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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 18

Momentum

PSGLOSC Lille
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
18

Venue

Stadium
Parc des Princes, Paris
Capacity
48,583
Surface
grass
Attendance
46,909

Teams

Coaches
Luis Enrique · Bruno Génésio
Position
2 · 4
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Jérôme Brisard

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
9.0° (feels 7.3°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
96%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Paris Saint Germain

LWDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 4 · xG 8.45–3.42 · xPts 10.17

  • W H Paris 2–1 xG 1.74–1.01 FRA L1
  • W A Metz 3–2 xG 1.55–0.69 FRA L1
  • D A Athletic Club 0–0 xG 1.52–0.73 UEFA CL
  • W H Rennes 5–0 xG 2.48–0.2 FRA L1
  • L A Monaco 0–1 xG 1.15–0.79 FRA L1

LOSC Lille

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 4.29–8.04 · xPts 4.58

  • L H Rennes 0–2 xG 1.13–1.86 FRA L1
  • W A Auxerre 4–3 xG 0.8–2.73 FRA L1
  • L A Young Boys 0–1 xG 0.78–1.9 UEFA EL
  • W H Olympique Marseille 1–0 xG 0.46–0.6 FRA L1
  • W A Le Havre 1–0 xG 1.13–0.95 FRA L1

All meetings · 43 matches since 2005

Paris Saint Germain 2414 draws5 LOSC Lille

Goals 79–38 · 2.72 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Paris Saint Germain 73 draws0 LOSC Lille

Goals 33–12 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 90% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Paris Saint Germain 32 draws0 LOSC Lille

Goals 13–5 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D LOSC Lille 2–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 3–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 1–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 4–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 1–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 3–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 1–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 4–3 LOSC Lille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 1–7 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 1–5 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricParis Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain at home · 17LOSC Lille all · 34LOSC Lille away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.242.411.791.88
W / D / L24 / 4 / 613 / 2 / 218 / 7 / 910 / 2 / 5
Goals for / match2.182.411.531.65
Goals against / match0.850.711.091.18
Clean sheets53%65%38%41%
Failed to score6%0%29%35%
Both teams scored41%35%38%29%
Over 2.562%71%38%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.992.251.581.46
xG against / match0.980.801.041.20
xG difference1.011.450.540.26
Finishing vs xG0.180.16-0.050.19
xPts / match1.992.241.711.52
Points vs xPts0.250.180.090.36
Game state
Scored first85%88%53%59%
PPG when scoring first2.622.732.672.80
PPG when conceding first0.000.000.790.50
Came back from behind14%33%40%29%
Leads held83%87%86%91%
Minutes leading44%50%26%34%
Minutes level45%38%52%45%
Minutes trailing11%12%22%21%
First goal (min)38364834
First goal conceded (min)38254440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%58%71%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%42%62%60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.530.590.680.71
Late goals against0.240.060.210.18
Style
Possession69%69%56%55%
Shots17.720.213.612.4
On target6.77.04.64.5
Shot conversion12%12%11%13%
Shots inside box63%61%70%66%
Big chances created3.73.52.82.4
Corners6.47.55.75.1
xG from set plays29%31%30%30%
Goals from headers15%12%10%11%
Pressure index27.430.315.214.5
Dominant minutes73.077.261.459.8
Pass accuracy91%91%85%85%
Fouls9.19.510.710.9
Cards1.181.242.412.76

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

LOSC Lille

0–15'53
16–30'54
31–45'57
46–60'99
61–75'57
76–90'237

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: when behind +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.325
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

LOSC Lille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

LOSC Lille

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%1.931.550.91.580.98
4-3-32 6%0.50.52.00.861.28
4-4-21 3%3.04.02.03.730.93
4-3-1-21 3%1.01.01.00.640.59
5-4-11 3%0.01.04.01.963.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.27Home 74% P 75%6.25Draw 15% P 16%9.0Away 10% P 9%

Double Chance

1.07PSG or Draw 45% P 45%1.12PSG or Lille 43% P 42%3.75Draw or Lille 13% P 13%

Draw No Bet

1.081 88%8.02 12%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 53%2.1No 44% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.33Over 72% P 67%3.4Under 28% P 33%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 45%1.9Under 49% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 7.5–10% · 458 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home75%74%74%+0.5
Draw16%17%18%+0.9
Away9%9%8%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 60%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.567%66%69%+3.2

Jérôme Brisard

Career
207 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.0 (3.73 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 89 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.914.06-0.3628
Fouls / match23.424.3-0.38
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.12 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.360.36-0.0444
Time added7.46.7+0.5988
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-03 51 260 7'13
2025-12-05 · LOSC Lille 20 200 26'9
2025-11-27 21 240 27'6
2025-11-22 52 260 3'7
2025-11-02 · LOSC Lille 10 200 88'7
2025-10-29 100 300 16'12
2025-10-18 30 211 26'10
2025-09-24 50 150 40'5
2025-09-22 · Paris Saint Germain 40 230 18'8
2025-08-31 50 290 1'10