KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 15
NantesNantes
1–2
FT
LensLens

Momentum

– NantesLens –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
15

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, Nantes
Capacity
37,473
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,654

Teams

Coaches
Luís Ferreira de Castro · Pierre Sage
Position
16 · 1
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Benoît Bastien

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
12.3° (feels 11.9°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
92%

Where to watch · 191

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nantes

LLDDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 12 · xG 5.24–8.74 · xPts 4.97

  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 0–3 xG 0.87–2.85 FRA L1
  • D H Lorient 1–1 xG 1.01–0.49 FRA L1
  • D A Le Havre 1–1 xG 0.16–1.39 FRA L1
  • L H Metz 0–2 xG 1.09–0.93 FRA L1
  • L H Monaco 3–5 xG 2.12–3.08 FRA L1

Lens

LWWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 4 · xG 9.83–9.39 · xPts 7.58

  • W A Angers SCO 2–1 xG 1.94–0.96 FRA L1
  • W H Strasbourg 1–0 xG 1.81–0.54 FRA L1
  • W A Monaco 4–1 xG 2.68–2.88 FRA L1
  • W H Lorient 3–0 xG 2.16–2.1 FRA L1
  • L A Metz 0–2 xG 1.24–2.92 FRA L1

All meetings · 18 matches since 2005

Nantes 45 draws9 Lens

Goals 18–27 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Nantes 22 draws6 Lens

Goals 12–19 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Nantes 10 draws4 Lens

Goals 6–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Lens 1–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 1–2 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 3–1 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 3–2 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 0–1 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 4–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 3–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 0–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lens 2–2 Nantes neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 3–2 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNantes all · 33Nantes at home · 16Lens all · 34Lens away · 17
Results
Matches33163417
Points per game0.700.752.061.65
W / D / L5 / 8 / 203 / 3 / 1022 / 4 / 88 / 4 / 5
Goals for / match0.881.131.941.82
Goals against / match1.581.691.031.29
Clean sheets21%19%35%24%
Failed to score42%31%18%24%
Both teams scored46%50%50%59%
Over 2.546%44%65%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.101.221.981.74
xG against / match1.491.401.291.50
xG difference-0.38-0.190.690.23
Finishing vs xG-0.22-0.09-0.040.09
xPts / match1.131.271.731.46
Points vs xPts-0.44-0.520.320.18
Game state
Scored first27%31%59%53%
PPG when scoring first2.002.002.752.78
PPG when conceding first0.100.181.080.29
Came back from behind9%17%43%29%
Leads held56%60%92%89%
Minutes leading19%25%35%29%
Minutes level50%40%43%45%
Minutes trailing30%36%21%26%
First goal (min)37354042
First goal conceded (min)43393741
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%50%61%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%43%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.190.440.47
Late goals against0.580.630.150.24
Style
Possession42%44%51%50%
Shots11.312.116.414.6
On target3.33.55.64.7
Shot conversion8%9%12%12%
Shots inside box65%63%70%71%
Big chances created1.82.13.73.3
Corners3.74.06.25.6
xG from set plays36%34%23%22%
Goals from headers14%11%17%10%
Pressure index8.28.316.714.6
Dominant minutes36.237.354.648.6
Pass accuracy78%78%84%84%
Fouls12.712.512.712.7
Cards2.122.062.182.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nantes

0–15'66
16–30'18
31–45'98
46–60'57
61–75'34
76–90'519

Lens

0–15'67
16–30'77
31–45'136
46–60'163
61–75'97
76–90'155

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nantes

No pressure profile yet.

Lens · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: when ahead -0.48

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.195
Late push (76+, level)+0.023
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.043

Game state

When ahead-0.483
When level+0.055
When behind+0.274
10 min after conceding-0.155
10 min after scoring-0.234

Situations

Against ten men+0.012
At home-0.112
Away+0.083
4+ days rest-0.044

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.073
v bottom-tier opponents-0.102
As favourite-0.054

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.115
Conceded when ahead+0.513
Conceded late (76+)-0.365

Congested vs rested +0.22 · Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level +0.22

Nantes

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 30%0.91.22.11.081.94
4-1-4-110 30%0.50.51.10.91.38
5-3-23 9%0.00.01.670.771.19
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.672.01.071.2
4-2-3-12 6%1.52.01.02.41.5

Lens

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 100%2.061.941.031.981.29

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.75Home 20% P 19%3.8Draw 25% P 25%1.72Away 55% P 57%

Double Chance

2.15Nantes or Draw 22% P 22%1.25Nantes or Lens 38% P 38%1.16Draw or Lens 41% P 41%

Draw No Bet

3.751 25%1.252 75%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 55%2.0No 47% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.8Over 51% P 48%1.9Under 49% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 55–57.5% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home19%19%20%+0.6
Draw25%25%22%-3.1
Away57%56%59%+2.5

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Benoît Bastien

Career
347 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.264.06+0.3472
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.19
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.29 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.1652
Time added7.36.7+0.5280
First card
31' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-09 81 180 35'10
2025-11-05 40 272 4'7
2025-11-01 72 260 26'9
2025-10-26 10 201 75'13
2025-10-05 20 230 45'6
2025-09-27 · Nantes 50 301 58'11
2025-09-20 40 280 18'10
2025-08-31 31 251 8'12
2025-08-28 50 210 9'9
2025-08-17 · Nantes 20 120 45'9