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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 18

Momentum

MonacoLorient
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
18

Venue

Stadium
Stade Louis II., Monaco
Capacity
18,523
Surface
grass
Attendance
4,810

Teams

Coaches
Sebastien Pocognoli · Olivier Pantaloni
Position
9 · 12
Formation
4-2-2-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Willy Delajod

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
12.7° (feels 11.5°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
58%

Where to watch · 200

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Monaco

WLWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 9.48–6.9 · xPts 7.26

  • L H Olympique Lyonnais 1–3 xG 0.54–1.43 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Marseille 0–1 xG 1.81–1.81 FRA L1
  • W H Galatasaray 1–0 xG 5.52–1.74 UEFA CL
  • L A Brest 0–1 xG 0.82–0.77 FRA L1
  • W H Paris Saint Germain 1–0 xG 0.79–1.15 FRA L1

Lorient

DWWDD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 6.79–3.86 · xPts 8.46

  • D H Metz 1–1 xG 1.27–0.48 FRA L1
  • D A Strasbourg 0–0 xG 0.5–0.81 FRA L1
  • W H Olympique Lyonnais 1–0 xG 1.8–0.67 FRA L1
  • W H Nice 3–1 xG 2.74–0.9 FRA L1
  • D A Nantes 1–1 xG 0.49–1.01 FRA L1

All meetings · 28 matches since 2006

Monaco 1110 draws7 Lorient

Goals 49–35 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 64%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Monaco 25 draws3 Lorient

Goals 18–18 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Monaco 12 draws2 Lorient

Goals 9–11 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Monaco 1–3 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 3–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Monaco 2–2 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 2–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 3–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 2–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Monaco 0–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 1–0 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Monaco 2–2 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 2–5 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricMonaco all · 34Monaco at home · 17Lorient all · 34Lorient away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.591.881.320.88
W / D / L16 / 6 / 1210 / 2 / 511 / 12 / 113 / 6 / 8
Goals for / match1.761.941.411.00
Goals against / match1.591.351.501.53
Clean sheets21%29%21%18%
Failed to score21%12%29%53%
Both teams scored65%59%53%35%
Over 2.565%65%44%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.631.761.351.08
xG against / match1.431.211.381.57
xG difference0.200.55-0.03-0.49
Finishing vs xG0.140.180.07-0.08
xPts / match1.491.681.341.07
Points vs xPts0.100.20-0.01-0.18
Game state
Scored first44%53%47%29%
PPG when scoring first2.533.002.192.20
PPG when conceding first0.820.630.530.27
Came back from behind33%38%42%27%
Leads held84%100%65%60%
Minutes leading28%34%26%16%
Minutes level51%49%49%48%
Minutes trailing21%17%25%36%
First goal (min)43393738
First goal conceded (min)47484542
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%64%58%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%56%67%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.410.380.53
Late goals against0.410.290.470.41
Style
Possession54%55%45%45%
Shots12.512.111.310.7
On target4.44.53.93.5
Shot conversion14%16%12%9%
Shots inside box73%74%63%61%
Big chances created3.03.12.01.5
Corners5.14.93.53.8
xG from set plays25%26%33%30%
Goals from headers12%12%6%0%
Pressure index12.313.210.19.6
Dominant minutes50.052.642.842.1
Pass accuracy83%84%84%84%
Fouls13.012.89.59.5
Cards2.442.061.681.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Monaco

0–15'55
16–30'76
31–45'1010
46–60'127
61–75'1412
76–90'1214

Lorient

0–15'46
16–30'76
31–45'95
46–60'811
61–75'77
76–90'1316

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Monaco · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.006
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306

Game state

When ahead-0.165
When level+0.216
When behind+0.122
10 min after conceding-0.413
10 min after scoring+0.236

Situations

At home-0.072
Away+0.024
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest+0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
As favourite+0.013
Evenly matched+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.235
Conceded late (76+)+0.025

Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.10

Lorient · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.96

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)+0.374
Late push (76+, level)-0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.322
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.963

Situations

At home-0.072
Away-0.182
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
Evenly matched-0.232

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Ahead vs level -0.18 · Behind vs level +0.28

Monaco

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 41%1.571.641.291.471.31
4-2-3-17 21%1.861.711.141.731.2
3-1-4-23 9%2.03.03.02.472.15
4-2-2-22 6%0.50.51.50.920.66
3-4-1-22 6%3.02.51.02.081.55

Lorient

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%1.291.391.681.371.46
3-4-34 12%1.751.750.51.680.99
5-4-12 6%1.01.01.00.410.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.61Home 59% P 59%4.2Draw 22% P 22%5.0Away 19% P 19%

Double Chance

1.18Monaco or Draw 40% P 41%1.22Monaco or Lorient 39% P 39%2.2Draw or Lorient 21% P 21%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 58%2.25No 41% P 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 59%2.37Under 40% P 41%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 17.5–20% · 511 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home59%59%60%+1.3
Draw22%23%24%+1.3
Away19%18%16%-2.6

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes58%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Willy Delajod

Career
170 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.05 (3.76 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.43
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.984.06-0.2336
Fouls / match24.824.3+0.33
Fouls per card6.36.0+0.38 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.36+0.4868
Time added6.96.7+0.2352
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-14 20 300 10'5
2025-12-11 11 180 14'4
2025-11-30 41 280 45'10
2025-11-08 10 221 37'7
2025-10-29 · Lorient 20 180 68'8
2025-10-23 30 150 8'9
2025-10-05 · Monaco 41 193 24'16
2025-10-02 50 291 1'9
2025-09-28 20 261 41'9
2025-09-14 41 241 40'8