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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 16
RennesRennes
3–1
FT
BrestBrest

Momentum

– RennesBrest –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
16

Venue

Stadium
Roazhon Park, Rennes
Capacity
29,778
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,959

Teams

Coaches
Habib Beye · Eric Roy
Position
6 · 11
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Benoît Millot

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
11.0° (feels 10.5°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 191

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Rennes

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 7 · xG 7.26–8.87 · xPts 6.05

  • L A Paris Saint Germain 0–5 xG 0.2–2.48 FRA L1
  • W A Metz 1–0 xG 1.06–1.09 FRA L1
  • W H Monaco 4–1 xG 2.67–1.4 FRA L1
  • W A Paris 1–0 xG 0.96–2.28 FRA L1
  • W H Strasbourg 4–1 xG 2.37–1.63 FRA L1

Brest

DLWWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 6.9–6.02 · xPts 7.82

  • W H Monaco 1–0 xG 0.77–0.82 FRA L1
  • W A Strasbourg 2–1 xG 1.22–1.01 FRA L1
  • W H Metz 3–2 xG 3.15–0.96 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Marseille 0–3 xG 0.32–3.05 FRA L1
  • D H Olympique Lyonnais 0–0 xG 1.45–0.18 FRA L1

All meetings · 20 matches since 2010

Rennes 107 draws3 Brest

Goals 33–23 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Rennes 53 draws2 Brest

Goals 21–15 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Rennes 21 draws2 Brest

Goals 13–12 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Brest 3–4 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 3–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 1–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Brest 1–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 4–5 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Brest 0–0 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 1–2 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 3–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 2–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Brest 1–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricRennes all · 34Rennes at home · 17Brest all · 34Brest away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.742.001.150.76
W / D / L17 / 8 / 910 / 4 / 310 / 9 / 153 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.741.761.260.88
Goals against / match1.471.001.621.88
Clean sheets29%24%26%12%
Failed to score18%18%32%41%
Both teams scored59%71%47%47%
Over 2.571%65%50%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.561.711.290.91
xG against / match1.541.341.541.66
xG difference0.020.37-0.25-0.75
Finishing vs xG0.180.05-0.03-0.02
xPts / match1.431.651.280.95
Points vs xPts0.310.35-0.13-0.19
Game state
Scored first56%41%47%35%
PPG when scoring first2.263.001.941.33
PPG when conceding first1.081.380.380.45
Came back from behind40%62%21%23%
Leads held71%91%56%38%
Minutes leading36%31%24%15%
Minutes level41%46%44%45%
Minutes trailing23%23%32%41%
First goal (min)37433547
First goal conceded (min)40423338
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%63%49%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%53%51%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.530.240.24
Late goals against0.290.180.320.47
Style
Possession54%54%43%42%
Shots14.115.811.28.6
On target5.05.43.52.5
Shot conversion12%11%11%10%
Shots inside box62%60%63%63%
Big chances created2.42.82.21.5
Corners6.06.53.93.1
xG from set plays29%29%36%42%
Goals from headers19%32%21%13%
Pressure index14.115.58.16.1
Dominant minutes51.952.536.732.6
Pass accuracy84%84%78%78%
Fouls12.312.912.712.9
Cards1.821.591.851.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rennes

0–15'78
16–30'151
31–45'510
46–60'1211
61–75'810
76–90'1210

Brest

0–15'98
16–30'612
31–45'77
46–60'86
61–75'511
76–90'811

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rennes · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: when level +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)+0.245
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.014
When level+0.555
10 min after conceding-0.423
10 min after scoring-0.024

Situations

At home-0.123
Away+0.832
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.252
v bottom-tier opponents+0.142
As favourite+0.444

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.105
Conceded when ahead+0.174
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.54

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.434
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.313

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

Rennes

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 53%1.51.561.721.41.61
4-4-26 18%2.02.331.832.01.29
4-3-35 15%2.01.60.61.471.07
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.00.51.352.23
5-3-21 3%3.01.00.00.972.28

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.421.381.421.351.38
4-3-35 15%0.21.02.21.512.04
4-1-4-12 6%0.51.53.50.512.69
4-4-21 3%3.02.00.01.791.34
4-2-2-21 3%0.00.02.00.90.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.85Home 51% P 52%3.8Draw 25% P 25%4.0Away 24% P 23%

Double Chance

1.22Rennes or Draw 38% P 38%1.25Rennes or Brest 37% P 38%1.9Draw or Brest 25% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 57%2.05No 45% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 54%2.0Under 47% P 46%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 22.5–25% · 500 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home52%51%53%+2.3
Draw25%25%23%-2.6
Away23%23%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Benoît Millot

Career
284 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.14 (3.93 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.28
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 83 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.994.06-0.2140
Fouls / match25.824.3+0.86
Fouls per card6.56.0+0.71 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.36-0.5924
Time added7.06.7+0.3060
First card
35' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-23 30 212 29'8
2025-10-29 · Brest 40 230 43'7
2025-10-26 50 300 22'15
2025-10-03 30 290 45'6
2025-09-14 10 172 45'12
2025-08-24 · Brest 10 240 63'14
2025-05-03 · Rennes 50 220 14'7
2025-04-20 · Brest –– 22– 45'9
2025-04-13 20 250 37'2
2025-03-15 51 240 12'6