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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 16

Momentum

OMMonaco
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
16

Venue

Stadium
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Capacity
67,395
Surface
grass
Attendance
64,509

Teams

Coaches
Roberto De Zerbi · Sebastien Pocognoli
Position
4 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

François Letexier

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
11.2° (feels 10.6°)
Wind
4.9
Humidity
84%

Where to watch · 334

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Olympique Marseille

WWDLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 7 · xG 7.49–4.5 · xPts 8.87

  • W A Union Saint-Gilloise 3–2 xG 1.54–0.75 UEFA CL
  • L A LOSC Lille 0–1 xG 0.6–0.46 FRA L1
  • D H Toulouse 2–2 xG 1.35–0.6 FRA L1
  • W H Newcastle United 2–1 xG 1.72–1.55 UEFA CL
  • W A Nice 5–1 xG 2.29–1.15 FRA L1

Monaco

LDWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 10.1–7.55 · xPts 7.51

  • W H Galatasaray 1–0 xG 5.52–1.74 UEFA CL
  • L A Brest 0–1 xG 0.82–0.77 FRA L1
  • W H Paris Saint Germain 1–0 xG 0.79–1.15 FRA L1
  • D A Pafos FC 2–2 xG 1.57–1.22 UEFA CL
  • L A Rennes 1–4 xG 1.4–2.67 FRA L1

All meetings · 38 matches since 2005

Olympique Marseille 158 draws15 Monaco

Goals 53–65 · 3.11 per match · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 66%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Olympique Marseille 32 draws5 Monaco

Goals 12–17 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Olympique Marseille 20 draws3 Monaco

Goals 4–8 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Monaco 2–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 2–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 1–0 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 3–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 2–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 2–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 3–2 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 1–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 2–3 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 0–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricOlympique Marseille all · 34Olympique Marseille at home · 17Monaco all · 34Monaco away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.742.181.591.29
W / D / L18 / 5 / 1111 / 4 / 216 / 6 / 126 / 4 / 7
Goals for / match1.852.411.761.59
Goals against / match1.321.181.591.82
Clean sheets26%29%21%12%
Failed to score24%6%21%29%
Both teams scored50%65%65%71%
Over 2.562%71%65%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.701.781.631.50
xG against / match1.201.051.431.65
xG difference0.490.740.20-0.15
Finishing vs xG0.160.630.140.09
xPts / match1.691.831.491.30
Points vs xPts0.040.340.10-0.01
Game state
Scored first59%71%44%35%
PPG when scoring first2.402.422.531.83
PPG when conceding first0.791.600.821.00
Came back from behind31%67%33%30%
Leads held72%69%84%67%
Minutes leading38%47%28%22%
Minutes level41%40%51%54%
Minutes trailing21%14%21%25%
First goal (min)36364347
First goal conceded (min)46464747
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%61%63%63%
Goals conceded in 2nd half69%70%61%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.710.350.29
Late goals against0.440.590.410.53
Style
Possession57%58%54%53%
Shots15.115.812.512.9
On target5.76.34.44.4
Shot conversion12%15%14%12%
Shots inside box64%64%73%73%
Big chances created3.03.43.02.8
Corners5.25.65.15.2
xG from set plays26%26%25%24%
Goals from headers10%12%12%11%
Pressure index17.619.412.311.3
Dominant minutes58.361.050.047.4
Pass accuracy87%87%83%83%
Fouls12.712.913.013.2
Cards2.532.412.442.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Olympique Marseille

0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715

Monaco

0–15'55
16–30'76
31–45'1010
46–60'127
61–75'1412
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Monaco · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.006
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306

Game state

When ahead-0.165
When level+0.216
When behind+0.122
10 min after conceding-0.413
10 min after scoring+0.236

Situations

At home-0.072
Away+0.024
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest+0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
As favourite+0.013
Evenly matched+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.235
Conceded late (76+)+0.025

Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.10

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%2.172.441.171.91.23
3-4-2-19 26%1.441.671.441.521.09
3-4-1-22 6%1.51.01.01.310.95
3-2-4-11 3%0.00.01.02.280.97
5-4-11 3%0.00.05.00.843.03

Monaco

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 41%1.571.641.291.471.31
4-2-3-17 21%1.861.711.141.731.2
3-1-4-23 9%2.03.03.02.472.15
4-4-22 6%3.03.51.52.121.25
3-4-1-22 6%3.02.51.02.081.55

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 47%3.5Draw 27% P 26%3.5Away 27% P 26%

Double Chance

1.28Marseille or Draw 36% P 37%1.28Marseille or Monaco 36% P 37%1.72Draw or Monaco 27% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 60%2.25No 41% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 56%2.1Under 45% P 44%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.72Over 54% P 51%2.0Under 46% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home47%46%44%-1.8
Draw26%28%30%+1.8
Away26%26%26%+0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

François Letexier

Career
253 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
23.3 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 86 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.06+0.7184
Fouls / match22.924.3-0.68
Fouls per card5.26.0-1.21 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.2056
Time added7.26.7+0.4472
First card
31' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.36

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-29 30 281 39'7
2025-11-26 10 200 44'7
2025-11-09 71 290 35'8
2025-11-01 40 170 27'5
2025-10-22 20 90 52'6
2025-10-19 31 251 34'5
2025-10-04 101 310 15'8
2025-10-01 40 310 26'7
2025-09-21 60 210 21'13
2025-09-16 10 211 42'8