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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 15

Momentum

PSGRennes
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
15

Venue

Stadium
Parc des Princes, Paris
Capacity
48,583
Surface
grass
Attendance
47,823

Teams

Coaches
Luis Enrique · Habib Beye
Position
2 · 5
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-5-2

Referee

Marc Bollengier

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
10.6° (feels 10.1°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
89%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Paris Saint Germain

LWWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 12 GA 8 · xG 10.15–5.91 · xPts 9.07

  • L A Monaco 0–1 xG 1.15–0.79 FRA L1
  • W H Tottenham Hotspur 5–3 xG 2.0–1.57 UEFA CL
  • W H Le Havre 3–0 xG 4.31–1.58 FRA L1
  • W A Olympique Lyonnais 3–2 xG 0.93–0.77 FRA L1
  • L H FC Bayern München 1–2 xG 1.76–1.2 UEFA CL

Rennes

DWWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 12 GA 4 · xG 8.03–8.18 · xPts 6.72

  • W A Metz 1–0 xG 1.06–1.09 FRA L1
  • W H Monaco 4–1 xG 2.67–1.4 FRA L1
  • W A Paris 1–0 xG 0.96–2.28 FRA L1
  • W H Strasbourg 4–1 xG 2.37–1.63 FRA L1
  • D A Toulouse 2–2 xG 0.97–1.78 FRA L1

All meetings · 42 matches since 2005

Paris Saint Germain 198 draws15 Rennes

Goals 65–41 · 2.52 per match · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Paris Saint Germain 52 draws3 Rennes

Goals 20–12 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Paris Saint Germain 31 draws1 Rennes

Goals 15–7 · 4.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • D Rennes 2–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 3–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 5–0 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 1–4 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Paris Saint Germain 1–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 1–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 0–2 Rennes neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 1–0 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricParis Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain at home · 17Rennes all · 34Rennes away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.242.411.741.47
W / D / L24 / 4 / 613 / 2 / 217 / 8 / 97 / 4 / 6
Goals for / match2.182.411.741.71
Goals against / match0.850.711.471.94
Clean sheets53%65%29%35%
Failed to score6%0%18%18%
Both teams scored41%35%59%47%
Over 2.562%71%71%76%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.992.251.561.40
xG against / match0.980.801.541.73
xG difference1.011.450.02-0.33
Finishing vs xG0.180.160.180.30
xPts / match1.992.241.431.20
Points vs xPts0.250.180.310.27
Game state
Scored first85%88%56%71%
PPG when scoring first2.622.732.261.83
PPG when conceding first0.000.001.080.60
Came back from behind14%33%40%14%
Leads held83%87%71%54%
Minutes leading44%50%36%42%
Minutes level45%38%41%35%
Minutes trailing11%12%23%23%
First goal (min)38363731
First goal conceded (min)38254037
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%58%54%45%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%42%62%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.530.590.350.18
Late goals against0.240.060.290.41
Style
Possession69%69%54%52%
Shots17.720.214.112.5
On target6.77.05.04.5
Shot conversion12%12%12%14%
Shots inside box63%61%62%65%
Big chances created3.73.52.42.0
Corners6.47.56.05.5
xG from set plays29%31%29%30%
Goals from headers15%12%19%7%
Pressure index27.430.314.112.7
Dominant minutes73.077.251.951.4
Pass accuracy91%91%84%84%
Fouls9.19.512.311.8
Cards1.181.241.822.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Rennes

0–15'78
16–30'151
31–45'510
46–60'1211
61–75'810
76–90'1210

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: when behind +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.325
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Rennes · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: when level +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)+0.245
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.014
When level+0.555
10 min after conceding-0.433
10 min after scoring-0.024

Situations

At home-0.123
Away+0.832
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.252
v bottom-tier opponents+0.142
As favourite+0.444

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.095
Conceded when ahead+0.174
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.54

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Rennes

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 53%1.51.561.721.41.61
4-4-26 18%2.02.331.832.01.29
4-3-35 15%2.01.60.61.471.07
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.00.51.352.23
4-1-4-11 3%0.01.03.02.532.87

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.28Home 74% P 74%6.5Draw 15% P 15%8.0Away 12% P 11%

Double Chance

1.08PSG or Draw 44% P 44%1.11PSG or Rennes 43% P 42%3.5Draw or Rennes 14% P 13%

Draw No Bet

1.11 86%7.02 14%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 58%2.2No 42% P 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.33Over 72% P 71%3.4Under 28% P 29%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.52.1Over 44% P 42%1.66Under 56% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 10–12.5% · 193 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home74%73%73%-0.8
Draw15%16%18%+1.6
Away11%11%10%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.5 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 72%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes58%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 478 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.571%71%70%-1.3

Marc Bollengier

Career
69 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.99 (3.7 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
25.9 · 6.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.43
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 68 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.06-0.1844
Fouls / match25.924.3+0.92
Fouls per card6.66.0+0.73 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.440.36+0.7480
Time added6.76.7+0.0940
First card
37' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.24

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-23 40 300 29'6
2025-10-26 · Rennes 70 350 29'8
2025-10-19 50 251 51'8
2025-09-21 71 321 35'9
2025-08-31 · Rennes 40 200 24'7
2025-08-23 10 212 88'10
2025-05-10 40 310 56'5
2025-04-26 · Rennes 20 8
2025-04-20 11 230 27'7
2025-04-05 · Paris Saint Germain 30 190 15'5