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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 16

Momentum

MetzPSG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
16

Venue

Stadium
Stade Saint-Symphorien, Longeville-lès-Metz
Capacity
28,786
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,500

Teams

Coaches
Stéphane Le Mignan · Luis Enrique
Position
18 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Romain Lissorgue

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
5.9° (feels 5.9°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
100%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Metz

WWLLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 5.08–8.42 · xPts 5.08

  • L A Auxerre 1–3 xG 0.6–1.94 FRA L1
  • L H Rennes 0–1 xG 1.09–1.06 FRA L1
  • L A Brest 2–3 xG 0.96–3.15 FRA L1
  • W H Nice 2–1 xG 1.51–1.18 FRA L1
  • W A Nantes 2–0 xG 0.93–1.09 FRA L1

Paris Saint Germain

WWLWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 13 GA 4 · xG 11.46–4.88 · xPts 10.52

  • D A Athletic Club 0–0 xG 1.52–0.73 UEFA CL
  • W H Rennes 5–0 xG 2.48–0.2 FRA L1
  • L A Monaco 0–1 xG 1.15–0.79 FRA L1
  • W H Tottenham Hotspur 5–3 xG 2.0–1.57 UEFA CL
  • W H Le Havre 3–0 xG 4.31–1.58 FRA L1

All meetings · 19 matches since 2005

Metz 11 draws17 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 13–53 · 3.47 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 74%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Metz 00 draws10 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 5–29 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Metz 00 draws5 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 3–16 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 2–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 0–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Metz neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 5–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 1–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 1–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Metz neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 0–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 5–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricMetz all · 34Metz at home · 17Paris Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.500.592.242.06
W / D / L3 / 8 / 232 / 4 / 1124 / 4 / 611 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match0.940.882.181.94
Goals against / match2.241.880.851.00
Clean sheets21%24%53%41%
Failed to score44%47%6%12%
Both teams scored50%47%41%47%
Over 2.562%53%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.001.161.991.74
xG against / match1.771.410.981.16
xG difference-0.77-0.251.010.58
Finishing vs xG-0.06-0.280.180.20
xPts / match0.931.211.991.74
Points vs xPts-0.43-0.620.250.32
Game state
Scored first21%18%85%82%
PPG when scoring first1.141.332.622.50
PPG when conceding first0.180.270.000.00
Came back from behind8%8%14%0%
Leads held38%50%83%79%
Minutes leading6%6%44%37%
Minutes level52%58%45%52%
Minutes trailing42%35%11%11%
First goal (min)42483841
First goal conceded (min)31393846
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%60%55%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%56%55%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.350.530.47
Late goals against0.710.710.240.41
Style
Possession49%50%69%68%
Shots10.111.817.715.2
On target3.23.86.76.4
Shot conversion9%8%12%13%
Shots inside box62%61%63%66%
Big chances created1.41.83.73.8
Corners4.24.96.45.2
xG from set plays33%31%29%26%
Goals from headers16%13%15%18%
Pressure index8.710.127.424.6
Dominant minutes40.346.873.068.8
Pass accuracy85%86%91%91%
Fouls11.411.59.18.6
Cards1.761.471.181.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Metz

0–15'412
16–30'49
31–45'613
46–60'59
61–75'29
76–90'1124

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Metz

No pressure profile yet.

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.675

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Metz

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 56%0.581.112.051.041.7
3-4-2-15 15%0.20.42.60.771.98
4-3-34 12%0.250.753.01.022.05
4-1-4-13 9%1.00.671.331.421.38
5-3-22 6%0.00.02.00.321.82

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

9.0Home 11% P 9%6.5Draw 15% P 14%1.27Away 75% P 77%

Double Chance

3.75Metz or Draw 13% P 12%1.11Metz or PSG 43% P 43%1.08Draw or PSG 44% P 45%

Draw No Bet

8.01 12%1.082 88%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 54%2.1No 44% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.33Over 72% P 69%3.4Under 28% P 31%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

2.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
3.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 7.5–10% · away 75–77.5% · 163 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home9%9%7%-1.3
Draw14%15%11%-4.1
Away77%76%82%+5.4

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 63%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.569%69%69%+0.6

Romain Lissorgue

Career
60 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.05 (3.7 yellow · 0.25 red)
Fouls / match
26.0 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.42
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 54 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.24.06+0.2264
Fouls / match26.324.3+1.12
Fouls per card6.46.0+0.46 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.460.36+0.9692
Time added7.16.7+0.3764
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 24% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.43

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-30 30 180 27'10
2025-11-08 60 280 22'8
2025-09-13 91 310 38'10
2025-08-30 60 321 28'10
2025-08-16 50 330 34'9
2025-07-15 61 260 34'4
2025-05-04 30 320 13'12
2025-04-06 50 341 19'9
2025-03-28 40 271 66'7
2025-03-09 20 220 31'7