%
Minutes trailing25%13%14%17%
First goal (min)37363727
First goal conceded (min)45484646
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%55%49%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%72%62%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.240.260.24
Late goals against0.470.530.440.59
Style
Possession45%46%55%53%
Shots11.311.912.311.0
On target3.94.44.74.6
Shot conversion12%15%13%12%
Shots inside box63%64%68%67%
Big chances created2.02.52.72.3
Corners3.53.25.95.2
xG from set plays33%34%26%27%
Goals from headers6%10%17%22%
Pressure index10.110.614.511.2
Dominant minutes42.843.653.448.8
Pass accuracy84%84%85%84%
Fouls9.59.513.012.7
Cards1.681.712.152.47

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lorient

0–15'46
16–30'76
31–45'95
46–60'811
61–75'77
76–90'1316

Olympique Lyonnais

0–15'63
16–30'93
31–45'129
46–60'105
61–75'75
76–90'915

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lorient · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.96

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)+0.374
Late push (76+, level)-0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.322
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.963

Situations

At home-0.072
Away-0.182
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
Evenly matched-0.232

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Ahead vs level -0.18 · Behind vs level +0.28

Olympique Lyonnais · 8 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.42

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.028
Early press (0-15, level)-0.118
Late push (76+, level)-0.353
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.332

Game state

When ahead+0.155
When level-0.128
When behind-0.052
10 min after conceding-0.145
10 min after scoring+0.427

Situations

At home+0.094
Away-0.134
4+ days rest-0.017

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.032
v mid-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents+0.102
As favourite+0.094
Evenly matched-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.008
Conceded when ahead-0.115
Conceded late (76+)-0.327

Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.07

Lorient

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%1.291.391.681.371.46
3-4-34 12%1.751.750.51.680.99
5-4-12 6%1.01.01.00.410.96

Olympique Lyonnais

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.351.411.291.621.38
4-3-37 21%2.571.290.711.251.15
4-3-1-24 12%1.51.752.251.461.94
3-4-2-13 9%2.01.670.331.611.37
4-1-4-12 6%2.01.50.51.571.37

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.75Home 25% P 26%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.05Away 47% P 46%

Double Chance

1.72Lorient or Draw 27% P 27%1.3Lorient or Lyon 36% P 36%1.25Draw or Lyon 37% P 37%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 51%1.9No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 46%1.83Under 50% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home26%26%26%-0.3
Draw28%28%28%+0.2
Away46%46%46%+0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Mathieu Vernice

Career
66 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.64 (4.29 yellow · 0.23 red)
Fouls / match
26.9 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 61 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.06+0.8788
Fouls / match26.924.3+1.44
Fouls per card6.06.0+0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.460.36+0.9288
Time added7.36.7+0.5280
First card
29' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-22 30 180 32'5
2025-09-28 · Olympique Lyonnais 80 440 43'14
2025-09-20 40 322 6'8
2025-08-17 40 290 31'9
2025-07-24 90 300 11'8
2025-05-10 20 252 39'3
2025-04-27 81 250 43'9
2025-04-19 17 6
2025-03-30 40 280 22'6
2025-03-08 50 170 34'8