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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 19
LOSC LilleLOSC Lille
1–4
FT
StrasbourgStrasbourg

Momentum

– LOSC LilleStrasbourg –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
19

Venue

Stadium
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Capacity
50,186
Surface
grass
Attendance
38,551

Teams

Coaches
Dimitri Farbos · Gary O'Neil
Position
5 · 8
Formation
5-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Willy Delajod

Weather

Conditions
mist
Temperature
2.1° (feels -0.0°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
97%

Where to watch · 289

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

LOSC Lille

LWLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 11 · xG 5.32–8.24 · xPts 5.26

  • L A Celta de Vigo 1–2 xG 1.76–0.63 UEFA EL
  • L A Paris Saint Germain 0–3 xG 0.86–1.13 FRA L1
  • L H Rennes 0–2 xG 1.13–1.86 FRA L1
  • W A Auxerre 4–3 xG 0.8–2.73 FRA L1
  • L A Young Boys 0–1 xG 0.78–1.9 UEFA EL

Strasbourg

WDWDW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 3 · xG 8.13–5.32 · xPts 8.28

  • W H Metz 2–1 xG 0.87–1.11 FRA L1
  • D A Nice 1–1 xG 1.22–1.93 FRA L1
  • W H Breidablik 3–1 xG 3.43–0.79 UEFA ECL
  • D H Lorient 0–0 xG 0.81–0.5 FRA L1
  • W A Aberdeen 1–0 xG 1.8–1.0 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 22 matches since 2005

LOSC Lille 115 draws6 Strasbourg

Goals 31–26 · 2.59 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

LOSC Lille 51 draws4 Strasbourg

Goals 15–14 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

LOSC Lille 11 draws3 Strasbourg

Goals 6–11 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L LOSC Lille 1–4 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 2–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 2–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 3–3 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 1–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 2–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 2–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 0–3 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 1–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 1–2 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLOSC Lille all · 34LOSC Lille at home · 17Strasbourg all · 34Strasbourg away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.791.711.561.35
W / D / L18 / 7 / 98 / 5 / 415 / 8 / 116 / 5 / 6
Goals for / match1.531.411.711.65
Goals against / match1.091.001.381.65
Clean sheets38%35%26%12%
Failed to score29%24%18%18%
Both teams scored38%47%65%76%
Over 2.538%29%65%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.581.711.461.42
xG against / match1.040.891.331.61
xG difference0.540.830.13-0.19
Finishing vs xG-0.05-0.300.240.23
xPts / match1.711.891.441.25
Points vs xPts0.09-0.180.120.10
Game state
Scored first53%47%56%41%
PPG when scoring first2.672.502.052.00
PPG when conceding first0.791.000.920.89
Came back from behind40%50%31%40%
Leads held86%80%65%60%
Minutes leading26%18%26%21%
Minutes level52%59%52%46%
Minutes trailing22%22%22%34%
First goal (min)48604144
First goal conceded (min)44473935
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half71%71%57%57%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%65%62%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.680.650.410.59
Late goals against0.210.240.350.35
Style
Possession56%57%54%56%
Shots13.614.811.510.9
On target4.64.84.64.2
Shot conversion11%10%15%15%
Shots inside box70%73%69%69%
Big chances created2.83.13.02.8
Corners5.76.44.23.5
xG from set plays30%30%23%26%
Goals from headers10%8%16%21%
Pressure index15.215.814.212.2
Dominant minutes61.463.054.752.8
Pass accuracy85%85%88%88%
Fouls10.710.511.112.6
Cards2.412.061.942.41

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

LOSC Lille

0–15'53
16–30'54
31–45'57
46–60'99
61–75'57
76–90'237

Strasbourg

0–15'47
16–30'106
31–45'115
46–60'914
61–75'103
76–90'1412

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

LOSC Lille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26

Strasbourg · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Game state

When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023

Situations

At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02

LOSC Lille

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%1.931.550.91.580.98
4-3-32 6%0.50.52.00.861.28
4-4-21 3%3.04.02.03.730.93
4-3-1-21 3%1.01.01.00.640.59
5-4-11 3%0.01.04.01.963.0

Strasbourg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.591.761.471.61.46
3-4-2-110 29%1.11.61.41.551.24
4-4-1-12 6%1.52.02.01.021.73
3-4-1-21 3%3.02.00.00.410.26
3-5-21 3%0.01.02.00.621.57

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.5Home 38% P 38%3.2Draw 30% P 30%2.9Away 33% P 32%

Double Chance

1.4Lille or Draw 34% P 34%1.36Lille or Strasbourg 35% P 35%1.5Draw or Strasbourg 32% P 31%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 52%2.1No 44% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 46%1.9Under 50% P 54%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%
4.52.2Over 42% P 40%1.61Under 58% P 60%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%39%-0.2
Draw30%30%31%+1.5
Away32%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Willy Delajod

Career
170 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.05 (3.76 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.43
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.984.06-0.2336
Fouls / match24.824.3+0.33
Fouls per card6.36.0+0.38 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.36+0.4868
Time added6.96.7+0.2352
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-16 10 250 70'6
2025-12-14 20 300 10'5
2025-12-11 11 180 14'4
2025-11-30 · LOSC Lille 41 280 45'10
2025-11-08 10 221 37'7
2025-10-29 20 180 68'8
2025-10-23 30 150 8'9
2025-10-05 41 193 24'16
2025-10-02 50 291 1'9
2025-09-28 20 261 41'9