Rating 7.26 (96th pct) · G+A 4 + 5 (19% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.29 ppg with (28) · 1.6 without (5)
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 17
Momentum
– ToulouseLens –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Toulouse | at home | Stat | league | away | Lens |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.2 #16 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 51.1 #8 |
| 12.8 #6 | – | Shots total | 12.4 | – | 16.4 #2 |
| 4.3 #9 | – | Shots on target | 4.3 | – | 5.6 #3 |
| 4.5 #10 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 6.2 #2 |
| 14.4 #1 | – | Fouls | 12.0 | – | 12.7 #9 |
| 1.1 #18 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 2.0 #5 |
| 16.4 #9 | – | Tackles | 16.4 | – | 18.7 #1 |
| 88.4 #12 | – | Attacks | 92.9 | – | 94.3 #7 |
| 41.1 #10 | – | Dangerous attacks | 43.9 | – | 49.7 #6 |
| 374.0 #16 | – | Passes | 454.3 | – | 463.5 #9 |
| 2.4 #1 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.9 #10 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #9 |
| 1.0 #8 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.5 #2 |
| – #12 | – | Btts | 50.8 | – | – #7 |
| – #7 | – | Cleansheet | 28.3 | – | – #4 |
| – #8 | – | Draw | 24.3 | – | – #17 |
| 1.4 #9 | – | Expected goals | 1.4 | – | 2.0 #2 |
| 0.0 #8 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.0 #11 |
| – #8 | – | Failed to score | 28.4 | – | – #14 |
| 1.4 #9 | 1.5 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.9 #2 |
| 1.4 #10 | 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 #17 |
| 0.4 #7 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.4 #3 |
| 9.8 #6 | – | Interceptions | 9.3 | – | 11.0 #1 |
| – #7 | – | Lost | 37.9 | – | – #17 |
| 0.1 #10 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 6.8 #9 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #2 |
| 3.4 #8 | – | Shots blocked | 3.3 | – | 3.8 #4 |
| 8.4 #7 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.2 | – | 11.5 #1 |
| 5.1 #5 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 7.1 #1 |
| 4.5 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 5.0 #4 |
| – #9 | – | Win | 37.8 | – | – #2 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 305 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.83 (home 1.59 · away 1.24)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 24% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 51% · 53%
- Cards / match
- 3.95 (reds 0.18)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Toulouse · 2025/2026 · Ligue 1
Rating 7.09 (85th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (11% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Team 1.21 ppg with (28) · 2.0 without (5)
Rating 6.78 (38th pct) · G+A 5 + 6 (23% of team goals) · 44% of minutes
Team 1.71 ppg with (14) · 1.05 without (19)
Lens · 2025/2026 · Ligue 1
Rating 7.3 (98th pct) · G+A 11 + 6 (26% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Team 2.17 ppg with (29) · 1.4 without (5)
Rating 7.07 (95th pct) · G+A 1 + 7 (12% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Rating 6.99 (82th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (5% of team goals) · 66% of minutes
Team 2.05 ppg with (22) · 2.08 without (12)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 17
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
- Capacity
- 33,150
- Attendance
- 30,266
Teams
- Coaches
- Carles Martínez Novell · Pierre Sage
- Position
- 8 · 1
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Mathieu Vernice
Weather
- Conditions
- mist
- Temperature
- 1.1° (feels -1.8°)
- Wind
- 2.6
- Humidity
- 100%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain |
34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 76 | WDWWL |
| 2 |  Lens |
34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66 | 35 | 31 | 70 | DDWLW |
| 3 |  LOSC Lille |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 61 | DWDWL |
| 4 |  Olympique Lyonnais |
34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 60 | WWWLL |
| 5 |  Olympique Marseille |
34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 59 | LDLWW |
| 6 |  Rennes |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 59 | WWLWL |
| 7 |  Monaco |
34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60 | 54 | 6 | 54 | DDWLL |
| 8 |  Strasbourg |
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 53 | WLDWW |
| 9 |  Lorient |
34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 45 | WLDWL |
| 10 |  Toulouse |
33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 44 | LLDWW |
| 11 |  Paris |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 44 | WLWLW |
| 12 |  Brest |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 39 | DLLLD |
| 13 |  Angers SCO |
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 36 | DLLDD |
| 14 |  Le Havre |
34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 35 | DDDLW |
| 15 |  Auxerre |
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 34 | DLWWW |
| 16 |  Nice |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | DDDLD |
| 17 |  Nantes |
33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 23 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Metz |
