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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 16
AuxerreAuxerre
3–4
FT
LOSC LilleLOSC Lille

Momentum

– AuxerreLOSC Lille –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
16

Venue

Stadium
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre
Capacity
18,541
Surface
grass
Attendance
16,124

Teams

Coaches
Christophe Pélissier · Bruno Génésio
Position
16 · 4
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Jérémie Pignard

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
5.7° (feels 4.4°)
Wind
1.8
Humidity
89%

Where to watch · 186

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Auxerre

LLDDW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 7.33–5.1 · xPts 8.29

  • W H Metz 3–1 xG 1.94–0.6 FRA L1
  • D A Paris 1–1 xG 1.42–1.62 FRA L1
  • D H Olympique Lyonnais 0–0 xG 2.17–1.21 FRA L1
  • L A Angers SCO 0–2 xG 0.97–1.08 FRA L1
  • L H Olympique Marseille 0–1 xG 0.83–0.59 FRA L1

LOSC Lille

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 3 · xG 8.19–4.5 · xPts 8.64

  • L A Young Boys 0–1 xG 0.78–1.9 UEFA EL
  • W H Olympique Marseille 1–0 xG 0.46–0.6 FRA L1
  • W A Le Havre 1–0 xG 1.13–0.95 FRA L1
  • W H Dinamo Zagreb 4–0 xG 2.09–0.12 UEFA EL
  • W H Paris 4–2 xG 3.73–0.93 FRA L1

All meetings · 22 matches since 2005

Auxerre 87 draws7 LOSC Lille

Goals 31–31 · 2.82 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Auxerre 14 draws5 LOSC Lille

Goals 12–19 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Auxerre 12 draws2 LOSC Lille

Goals 7–8 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W LOSC Lille 0–2 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Auxerre 3–4 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 3–1 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Auxerre 0–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Auxerre 1–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 4–1 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 2–2 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Auxerre 1–3 LOSC Lille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Auxerre 1–1 LOSC Lille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 1–0 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricAuxerre all · 34Auxerre at home · 17LOSC Lille all · 34LOSC Lille away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.001.291.791.88
W / D / L8 / 10 / 166 / 4 / 718 / 7 / 910 / 2 / 5
Goals for / match1.001.061.531.65
Goals against / match1.291.001.091.18
Clean sheets26%41%38%41%
Failed to score47%47%29%35%
Both teams scored41%35%38%29%
Over 2.544%47%38%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.121.271.581.46
xG against / match1.371.171.041.20
xG difference-0.250.100.540.26
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.21-0.050.19
xPts / match1.231.421.711.52
Points vs xPts-0.23-0.130.090.36
Game state
Scored first32%29%53%59%
PPG when scoring first2.273.002.672.80
PPG when conceding first0.220.380.790.50
Came back from behind16%12%40%29%
Leads held62%86%86%91%
Minutes leading18%20%26%34%
Minutes level57%58%52%45%
Minutes trailing25%22%22%21%
First goal (min)31434834
First goal conceded (min)39384440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%67%71%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%47%62%60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.120.680.71
Late goals against0.350.410.210.18
Style
Possession44%44%56%55%
Shots10.711.513.612.4
On target3.53.84.64.5
Shot conversion9%9%11%13%
Shots inside box65%67%70%66%
Big chances created1.71.82.82.4
Corners4.85.55.75.1
xG from set plays31%37%30%30%
Goals from headers18%22%10%11%
Pressure index8.19.615.214.5
Dominant minutes39.243.161.459.8
Pass accuracy80%79%85%85%
Fouls13.713.410.710.9
Cards2.292.242.412.76

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Auxerre

0–15'65
16–30'49
31–45'76
46–60'38
61–75'84
76–90'612

LOSC Lille

0–15'53
16–30'54
31–45'57
46–60'99
61–75'57
76–90'237

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Auxerre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.00) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.004
Early press (0-15, level)+0.074
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.443

Game state

When level-0.114
When behind+0.133
10 min after conceding+0.043
10 min after scoring+0.074

Situations

At home-0.012
Away+0.022
4+ days rest+0.004

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.022
v bottom-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog+0.022

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.094

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.24

LOSC Lille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26

Auxerre

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 9 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-312 35%1.331.251.331.451.19
5-4-19 26%0.780.671.220.881.32
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.41.20.861.56
3-4-2-12 6%0.00.02.00.822.25
4-4-22 6%1.01.01.01.231.29

LOSC Lille

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%1.931.550.91.580.98
4-3-32 6%0.50.52.00.861.28
4-4-21 3%3.04.02.03.730.93
5-4-11 3%0.01.04.01.963.0
4-3-1-21 3%1.01.01.00.640.59

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.33Home 22% P 22%3.3Draw 29% P 28%1.95Away 49% P 50%

Double Chance

1.8Auxerre or Draw 26% P 25%1.33Auxerre or Lille 35% P 36%1.2Draw or Lille 39% P 39%

Draw No Bet

3.01 31%1.362 69%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 48%1.8No 52% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 44%1.66Under 57% P 56%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 50%1.83Under 50% P 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 50–52.5% · 274 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home22%22%15%-7.0
Draw28%27%27%+0.4
Away50%51%58%+6.6

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Jérémie Pignard

Career
139 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.65 (4.34 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
22.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 89 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.734.06+1.3192
Fouls / match23.224.3-0.51
Fouls per card4.96.0-1.54 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.510.36+1.3796
Time added6.16.7-0.3524
First card
31' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.24

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-11 50 170 7'6
2025-11-21 40 190 14'6
2025-11-02 40 181 26'4
2025-10-25 20 201 8'12
2025-10-05 30 221 34'5
2025-10-02 70 170 20'6
2025-09-26 60 280 24'7
2025-09-14 30 180 5'9
2025-08-28 30 170 15'6
2025-08-15 51 190 26'12