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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 16

Momentum

StrasbourgLorient
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
16

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Capacity
29,200
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,951

Teams

Coaches
Liam Rosenior · Olivier Pantaloni
Position
9 · 13
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Gaël Angoula

Weather

Conditions
fog
Temperature
4.1° (feels 2.9°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
100%

Where to watch · 185

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Strasbourg

LWLLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 5.86–6.23 · xPts 6.2

  • W A Aberdeen 1–0 xG 1.8–1.0 UEFA ECL
  • L A Toulouse 0–1 xG 0.11–0.53 FRA L1
  • L H Brest 1–2 xG 1.01–1.22 FRA L1
  • W H Crystal Palace 2–1 xG 2.41–1.68 UEFA ECL
  • L A Lens 0–1 xG 0.54–1.81 FRA L1

Lorient

LDDWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 8.47–6.15 · xPts 8.14

  • W H Olympique Lyonnais 1–0 xG 1.8–0.67 FRA L1
  • W H Nice 3–1 xG 2.74–0.9 FRA L1
  • D A Nantes 1–1 xG 0.49–1.01 FRA L1
  • D H Toulouse 1–1 xG 1.35–1.41 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 0–3 xG 2.1–2.16 FRA L1

All meetings · 12 matches since 2007

Strasbourg 35 draws4 Lorient

Goals 14–14 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Strasbourg 34 draws3 Lorient

Goals 14–13 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Strasbourg 21 draws2 Lorient

Goals 7–8 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Lorient 2–3 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Strasbourg 0–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 1–3 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 1–2 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 2–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Strasbourg 1–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 0–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 4–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Strasbourg 1–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 3–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricStrasbourg all · 34Strasbourg at home · 17Lorient all · 34Lorient away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.561.761.320.88
W / D / L15 / 8 / 119 / 3 / 511 / 12 / 113 / 6 / 8
Goals for / match1.711.761.411.00
Goals against / match1.381.121.501.53
Clean sheets26%41%21%18%
Failed to score18%18%29%53%
Both teams scored65%53%53%35%
Over 2.565%65%44%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.461.501.351.08
xG against / match1.331.051.381.57
xG difference0.130.45-0.03-0.49
Finishing vs xG0.240.260.07-0.08
xPts / match1.441.631.341.07
Points vs xPts0.120.13-0.01-0.18
Game state
Scored first56%71%47%29%
PPG when scoring first2.052.082.192.20
PPG when conceding first0.921.000.530.27
Came back from behind31%17%42%27%
Leads held65%69%65%60%
Minutes leading26%31%26%16%
Minutes level52%59%49%48%
Minutes trailing22%10%25%36%
First goal (min)41383738
First goal conceded (min)39464542
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%57%58%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%63%67%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.240.380.53
Late goals against0.350.350.470.41
Style
Possession54%52%45%45%
Shots11.512.111.310.7
On target4.65.13.93.5
Shot conversion15%15%12%9%
Shots inside box69%70%63%61%
Big chances created3.03.32.01.5
Corners4.24.93.53.8
xG from set plays23%21%33%30%
Goals from headers16%10%6%0%
Pressure index14.216.310.19.6
Dominant minutes54.756.642.842.1
Pass accuracy88%88%84%84%
Fouls11.19.69.59.5
Cards1.941.471.681.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Strasbourg

0–15'47
16–30'106
31–45'115
46–60'914
61–75'103
76–90'1412

Lorient

0–15'46
16–30'76
31–45'95
46–60'811
61–75'77
76–90'1316

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Strasbourg · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Game state

When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023

Situations

At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02

Lorient · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.96

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)+0.374
Late push (76+, level)-0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.322
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.963

Situations

At home-0.072
Away-0.182
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
Evenly matched-0.232

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Ahead vs level -0.18 · Behind vs level +0.28

Strasbourg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.591.761.471.61.46
3-4-2-110 29%1.11.61.41.551.24
4-4-1-12 6%1.52.02.01.021.73
4-4-21 3%3.03.02.01.961.72
3-1-4-21 3%3.01.00.01.340.72

Lorient

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%1.291.391.681.371.46
3-4-34 12%1.751.750.51.680.99
5-4-12 6%1.01.01.00.410.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.8Home 53% P 53%3.8Draw 25% P 26%4.33Away 22% P 21%

Double Chance

1.18Strasbourg or Draw 40% P 39%1.25Strasbourg or Lorient 37% P 37%2.05Draw or Lorient 23% P 23%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 53%1.95No 48% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 44%1.83Under 50% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home53%54%56%+2.6
Draw26%25%27%+1.4
Away21%21%17%-4.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Gaël Angoula

Career
31 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
3.35 (3.26 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
22.6 · 6.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
38%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 32 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.284.06-1.670
Fouls / match21.824.3-1.25
Fouls per card6.76.0+0.84 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.36-0.4828
Time added8.76.7+1.5392
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
36% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.27

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-23 50 192 56'8
2025-11-02 40 160 26'7
2025-10-19 40 170 8'8
2025-10-04 30 230 10'8
2025-01-10 41 151 12'11
2024-12-15 60 240 15'10