34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 76 | -44 | 17 | LDLLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens |
17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 13 | 22 | 42 | DDWLW |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 12 | 29 | 41 | WDWWL |
| 3 | Olympique Marseille |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 37 | LDLWW |
| 4 | Olympique Lyonnais |
17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 37 | WWWLL |
| 5 | Rennes |
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 34 | WWLWL |
| 6 | Monaco |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 32 | DDWLL |
| 7 | Strasbourg |
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 | WLDWW |
| 8 | Lorient |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 30 | WLDWL |
| 9 | LOSC Lille |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 | DWDWL |
| 10 | Brest |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 26 | DLLLD |
| 11 | Paris |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 25 | WLWLW |
| 12 | Toulouse |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 24 | LLDWW |
| 13 | Le Havre |
17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 | DDDLW |
| 14 | Angers SCO |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 23 | DLLDD |
| 15 | Auxerre |
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 22 | DLWWW |
| 16 | Nice |
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 20 | DDDLD |
| 17 | Nantes |
16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 12 | DLLWL |
| 18 | Metz |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 10 | LDLLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain |
17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 35 | WDWWL |
| 2 | LOSC Lille |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 3 | Lens |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 28 | DDWLW |
| 4 | Rennes |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 25 | WWLWL |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Strasbourg |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 23 | WLDWW |
| 7 | Olympique Marseille |
17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 | LDLWW |
| 8 | Monaco |
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 22 | DDWLL |
| 9 | Toulouse |
16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 20 | LLDWW |
| 10 | Paris |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 19 | WLWLW |
| 11 | Lorient |
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 | WLDWL |
| 12 | Brest |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 13 | DLLLD |
| 13 | Angers SCO |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 13 | DLLDD |
| 14 | Auxerre |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 12 | DLWWW |
| 15 | Le Havre |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 12 | DDDLW |
| 16 | Nice |
17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 12 | DDDLD |
| 17 | Nantes |
17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 11 | DLLWL |
| 18 | Metz |
17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 44 | -27 | 7 | LDLLD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Toulouse
DLDWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 6.46–4.16 · xPts 8.37
- W
A
Paris
3–0
xG 2.14–0.87
FRA L1
- W
H
Strasbourg
1–0
xG 0.53–0.11
FRA L1
- D
A
Olympique Marseille
2–2
xG 0.6–1.35
FRA L1
- L
H
Angers SCO
0–1
xG 1.79–0.48
FRA L1
- D
A
Lorient
1–1
xG 1.41–1.35
FRA L1
WWLDDDLDWW 4W 4D 2L · 16 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 15 GA 8 · xG 15.03–10.13 · xPts 17.06
- W
A
Paris
3–0
xG 2.14–0.87
FRA L1
- W
H
Strasbourg
1–0
xG 0.53–0.11
FRA L1
- D
A
Olympique Marseille
2–2
xG 0.6–1.35
FRA L1
- L
H
Angers SCO
0–1
xG 1.79–0.48
FRA L1
- D
A
Lorient
1–1
xG 1.41–1.35
FRA L1
- D
H
Le Havre
0–0
xG 1.73–0.86
FRA L1
- D
H
Rennes
2–2
xG 1.78–0.97
FRA L1
- L
A
Monaco
0–1
xG 0.86–2.93
FRA L1
- W
H
Metz
4–0
xG 2.8–0.18
FRA L1
- W
A
Olympique Lyonnais
2–1
xG 1.4–1.04
FRA L1
Lens
WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 3 · xG 10.5–6.72 · xPts 9.42
- W
H
Nice
2–0
xG 1.28–0.68
FRA L1
- W
A
Nantes
2–1
xG 2.8–1.67
FRA L1
- W
A
Angers SCO
2–1
xG 1.94–0.96
FRA L1
- W
H
Strasbourg
1–0
xG 1.81–0.54
FRA L1
- W
A
Monaco
4–1
xG 2.68–2.88
FRA L1
WWWLWWWWWW 9W 0D 1L · 27 pts (2.7 ppg) · GF 20 GA 8 · xG 17.79–15.18 · xPts 15.81
- W
H
Nice
2–0
xG 1.28–0.68
FRA L1
- W
A
Nantes
2–1
xG 2.8–1.67
FRA L1
- W
A
Angers SCO
2–1
xG 1.94–0.96
FRA L1
- W
H
Strasbourg
1–0
xG 1.81–0.54
FRA L1
- W
A
Monaco
4–1
xG 2.68–2.88
FRA L1
- W
H
Lorient
3–0
xG 2.16–2.1
FRA L1
- L
A
Metz
0–2
xG 1.24–2.92
FRA L1
- W
H
Olympique Marseille
2–1
xG 1.55–0.9
FRA L1
- W
H
Paris
2–1
xG 1.72–0.99
FRA L1
- W
A
Auxerre
2–1
xG 0.61–1.55
FRA L1
All meetings · 20 matches since 2005
Goals 13–26 · 1.95 per match · BTTS 35% · over 2.5 20%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 5–18 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 4–9 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- L Lens 3–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Toulouse 0–3 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Toulouse 1–1 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Lens 0–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Toulouse 0–2 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Lens 2–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Toulouse 0–1 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Lens 3–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Lens 1–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Toulouse 0–2 Lens neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
