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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 18
StrasbourgStrasbourg
2–1
FT
MetzMetz

Momentum

– StrasbourgMetz –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
18

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Capacity
29,200
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,612

Teams

Coaches
Gary O'Neil · Stéphane Le Mignan
Position
8 · 18
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Jérémie Pignard

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
2.0° (feels 2.0°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
87%

Where to watch · 196

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Strasbourg

LWDWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 3 · xG 7.37–4.74 · xPts 7.87

  • D A Nice 1–1 xG 1.22–1.93 FRA L1
  • W H Breidablik 3–1 xG 3.43–0.79 UEFA ECL
  • D H Lorient 0–0 xG 0.81–0.5 FRA L1
  • W A Aberdeen 1–0 xG 1.8–1.0 UEFA ECL
  • L A Toulouse 0–1 xG 0.11–0.53 FRA L1

Metz

LLLLD 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 11 · xG 3.81–8.98 · xPts 3.73

  • D A Lorient 1–1 xG 0.48–1.27 FRA L1
  • L H Paris Saint Germain 2–3 xG 0.69–1.55 FRA L1
  • L A Auxerre 1–3 xG 0.6–1.94 FRA L1
  • L H Rennes 0–1 xG 1.09–1.06 FRA L1
  • L A Brest 2–3 xG 0.96–3.15 FRA L1

All meetings · 16 matches since 2005

Strasbourg 94 draws3 Metz

Goals 24–17 · 2.56 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Strasbourg 72 draws1 Metz

Goals 16–7 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Strasbourg 50 draws0 Metz

Goals 8–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Strasbourg 2–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Metz 0–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 2–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Metz 0–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Metz 0–2 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 3–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Metz 1–2 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Strasbourg 2–2 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 1–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Strasbourg 1–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricStrasbourg all · 34Strasbourg at home · 17Metz all · 34Metz away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.561.760.500.41
W / D / L15 / 8 / 119 / 3 / 53 / 8 / 231 / 4 / 12
Goals for / match1.711.760.941.00
Goals against / match1.381.122.242.59
Clean sheets26%41%21%18%
Failed to score18%18%44%41%
Both teams scored65%53%50%53%
Over 2.565%65%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.461.501.000.84
xG against / match1.331.051.772.13
xG difference0.130.45-0.77-1.29
Finishing vs xG0.240.26-0.060.16
xPts / match1.441.630.930.65
Points vs xPts0.120.13-0.43-0.24
Game state
Scored first56%71%21%24%
PPG when scoring first2.052.081.141.00
PPG when conceding first0.921.000.180.09
Came back from behind31%17%8%8%
Leads held65%69%38%25%
Minutes leading26%31%6%6%
Minutes level52%59%52%45%
Minutes trailing22%10%42%50%
First goal (min)41384237
First goal conceded (min)39463124
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%57%56%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%63%55%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.240.320.29
Late goals against0.350.350.710.71
Style
Possession54%52%49%48%
Shots11.512.110.18.4
On target4.65.13.22.5
Shot conversion15%15%9%12%
Shots inside box69%70%62%64%
Big chances created3.03.31.41.0
Corners4.24.94.23.5
xG from set plays23%21%33%37%
Goals from headers16%10%16%19%
Pressure index14.216.38.77.3
Dominant minutes54.756.640.333.9
Pass accuracy88%88%85%85%
Fouls11.19.611.411.2
Cards1.941.471.762.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Strasbourg

0–15'47
16–30'106
31–45'115
46–60'914
61–75'103
76–90'1412

Metz

0–15'412
16–30'49
31–45'613
46–60'59
61–75'29
76–90'1124

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Strasbourg · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Game state

When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023

Situations

At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02

Metz

No pressure profile yet.

Strasbourg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.591.761.471.61.46
3-4-2-110 29%1.11.61.41.551.24
4-4-1-12 6%1.52.02.01.021.73
5-3-21 3%3.01.00.00.740.21
4-4-21 3%3.03.02.01.961.72

Metz

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 56%0.581.112.051.041.7
3-4-2-15 15%0.20.42.60.771.98
4-3-34 12%0.250.753.01.022.05
4-1-4-13 9%1.00.671.331.421.38
5-3-22 6%0.00.02.00.321.82

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.4Home 68% P 67%4.75Draw 20% P 20%8.0Away 12% P 13%

Double Chance

1.08Strasbourg or Draw 43% P 43%1.18Strasbourg or Metz 40% P 40%2.75Draw or Metz 17% P 16%

Draw No Bet

1.121 84%6.02 16%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 50%1.9No 50% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58% P 56%2.2Under 42% P 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home67%66%69%+3.3
Draw20%20%20%-0.7
Away13%14%11%-2.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Jérémie Pignard

Career
139 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.65 (4.34 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
22.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 89 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.734.06+1.3192
Fouls / match23.224.3-0.51
Fouls per card4.96.0-1.54 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.510.36+1.3796
Time added6.16.7-0.3524
First card
31' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.24

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-14 74 311 17'9
2025-12-11 50 170 7'6
2025-11-21 40 190 14'6
2025-11-02 40 181 26'4
2025-10-25 20 201 8'12
2025-10-05 30 221 34'5
2025-10-02 70 170 20'6
2025-09-26 · Strasbourg 60 280 24'7
2025-09-14 30 180 5'9
2025-08-28 30 170 15'6