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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 17
Olympique MarseilleOM
0–2
FT
NantesNantes

Momentum

– OMNantes –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Capacity
67,395
Surface
grass
Attendance
64,780

Teams

Coaches
Roberto De Zerbi · Ahmed Kantari
Position
3 · 17
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 5-4-1

Referee

Marc Bollengier

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
9.6° (feels 7.2°)
Wind
4.7
Humidity
54%

Where to watch · 195

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Olympique Marseille

WDLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 7.02–5.16 · xPts 8.19

  • W H Monaco 1–0 xG 1.81–1.81 FRA L1
  • W A Union Saint-Gilloise 3–2 xG 1.54–0.75 UEFA CL
  • L A LOSC Lille 0–1 xG 0.6–0.46 FRA L1
  • D H Toulouse 2–2 xG 1.35–0.6 FRA L1
  • W H Newcastle United 2–1 xG 1.72–1.55 UEFA CL

Nantes

DDLLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 11 · xG 4.09–10.2 · xPts 3.59

  • L A Angers SCO 1–4 xG 0.38–2.68 FRA L1
  • L H Lens 1–2 xG 1.67–2.8 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 0–3 xG 0.87–2.85 FRA L1
  • D H Lorient 1–1 xG 1.01–0.49 FRA L1
  • D A Le Havre 1–1 xG 0.16–1.39 FRA L1

All meetings · 32 matches since 2005

Olympique Marseille 158 draws9 Nantes

Goals 43–34 · 2.41 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 41%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Olympique Marseille 71 draws2 Nantes

Goals 15–10 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Olympique Marseille 30 draws2 Nantes

Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Nantes 3–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 0–2 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 2–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 1–2 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 2–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 1–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 0–2 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 2–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 3–2 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 0–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricOlympique Marseille all · 34Olympique Marseille at home · 17Nantes all · 33Nantes away · 17
Results
Matches34173317
Points per game1.742.180.700.65
W / D / L18 / 5 / 1111 / 4 / 25 / 8 / 202 / 5 / 10
Goals for / match1.852.410.880.65
Goals against / match1.321.181.581.47
Clean sheets26%29%21%24%
Failed to score24%6%42%53%
Both teams scored50%65%46%41%
Over 2.562%71%46%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.701.781.100.99
xG against / match1.201.051.491.56
xG difference0.490.74-0.38-0.57
Finishing vs xG0.160.63-0.22-0.35
xPts / match1.691.831.131.00
Points vs xPts0.040.34-0.44-0.36
Game state
Scored first59%71%27%24%
PPG when scoring first2.402.422.002.00
PPG when conceding first0.791.600.100.00
Came back from behind31%67%9%0%
Leads held72%69%56%50%
Minutes leading38%47%19%14%
Minutes level41%40%50%61%
Minutes trailing21%14%30%25%
First goal (min)36363740
First goal conceded (min)46464346
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%61%45%36%
Goals conceded in 2nd half69%70%58%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.710.150.12
Late goals against0.440.590.580.53
Style
Possession57%58%42%40%
Shots15.115.811.310.6
On target5.76.33.33.1
Shot conversion12%15%8%6%
Shots inside box64%64%65%67%
Big chances created3.03.41.81.5
Corners5.25.63.73.4
xG from set plays26%26%36%38%
Goals from headers10%12%14%18%
Pressure index17.619.48.28.1
Dominant minutes58.361.036.235.1
Pass accuracy87%87%78%78%
Fouls12.712.912.712.9
Cards2.532.412.122.18

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Olympique Marseille

0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715

Nantes

0–15'66
16–30'18
31–45'98
46–60'57
61–75'34
76–90'519

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Nantes

No pressure profile yet.

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%2.172.441.171.91.23
3-4-2-19 26%1.441.671.441.521.09
3-4-1-22 6%1.51.01.01.310.95
5-4-11 3%0.00.05.00.843.03
3-5-21 3%3.01.00.00.590.83

Nantes

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-110 30%0.50.51.10.91.38
4-3-310 30%0.91.22.11.081.94
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.672.01.071.2
5-3-23 9%0.00.01.670.771.19
4-2-3-12 6%1.52.01.02.41.5

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.25Home 75% P 76%6.25Draw 15% P 15%9.5Away 10% P 9%

Double Chance

1.05Marseille or Draw 45% P 45%1.11Marseille or Nantes 42% P 43%3.75Draw or Nantes 13% P 12%

Draw No Bet

1.071 89%9.02 11%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 51%1.75No 53% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 62% P 66%2.5Under 38% P 34%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 75–77.5% · away 7.5–10% · 515 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home76%76%77%+0.9
Draw15%15%15%-0.5
Away9%9%8%-0.4

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 66%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.566%66%69%+3.2

Marc Bollengier

Career
69 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.99 (3.7 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
25.9 · 6.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.43
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 68 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.06-0.1844
Fouls / match25.924.3+0.92
Fouls per card6.66.0+0.73 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.440.36+0.7480
Time added6.76.7+0.0940
First card
37' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.24

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-14 60 321 24'8
2025-12-06 31 140 53'6
2025-11-23 40 300 29'6
2025-10-26 70 350 29'8
2025-10-19 50 251 51'8
2025-09-21 71 321 35'9
2025-08-31 40 200 24'7
2025-08-23 · Olympique Marseille 10 212 88'10
2025-05-10 · Nantes 40 310 56'5
2025-04-26 –– 20– –8