| Metric | Toulouse all · 33 | Toulouse at home · 17 | Lens all · 34 | Lens away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 33 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 1.41 | 2.06 | 1.65 |
| W / D / L | 12 / 8 / 13 | 6 / 6 / 5 | 22 / 4 / 8 | 8 / 4 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.42 | 1.47 | 1.94 | 1.82 |
| Goals against / match | 1.39 | 1.41 | 1.03 | 1.29 |
| Clean sheets | 27% | 35% | 35% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 35% | 18% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 41% | 50% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 53% | 65% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.38 | 1.63 | 1.98 | 1.74 |
| xG against / match | 1.26 | 1.15 | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| xG difference | 0.12 | 0.48 | 0.69 | 0.23 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.04 | -0.16 | -0.04 | 0.09 |
| xPts / match | 1.47 | 1.68 | 1.73 | 1.46 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.13 | -0.27 | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 39% | 35% | 59% | 53% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.38 | 3.00 | 2.75 | 2.78 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.61 | 0.44 | 1.08 | 0.29 |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 44% | 43% | 29% |
| Leads held | 80% | 100% | 92% | 89% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | 24% | 35% | 29% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 43% | 43% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | 33% | 21% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 41 | 42 | 40 | 42 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 35 | 37 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | 72% | 61% | 58% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 54% | 43% | 46% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.48 | 0.59 | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.24 | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 42% | 43% | 51% | 50% |
| Shots | 12.8 | 14.7 | 16.4 | 14.6 |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.8 | 5.6 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 68% | 70% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 3.3 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 5.6 |
| xG from set plays | 38% | 38% | 23% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 15% | 8% | 17% | 10% |
| Pressure index | 8.6 | 9.5 | 16.7 | 14.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.2 | 40.8 | 54.6 | 48.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 82% | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | 14.4 | 13.9 | 12.7 | 12.7 |
| Cards | 2.58 | 2.18 | 2.18 | 2.71 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Toulouse
0–15'95
16–30'49
31–45'78
46–60'58
61–75'66
76–90'1610
Lens
0–15'67
16–30'77
31–45'136
46–60'163
61–75'97
76–90'155
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Toulouse · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when level +0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)+0.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.182
Game state
When level+0.354
When behind+0.033
10 min after conceding-0.264
10 min after scoring+0.392
Situations
At home+0.422
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.204
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.422
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.063
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.044
Conceded late (76+)+0.104
Ahead vs level -0.73 · Behind vs level -0.32
Lens · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: when ahead -0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.195
Late push (76+, level)+0.023
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.043
Game state
When ahead-0.483
When level+0.055
When behind+0.274
10 min after conceding-0.155
10 min after scoring-0.234
Situations
Against ten men+0.012
At home-0.112
Away+0.083
4+ days rest-0.044
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.073
v bottom-tier opponents-0.102
As favourite-0.054
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.115
Conceded when ahead+0.513
Conceded late (76+)-0.365
Congested vs rested +0.22 · Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level +0.22
Toulouse
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 23 70% | 1.0 | 1.04 | 1.39 | 1.25 | 1.2 |
| 3-4-3 | 9 27% | 2.33 | 2.22 | 0.89 | 1.61 | 1.24 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 2.36 | 2.75 |
Lens
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 34 100% | 2.06 | 1.94 | 1.03 | 1.98 | 1.29 |
