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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 17

Momentum

MonacoLYO
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
Stade Louis II., Monaco
Capacity
18,523
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,828

Teams

Coaches
Sebastien Pocognoli · Paulo Rodrigues Fonseca
Position
9 · 5
Formation
4-3-1-2 · 4-3-1-2

Referee

Jérôme Brisard

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
7.9° (feels 5.3°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
81%

Where to watch · 196

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Monaco

DWLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 10.51–6.7 · xPts 8.18

  • L A Olympique Marseille 0–1 xG 1.81–1.81 FRA L1
  • W H Galatasaray 1–0 xG 5.52–1.74 UEFA CL
  • L A Brest 0–1 xG 0.82–0.77 FRA L1
  • W H Paris Saint Germain 1–0 xG 0.79–1.15 FRA L1
  • D A Pafos FC 2–2 xG 1.57–1.22 UEFA CL

Olympique Lyonnais

WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 2 · xG 13.49–5.25 · xPts 10.73

  • W H Le Havre 1–0 xG 2.91–1.6 FRA L1
  • W H Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 xG 2.74–0.48 UEFA EL
  • L A Lorient 0–1 xG 0.67–1.8 FRA L1
  • W H Nantes 3–0 xG 2.85–0.87 FRA L1
  • W A Maccabi Tel Aviv 6–0 xG 4.32–0.51 UEFA EL

All meetings · 37 matches since 2005

Monaco 126 draws19 Olympique Lyonnais

Goals 43–66 · 2.95 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Monaco 50 draws5 Olympique Lyonnais

Goals 14–14 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Monaco 30 draws2 Olympique Lyonnais

Goals 9–7 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Olympique Lyonnais 1–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 1–3 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 2–0 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Lyonnais 0–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Lyonnais 3–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 0–1 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Lyonnais 3–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 2–1 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 2–0 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Lyonnais 2–0 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricMonaco all · 34Monaco at home · 17Olympique Lyonnais all · 34Olympique Lyonnais away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.591.881.761.35
W / D / L16 / 6 / 1210 / 2 / 518 / 6 / 106 / 5 / 6
Goals for / match1.761.941.561.35
Goals against / match1.591.351.181.29
Clean sheets21%29%44%41%
Failed to score21%12%18%29%
Both teams scored65%59%50%53%
Over 2.565%65%56%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.631.761.541.29
xG against / match1.431.211.391.53
xG difference0.200.550.15-0.24
Finishing vs xG0.140.180.020.06
xPts / match1.491.681.471.24
Points vs xPts0.100.200.300.12
Game state
Scored first44%53%62%53%
PPG when scoring first2.533.002.332.11
PPG when conceding first0.820.630.780.00
Came back from behind33%38%23%0%
Leads held84%100%78%67%
Minutes leading28%34%36%38%
Minutes level51%49%50%45%
Minutes trailing21%17%14%17%
First goal (min)43393727
First goal conceded (min)47484646
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%64%49%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%56%62%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.410.260.24
Late goals against0.410.290.440.59
Style
Possession54%55%55%53%
Shots12.512.112.311.0
On target4.44.54.74.6
Shot conversion14%16%13%12%
Shots inside box73%74%68%67%
Big chances created3.03.12.72.3
Corners5.14.95.95.2
xG from set plays25%26%26%27%
Goals from headers12%12%17%22%
Pressure index12.313.214.511.2
Dominant minutes50.052.653.448.8
Pass accuracy83%84%85%84%
Fouls13.012.813.012.7
Cards2.442.062.152.47

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Monaco

0–15'55
16–30'76
31–45'1010
46–60'127
61–75'1412
76–90'1214

Olympique Lyonnais

0–15'63
16–30'93
31–45'129
46–60'105
61–75'75
76–90'915

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Monaco · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.037
Early press (0-15, level)+0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.162

Game state

When ahead-0.096
When level+0.037
When behind+0.122
10 min after conceding-0.434
10 min after scoring+0.267

Situations

At home-0.113
Away+0.024
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.025

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.223
As favourite-0.044
Evenly matched+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.196
Conceded late (76+)+0.106

Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.09

Olympique Lyonnais · 8 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.42

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.028
Early press (0-15, level)-0.128
Late push (76+, level)-0.353
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.342

Game state

When ahead+0.155
When level-0.128
When behind-0.052
10 min after conceding-0.145
10 min after scoring+0.427

Situations

At home+0.094
Away-0.134
4+ days rest-0.017

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.032
v mid-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents+0.112
As favourite+0.094
Evenly matched-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.008
Conceded when ahead-0.115
Conceded late (76+)-0.327

Congested vs rested -0.06 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.07

Monaco

Current: unbeaten 7 · wins 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 41%1.571.641.291.471.31
4-2-3-17 21%1.861.711.141.731.2
3-1-4-23 9%2.03.03.02.472.15
4-4-22 6%3.03.51.52.121.25
3-4-1-22 6%3.02.51.02.081.55

Olympique Lyonnais

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.351.411.291.621.38
4-3-37 21%2.571.290.711.251.15
4-3-1-24 12%1.51.752.251.461.94
3-4-2-13 9%2.01.670.331.611.37
4-1-4-12 6%2.01.50.51.571.37

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 46%3.7Draw 26% P 26%3.25Away 29% P 27%

Double Chance

1.33Monaco or Draw 35% P 36%1.28Monaco or Lyon 37% P 37%1.7Draw or Lyon 28% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 61%2.37No 39% P 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.72Over 54% P 53%2.0Under 46% P 47%
5.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 854 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%44%-1.8
Draw26%28%30%+1.8
Away27%26%26%-0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes61%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Jérôme Brisard

Career
207 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.0 (3.73 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 89 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.914.06-0.3628
Fouls / match23.424.3-0.38
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.12 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.360.36-0.0444
Time added7.46.7+0.5988
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-05 20 200 26'9
2025-11-27 21 240 27'6
2025-11-22 52 260 3'7
2025-11-02 10 200 88'7
2025-10-29 · Monaco 100 300 16'12
2025-10-18 · Olympique Lyonnais 30 211 26'10
2025-09-24 50 150 40'5
2025-09-22 40 230 18'8
2025-08-31 50 290 1'10
2025-08-24 62 250 6'10