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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 18
NantesNantes
1–2
FT
ParisParis

Momentum

– NantesParis –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
18

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, Nantes
Capacity
37,473
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,768

Teams

Coaches
Ahmed Kantari · Stéphane Gilli
Position
16 · 15
Formation
3-4-3 · 5-4-1

Referee

Benoît Millot

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
10.6° (feels 10.2°)
Wind
0.5
Humidity
97%

Where to watch · 192

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nantes

DLLLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 6.69–9.5 · xPts 5.74

  • W A Olympique Marseille 2–0 xG 2.76–0.68 FRA L1
  • L A Angers SCO 1–4 xG 0.38–2.68 FRA L1
  • L H Lens 1–2 xG 1.67–2.8 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 0–3 xG 0.87–2.85 FRA L1
  • D H Lorient 1–1 xG 1.01–0.49 FRA L1

Paris

LDDLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 5.66–10.89 · xPts 4.24

  • L A Paris Saint Germain 1–2 xG 1.01–1.74 FRA L1
  • L H Toulouse 0–3 xG 0.87–2.14 FRA L1
  • D A Le Havre 0–0 xG 1.24–1.86 FRA L1
  • D H Auxerre 1–1 xG 1.62–1.42 FRA L1
  • L A LOSC Lille 2–4 xG 0.93–3.73 FRA L1

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Nantes 10 draws1 Paris

Goals 3–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Nantes 10 draws1 Paris

Goals 3–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Nantes 10 draws1 Paris

Goals 3–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Nantes 1–2 Paris FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris 1–2 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNantes all · 33Nantes at home · 16Paris all · 34Paris away · 17
Results
Matches33163417
Points per game0.700.751.291.12
W / D / L5 / 8 / 203 / 3 / 1011 / 11 / 124 / 7 / 6
Goals for / match0.881.131.381.12
Goals against / match1.581.691.471.35
Clean sheets21%19%24%24%
Failed to score42%31%26%24%
Both teams scored46%50%62%71%
Over 2.546%44%56%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.101.221.321.12
xG against / match1.491.401.621.64
xG difference-0.38-0.19-0.30-0.52
Finishing vs xG-0.22-0.090.060.00
xPts / match1.131.271.251.11
Points vs xPts-0.44-0.520.040.01
Game state
Scored first27%31%41%47%
PPG when scoring first2.002.002.141.75
PPG when conceding first0.100.180.630.33
Came back from behind9%17%33%25%
Leads held56%60%69%50%
Minutes leading19%25%23%21%
Minutes level50%40%49%58%
Minutes trailing30%36%28%20%
First goal (min)37354141
First goal conceded (min)43394047
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%50%55%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%58%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.190.410.24
Late goals against0.580.630.380.41
Style
Possession42%44%50%49%
Shots11.312.111.79.9
On target3.33.54.03.4
Shot conversion8%9%12%11%
Shots inside box65%63%67%64%
Big chances created1.82.12.41.9
Corners3.74.04.43.2
xG from set plays36%34%26%21%
Goals from headers14%11%4%0%
Pressure index8.28.310.58.3
Dominant minutes36.237.346.037.5
Pass accuracy78%78%84%84%
Fouls12.712.510.610.4
Cards2.122.062.351.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nantes

0–15'66
16–30'18
31–45'98
46–60'57
61–75'34
76–90'519

Paris

0–15'73
16–30'99
31–45'59
46–60'510
61–75'76
76–90'1413

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nantes

No pressure profile yet.

Paris · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)-0.364
Late push (76+, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.062
When level-0.154
10 min after scoring-0.242

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.042
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.082
v bottom-tier opponents-0.162
As favourite-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.222
Conceded late (76+)-0.194

Ahead vs level +0.09

Nantes

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-110 30%0.50.51.10.91.38
4-3-310 30%0.91.22.11.081.94
5-3-23 9%0.00.01.670.771.19
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.672.01.071.2
4-2-3-12 6%1.52.01.02.41.5

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 29%1.51.92.01.421.79
5-4-18 24%1.00.750.881.041.42
4-2-3-17 21%1.431.571.01.341.09
4-1-4-13 9%2.02.671.671.962.36
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.430.83

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.62Home 36% P 36%3.1Draw 30% P 31%2.8Away 34% P 34%

Double Chance

1.4Nantes or Draw 33% P 33%1.36Nantes or Paris FC 34% P 35%1.44Draw or Paris FC 32% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 53%1.95No 48% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 32.5–35% · 702 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%36%35%-1.6
Draw31%30%32%+2.1
Away34%34%33%-0.6

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Benoît Millot

Career
284 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.14 (3.93 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.28
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 83 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.994.06-0.2140
Fouls / match25.824.3+0.86
Fouls per card6.56.0+0.71 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.36-0.5924
Time added7.06.7+0.3060
First card
35' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-13 50 380 29'8
2025-11-23 · Paris 30 212 29'8
2025-10-29 40 230 43'7
2025-10-26 50 300 22'15
2025-10-03 · Paris 30 290 45'6
2025-09-14 10 172 45'12
2025-08-24 10 240 63'14
2025-05-03 50 220 14'7
2025-04-20 –– 22– 45'9
2025-04-13 20 250 37'2