| Metric | Toulouse all · 10 | Toulouse at home · 10 | Lens all · 10 | Lens away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 1.20 | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 5 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 4 / 3 / 3 | 3 / 4 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.30 | 1.10 | 2.00 | 2.10 |
| Goals against / match | 2.10 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 50% | 20% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 40% | 60% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 40% | 60% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.35 | 1.73 | 2.02 | 1.94 |
| xG against / match | 1.60 | 1.19 | 1.51 | 1.55 |
| xG difference | -0.25 | 0.54 | 0.51 | 0.40 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.05 | -0.63 | -0.02 | 0.16 |
| xPts / match | 1.31 | 1.70 | 1.58 | 1.53 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.41 | -0.49 | -0.08 | -0.23 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 30% | 50% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.33 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.71 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 33% | 50% | 57% |
| Leads held | 50% | 100% | 67% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 20% | 18% | 21% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 47% | 53% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 33% | 34% | 25% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | 29 | 49 | 48 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 43 | 46 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | 73% | 70% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 62% | 60% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 47% | 53% | 52% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 16.3 | 18.2 | 18.1 |
| On target | 3.9 | 5.4 | 6.6 | 5.4 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 7% | 11% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 61% | 63% | 65% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| Corners | 3.8 | 5.5 | 7.2 | 7.2 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 30% | 23% | 21% |
| Goals from headers | 38% | 9% | 21% | 14% |
| Pressure index | 10.7 | 13.5 | 15.9 | 15.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.8 | 50.1 | 57.1 | 52.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 84% | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | 16.0 | 14.2 | 11.0 | 10.2 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 2.40 | 2.60 | 2.50 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Toulouse
0–15'41
16–30'15
31–45'13
46–60'12
61–75'35
76–90'35
Lens
0–15'11
16–30'12
31–45'43
46–60'63
61–75'32
76–90'54
Toulouse
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 1.17 | 1.5 | 2.33 | 1.05 | 1.65 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.52 |
Lens
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 100% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.02 | 1.51 |
| Metric | Toulouse all · 33 | Toulouse at home · 17 | Lens all · 35 | Lens away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 33 | 17 | 35 | 18 |
| Points per game | 1.21 | 1.24 | 2.03 | 1.61 |
| W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 13 | 5 / 6 / 6 | 22 / 5 / 8 | 8 / 5 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.33 | 1.18 | 2.06 | 1.94 |
| Goals against / match | 1.36 | 1.24 | 1.11 | 1.39 |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 29% | 34% | 22% |
| Failed to score | 36% | 47% | 14% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 35% | 54% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 47% | 69% | 78% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.44 | 1.71 | 1.97 | 1.80 |
| xG against / match | 1.23 | 1.05 | 1.35 | 1.59 |
| xG difference | 0.21 | 0.66 | 0.62 | 0.22 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.11 | -0.54 | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.53 | 1.78 | 1.71 | 1.46 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.31 | -0.54 | 0.32 | 0.15 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 33% | 29% | 60% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.36 | 3.00 | 2.62 | 2.44 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.60 | 0.40 | 1.15 | 0.75 |
| Came back from behind | 41% | 40% | 47% | 44% |
| Leads held | 77% | 100% | 88% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 23% | 21% | 34% | 23% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 49% | 48% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 30% | 18% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 41 | 40 | 46 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 43 | 40 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | 70% | 62% | 63% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 67% | 54% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.39 | 0.47 | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| Late goals against | 0.27 | 0.24 | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 45% | 52% | 52% |
| Shots | 13.5 | 15.9 | 16.6 | 16.2 |
