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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 17
LorientLorient
1–1
FT
MetzMetz

Momentum

– LorientMetz –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir, Lorient
Capacity
18,110
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
12,602

Teams

Coaches
Olivier Pantaloni · Stéphane Le Mignan
Position
12 · 18
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Guillaume Paradis

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
2.6° (feels 1.1°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
81%

Where to watch · 190

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Lorient

DDWWD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 6.86–4.79 · xPts 7.8

  • D A Strasbourg 0–0 xG 0.5–0.81 FRA L1
  • W H Olympique Lyonnais 1–0 xG 1.8–0.67 FRA L1
  • W H Nice 3–1 xG 2.74–0.9 FRA L1
  • D A Nantes 1–1 xG 0.49–1.01 FRA L1
  • D H Toulouse 1–1 xG 1.35–1.41 FRA L1

Metz

WLLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 11 · xG 4.84–8.89 · xPts 4.61

  • L H Paris Saint Germain 2–3 xG 0.69–1.55 FRA L1
  • L A Auxerre 1–3 xG 0.6–1.94 FRA L1
  • L H Rennes 0–1 xG 1.09–1.06 FRA L1
  • L A Brest 2–3 xG 0.96–3.15 FRA L1
  • W H Nice 2–1 xG 1.51–1.18 FRA L1

All meetings · 14 matches since 2007

Lorient 92 draws3 Metz

Goals 33–19 · 3.71 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 79%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lorient 52 draws3 Metz

Goals 22–17 · 3.9 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lorient 31 draws1 Metz

Goals 10–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Metz 0–4 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 1–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Metz 1–2 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 2–3 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 1–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 4–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 2–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 3–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 5–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Metz 3–3 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLorient all · 34Lorient at home · 17Metz all · 34Metz away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.321.760.500.41
W / D / L11 / 12 / 118 / 6 / 33 / 8 / 231 / 4 / 12
Goals for / match1.411.820.941.00
Goals against / match1.501.472.242.59
Clean sheets21%24%21%18%
Failed to score29%6%44%41%
Both teams scored53%71%50%53%
Over 2.544%53%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.621.000.84
xG against / match1.381.181.772.13
xG difference-0.030.43-0.77-1.29
Finishing vs xG0.070.21-0.060.16
xPts / match1.341.610.930.65
Points vs xPts-0.010.16-0.43-0.24
Game state
Scored first47%65%21%24%
PPG when scoring first2.192.181.141.00
PPG when conceding first0.531.000.180.09
Came back from behind42%62%8%8%
Leads held65%67%38%25%
Minutes leading26%37%6%6%
Minutes level49%50%52%45%
Minutes trailing25%13%42%50%
First goal (min)37364237
First goal conceded (min)45483124
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%55%56%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%72%55%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.240.320.29
Late goals against0.470.530.710.71
Style
Possession45%46%49%48%
Shots11.311.910.18.4
On target3.94.43.22.5
Shot conversion12%15%9%12%
Shots inside box63%64%62%64%
Big chances created2.02.51.41.0
Corners3.53.24.23.5
xG from set plays33%34%33%37%
Goals from headers6%10%16%19%
Pressure index10.110.68.77.3
Dominant minutes42.843.640.333.9
Pass accuracy84%84%85%85%
Fouls9.59.511.411.2
Cards1.681.711.762.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lorient

0–15'46
16–30'76
31–45'95
46–60'811
61–75'77
76–90'1316

Metz

0–15'412
16–30'49
31–45'613
46–60'59
61–75'29
76–90'1124

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lorient · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.95

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)+0.374
Late push (76+, level)-0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.322
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.953

Situations

At home-0.072
Away-0.182
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
Evenly matched-0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Ahead vs level -0.18 · Behind vs level +0.28

Metz

No pressure profile yet.

Lorient

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%1.291.391.681.371.46
3-4-34 12%1.751.750.51.680.99
5-4-12 6%1.01.01.00.410.96

Metz

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 56%0.581.112.051.041.7
3-4-2-15 15%0.20.42.60.771.98
4-3-34 12%0.250.753.01.022.05
4-1-4-13 9%1.00.671.331.421.38
5-3-22 6%0.00.02.00.321.82

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.8Home 53% P 52%3.7Draw 26% P 26%4.33Away 22% P 22%

Double Chance

1.22Lorient or Draw 39% P 39%1.28Lorient or Metz 37% P 37%1.9Draw or Metz 25% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 53%2.0No 47% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home52%51%55%+3.6
Draw26%27%26%-1.4
Away22%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Guillaume Paradis

Career
17 matches · 2 seasons
Cards / match
3.94 (3.82 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
24.5 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.06
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.824.06-0.5520
Fouls / match24.524.3+0.15
Fouls per card6.46.0+0.49 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.060.36-2.900
Time added8.96.7+1.6696
First card
30' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 25% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-30 20 180 48'8
2025-11-07 60 220 57'5
2025-10-25 70 330 18'17
2025-10-05 40 230 6'7
2025-09-28 · Metz 40 320 30'9
2025-09-13 20 300 44'11
2025-08-24 40 331 7'9