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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 16
LensLens
2–0
FT
NiceNice

Momentum

– LensNice –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
16

Venue

Stadium
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Capacity
38,223
Surface
grass
Attendance
37,278

Teams

Coaches
Pierre Sage · Franck Haise
Position
2 · 12
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Willy Delajod

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
8.0° (feels 5.2°)
Wind
4.9
Humidity
90%

Where to watch · 191

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Lens

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 3 · xG 11.39–8.14 · xPts 9.04

  • W A Nantes 2–1 xG 2.8–1.67 FRA L1
  • W A Angers SCO 2–1 xG 1.94–0.96 FRA L1
  • W H Strasbourg 1–0 xG 1.81–0.54 FRA L1
  • W A Monaco 4–1 xG 2.68–2.88 FRA L1
  • W H Lorient 3–0 xG 2.16–2.1 FRA L1

Nice

LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 13 · xG 5.31–7.92 · xPts 5.52

  • L H Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 1.37–0.87 UEFA EL
  • L H Angers SCO 0–1 xG 1.09–0.72 FRA L1
  • L A Lorient 1–3 xG 0.9–2.74 FRA L1
  • L A Porto 0–3 xG 0.81–1.31 UEFA EL
  • L H Olympique Marseille 1–5 xG 1.15–2.29 FRA L1

All meetings · 24 matches since 2005

Lens 69 draws9 Nice

Goals 19–20 · 1.63 per match · BTTS 29% · over 2.5 29%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lens 23 draws5 Nice

Goals 8–11 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lens 12 draws2 Nice

Goals 4–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Nice 1–1 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lens 2–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 2–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lens 0–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 1–3 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 2–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 0–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 0–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lens 3–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 2–1 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLens all · 34Lens at home · 17Nice all · 34Nice away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.062.470.940.71
W / D / L22 / 4 / 814 / 0 / 37 / 11 / 163 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match1.942.061.091.06
Goals against / match1.030.761.761.94
Clean sheets35%47%18%12%
Failed to score18%12%32%29%
Both teams scored50%41%59%65%
Over 2.565%59%50%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.982.231.241.11
xG against / match1.291.081.711.78
xG difference0.691.15-0.47-0.67
Finishing vs xG-0.04-0.17-0.15-0.05
xPts / match1.732.011.120.99
Points vs xPts0.320.46-0.18-0.28
Game state
Scored first59%65%38%41%
PPG when scoring first2.752.731.851.43
PPG when conceding first1.082.000.280.11
Came back from behind43%57%24%8%
Leads held92%93%54%43%
Minutes leading35%41%20%15%
Minutes level43%42%48%47%
Minutes trailing21%17%32%38%
First goal (min)40384242
First goal conceded (min)37313838
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%63%49%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half43%38%52%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.440.410.210.24
Late goals against0.150.060.350.29
Style
Possession51%52%46%47%
Shots16.418.211.29.5
On target5.66.43.93.5
Shot conversion12%11%10%11%
Shots inside box70%69%65%66%
Big chances created3.74.22.72.1
Corners6.26.85.14.6
xG from set plays23%24%27%28%
Goals from headers17%23%11%6%
Pressure index16.718.99.08.4
Dominant minutes54.660.640.939.2
Pass accuracy84%84%82%82%
Fouls12.712.612.412.5
Cards2.181.652.122.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lens

0–15'67
16–30'77
31–45'136
46–60'163
61–75'97
76–90'155

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lens · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: when ahead -0.48

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.195
Late push (76+, level)+0.023
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.043

Game state

When ahead-0.483
When level+0.055
When behind+0.274
10 min after conceding-0.155
10 min after scoring-0.234

Situations

Against ten men+0.012
At home-0.112
Away+0.083
4+ days rest-0.044

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.073
v bottom-tier opponents-0.102
As favourite-0.054

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.115
Conceded when ahead+0.513
Conceded late (76+)-0.365

Congested vs rested +0.22 · Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level +0.22

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.092

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.403
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.252
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Lens

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 100%2.061.941.031.981.29

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-5-23 9%0.330.671.671.421.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.57Home 61% P 61%4.5Draw 21% P 21%5.25Away 18% P 18%

Double Chance

1.14Lens or Draw 41% P 41%1.18Lens or Nice 39% P 39%2.37Draw or Nice 20% P 19%

Draw No Bet

1.21 78%4.332 22%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 60%2.1No 44% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 62% P 63%2.5Under 38% P 37%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46% P 45%1.72Under 54% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 17.5–20% · 138 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home61%61%65%+4.3
Draw21%21%18%-2.8
Away18%18%17%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.5 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 70%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.563%64%63%-0.4

Willy Delajod

Career
170 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.05 (3.76 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.43
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.984.06-0.2336
Fouls / match24.824.3+0.33
Fouls per card6.36.0+0.38 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.36+0.4868
Time added6.96.7+0.2352
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-11 11 180 14'4
2025-11-30 41 280 45'10
2025-11-08 10 221 37'7
2025-10-29 20 180 68'8
2025-10-23 30 150 8'9
2025-10-05 · Nice 41 193 24'16
2025-10-02 50 291 1'9
2025-09-28 20 261 41'9
2025-09-14 41 241 40'8
2025-08-27 50 350 31'6