| On target | 4.4 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 7% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 68% | 69% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 3.6 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 5.3 | 6.2 | 6.5 |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 36% | 23% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 10% | 21% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 10.2 | 11.7 | 16.8 | 15.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.3 | 46.0 | 55.8 | 52.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 83% | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | 15.1 | 14.5 | 12.6 | 12.3 |
| Cards | 2.45 | 2.24 | 2.31 | 2.72 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Toulouse
0–15'102
16–30'410
31–45'69
46–60'47
61–75'78
76–90'139
Lens
0–15'66
16–30'76
31–45'146
46–60'185
61–75'119
76–90'167
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Toulouse · 33 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: with ten men -0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0933
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0433
Late push (76+, level)-0.2416
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0617
Game state
When ahead-0.2612
When level-0.0533
When behind-0.0222
10 min after conceding-0.2826
10 min after scoring+0.1020
Situations
With ten men-0.354
Against ten men-0.203
At home-0.0217
Away-0.1516
4+ days rest-0.0933
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1412
v mid-tier opponents-0.0411
v bottom-tier opponents+0.007
As favourite-0.0613
Evenly matched-0.0810
As underdog-0.1210
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1133
Conceded when ahead+0.4312
Conceded late (76+)+0.0630
Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level +0.03
Lens · 35 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.32) · stands out: against ten men +0.59
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3235
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4535
Late push (76+, level)+0.1412
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.349
Game state
When ahead+0.2025
When level+0.3035
When behind+0.5415
10 min after conceding+0.1822
10 min after scoring+0.5430
Situations
With ten men+0.095
Against ten men+0.597
At home+0.2817
Away+0.3518
4+ days rest+0.3234
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.058
v mid-tier opponents+0.3914
v bottom-tier opponents+0.339
As favourite+0.4024
Evenly matched+0.087
As underdog+0.214
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1335
Conceded when ahead-0.1625
Conceded late (76+)-0.2928
Congested vs rested -0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level +0.24
Toulouse
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 23 70% | 1.0 | 1.04 | 1.39 | 1.25 | 1.2 |
| 3-4-3 | 6 18% | 2.5 | 2.67 | 1.0 | 1.93 | 1.12 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 12% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.52 |
Lens
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 35 100% | 2.03 | 2.06 | 1.11 | 1.97 | 1.35 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.55Home 37% P 37%3.2Draw 30% P 30%2.87Away 33% P 33%
Double Chance
1.4Toulouse or Draw 34% P 33%1.36Toulouse or Lens 35% P 35%1.5Draw or Lens 32% P 32%
Draw No Bet
1.721 54%2.02 46%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52% P 52%1.95No 48% P 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%
Total Corners
8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%
Number of Cards
4.51.83Over 50% P 48%1.83Under 50% P 52%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 32.5–35% · 702 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 37% | 36% | 35% | -1.6 |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 32% | +2.1 |
| Away | 33% | 34% | 33% | -0.6 |
In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 46%
Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52% | 51% | 51% | -0.6 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 44% | 43% | -1.2 |
Mathieu Vernice
- Career
- 66 matches · 5 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.64 (4.29 yellow · 0.23 red)
- Fouls / match
- 26.9 · 5.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.39
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 61 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.52 | 4.06 | +0.87 | 88 |
| Fouls / match | 26.9 | 24.3 | +1.44 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.0 | 6.0 | +0.02 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.46 | 0.36 | +0.92 | 88 |
| Time added | 7.3 | 6.7 | +0.52 | 80 |
- First card
- 29' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 45% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.33
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | 6 | 1 | 33 | 0 | 37' | 7 |
| 2025-11-22 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 32' | 5 |
| 2025-09-28 | 8 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 43' | 14 |
| 2025-09-20 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 6' | 8 |
| 2025-08-17 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 31' | 9 |
| 2025-07-24 | 9 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 11' | 8 |
| 2025-05-10 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 39' | 3 |
| 2025-04-27 · Lens | 8 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 43' | 9 |
| 2025-04-19 | – | – | 17 | – | – | 6 |
| 2025-03-30 · Lens | 4 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 22' | 6 |