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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 17

Momentum

LOSC LilleRennes
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Capacity
50,186
Surface
grass
Attendance
41,527

Teams

Coaches
Bruno Génésio · Habib Beye
Position
4 · 6
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Eric Wattellier

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
1.0° (feels -3.1°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
86%

Where to watch · 197

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

LOSC Lille

WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 4 · xG 5.25–6.3 · xPts 6.35

  • W A Auxerre 4–3 xG 0.8–2.73 FRA L1
  • L A Young Boys 0–1 xG 0.78–1.9 UEFA EL
  • W H Olympique Marseille 1–0 xG 0.46–0.6 FRA L1
  • W A Le Havre 1–0 xG 1.13–0.95 FRA L1
  • W H Dinamo Zagreb 4–0 xG 2.09–0.12 UEFA EL

Rennes

WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 6.13–8.09 · xPts 5.89

  • W H Brest 3–1 xG 1.24–0.84 FRA L1
  • L A Paris Saint Germain 0–5 xG 0.2–2.48 FRA L1
  • W A Metz 1–0 xG 1.06–1.09 FRA L1
  • W H Monaco 4–1 xG 2.67–1.4 FRA L1
  • W A Paris 1–0 xG 0.96–2.28 FRA L1

All meetings · 42 matches since 2005

LOSC Lille 1717 draws8 Rennes

Goals 57–45 · 2.43 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 10 matches

LOSC Lille 54 draws1 Rennes

Goals 17–12 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

LOSC Lille 31 draws1 Rennes

Goals 7–5 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Rennes 1–2 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 0–2 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 0–2 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 1–0 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 2–2 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Rennes 2–2 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 1–3 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 1–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 2–2 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 1–2 LOSC Lille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLOSC Lille all · 34LOSC Lille at home · 17Rennes all · 34Rennes away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.791.711.741.47
W / D / L18 / 7 / 98 / 5 / 417 / 8 / 97 / 4 / 6
Goals for / match1.531.411.741.71
Goals against / match1.091.001.471.94
Clean sheets38%35%29%35%
Failed to score29%24%18%18%
Both teams scored38%47%59%47%
Over 2.538%29%71%76%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.581.711.561.40
xG against / match1.040.891.541.73
xG difference0.540.830.02-0.33
Finishing vs xG-0.05-0.300.180.30
xPts / match1.711.891.431.20
Points vs xPts0.09-0.180.310.27
Game state
Scored first53%47%56%71%
PPG when scoring first2.672.502.261.83
PPG when conceding first0.791.001.080.60
Came back from behind40%50%40%14%
Leads held86%80%71%54%
Minutes leading26%18%36%42%
Minutes level52%59%41%35%
Minutes trailing22%22%23%23%
First goal (min)48603731
First goal conceded (min)44474037
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half71%71%54%45%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%65%62%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.680.650.350.18
Late goals against0.210.240.290.41
Style
Possession56%57%54%52%
Shots13.614.814.112.5
On target4.64.85.04.5
Shot conversion11%10%12%14%
Shots inside box70%73%62%65%
Big chances created2.83.12.42.0
Corners5.76.46.05.5
xG from set plays30%30%29%30%
Goals from headers10%8%19%7%
Pressure index15.215.814.112.7
Dominant minutes61.463.051.951.4
Pass accuracy85%85%84%84%
Fouls10.710.512.311.8
Cards2.412.061.822.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

LOSC Lille

0–15'53
16–30'54
31–45'57
46–60'99
61–75'57
76–90'237

Rennes

0–15'78
16–30'151
31–45'510
46–60'1211
61–75'810
76–90'1210

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

LOSC Lille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26

Rennes · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: when level +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)+0.245
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.014
When level+0.555
10 min after conceding-0.433
10 min after scoring-0.024

Situations

At home-0.123
Away+0.832
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.252
v bottom-tier opponents+0.142
As favourite+0.444

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.095
Conceded when ahead+0.174
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.54

LOSC Lille

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%1.931.550.91.580.98
4-3-32 6%0.50.52.00.861.28
4-3-1-21 3%1.01.01.00.640.59
4-4-21 3%3.04.02.03.730.93
5-4-11 3%0.01.04.01.963.0

Rennes

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 53%1.51.561.721.41.61
4-4-26 18%2.02.331.832.01.29
4-3-35 15%2.01.60.61.471.07
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.00.51.352.23
3-1-4-21 3%1.01.01.02.180.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.75Home 54% P 55%3.9Draw 24% P 25%4.5Away 21% P 20%

Double Chance

1.16Lille or Draw 40% P 40%1.22Lille or Rennes 38% P 38%2.2Draw or Rennes 21% P 22%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 59%2.05No 45% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 57%2.1Under 45% P 43%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46% P 44%1.72Under 54% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 299 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home55%56%60%+4.2
Draw25%23%21%-1.7
Away20%21%18%-2.5

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Eric Wattellier

Career
147 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
3.39 (3.16 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 94 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.434.06-1.338
Fouls / match20.624.3-1.89
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.04 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.430.36+0.5976
Time added6.36.7-0.2032
First card
40' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-07 30 221 45'7
2025-11-29 30 170 42'7
2025-11-01 50 220 36'8
2025-10-26 41 341 61'11
2025-10-19 · Rennes 40 241 45'6
2025-09-20 · LOSC Lille 40 280 36'11
2025-08-30 10 184 82'10
2025-08-23 20 280 54'9
2025-08-14 30 170 22'7
2025-05-10 10 250 52'7