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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 17
NiceNice
1–1
FT
StrasbourgStrasbourg

Momentum

– NiceStrasbourg –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
Allianz Riviera, Nice
Capacity
36,178
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,365

Teams

Coaches
Claude Puel · Liam Rosenior
Position
13 · 7
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Clément Turpin

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
7.5° (feels 5.1°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 194

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nice

LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 10 · xG 4.84–6.91 · xPts 5.68

  • L A Lens 0–2 xG 0.68–1.28 FRA L1
  • L H Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 1.37–0.87 UEFA EL
  • L H Angers SCO 0–1 xG 1.09–0.72 FRA L1
  • L A Lorient 1–3 xG 0.9–2.74 FRA L1
  • L A Porto 0–3 xG 0.81–1.31 UEFA EL

Strasbourg

LLWDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 7.15–4.03 · xPts 8.13

  • W H Breidablik 3–1 xG 3.43–0.79 UEFA ECL
  • D H Lorient 0–0 xG 0.81–0.5 FRA L1
  • W A Aberdeen 1–0 xG 1.8–1.0 UEFA ECL
  • L A Toulouse 0–1 xG 0.11–0.53 FRA L1
  • L H Brest 1–2 xG 1.01–1.22 FRA L1

All meetings · 21 matches since 2005

Nice 86 draws7 Strasbourg

Goals 22–23 · 2.14 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Nice 34 draws3 Strasbourg

Goals 12–14 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Nice 22 draws1 Strasbourg

Goals 9–8 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Strasbourg 3–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 1–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Strasbourg 2–2 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 2–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 1–3 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 2–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 2–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 1–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Strasbourg 0–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 0–3 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNice all · 34Nice at home · 17Strasbourg all · 34Strasbourg away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.181.561.35
W / D / L7 / 11 / 164 / 8 / 515 / 8 / 116 / 5 / 6
Goals for / match1.091.121.711.65
Goals against / match1.761.591.381.65
Clean sheets18%24%26%12%
Failed to score32%35%18%18%
Both teams scored59%53%65%76%
Over 2.550%41%65%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.381.461.42
xG against / match1.711.651.331.61
xG difference-0.47-0.270.13-0.19
Finishing vs xG-0.15-0.260.240.23
xPts / match1.121.261.441.25
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.090.120.10
Game state
Scored first38%35%56%41%
PPG when scoring first1.852.332.052.00
PPG when conceding first0.280.440.920.89
Came back from behind24%44%31%40%
Leads held54%67%65%60%
Minutes leading20%25%26%21%
Minutes level48%49%52%46%
Minutes trailing32%26%22%34%
First goal (min)42424144
First goal conceded (min)38383935
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%58%57%57%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%52%62%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.180.410.59
Late goals against0.350.410.350.35
Style
Possession46%46%54%56%
Shots11.213.011.510.9
On target3.94.44.64.2
Shot conversion10%9%15%15%
Shots inside box65%63%69%69%
Big chances created2.73.23.02.8
Corners5.15.54.23.5
xG from set plays27%27%23%26%
Goals from headers11%16%16%21%
Pressure index9.09.614.212.2
Dominant minutes40.942.654.752.8
Pass accuracy82%82%88%88%
Fouls12.412.211.112.6
Cards2.122.001.942.41

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Strasbourg

0–15'47
16–30'106
31–45'115
46–60'914
61–75'103
76–90'1412

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.092

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.403
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.252
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Strasbourg · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Game state

When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023

Situations

At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-5-23 9%0.330.671.671.421.86

Strasbourg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.591.761.471.61.46
3-4-2-110 29%1.11.61.41.551.24
4-4-1-12 6%1.52.02.01.021.73
3-5-21 3%0.01.02.00.621.57
3-4-1-21 3%3.02.00.00.410.26

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.25Home 29% P 29%3.5Draw 27% P 28%2.15Away 44% P 42%

Double Chance

1.66Nice or Draw 28% P 29%1.28Nice or Strasbourg 37% P 36%1.33Draw or Strasbourg 35% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.371 39%1.532 61%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 59%2.2No 42% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 53%2.1Under 45% P 47%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%
4.52.0Over 46% P 38%1.72Under 54% P 62%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 40–42.5% · 469 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home29%29%31%+2.1
Draw28%30%25%-4.9
Away42%41%44%+2.7

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Clément Turpin

Career
413 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.74 (3.47 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.494.06-1.2412
Fouls / match23.724.3-0.25
Fouls per card6.96.0+1.14 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.36-0.7016
Time added6.16.7-0.3524
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-10 60 311 11'7
2025-11-29 41 230 12'9
2025-11-04 20 160 63'6
2025-11-02 11 250 8'9
2025-10-29 50 211 45'7
2025-10-17 · Strasbourg 30 201 56'8
2025-10-04 –– 15– –10
2025-09-30 80 261 36'13
2025-09-19 40 260 20'6
2025-08-27 60 351 37'8