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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 19
NantesNantes
1–4
FT
NiceNice

Momentum

– NantesNice –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
19

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, Nantes
Capacity
37,473
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,112

Teams

Coaches
Ahmed Kantari · Claude Puel
Position
16 · 15
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Hakim Ben El Hadj

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
8.4° (feels 6.5°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
87%

Where to watch · 193

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nantes

LLLWL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 11 · xG 6.03–9.59 · xPts 5.0

  • L H Paris 1–2 xG 0.36–0.58 FRA L1
  • W A Olympique Marseille 2–0 xG 2.76–0.68 FRA L1
  • L A Angers SCO 1–4 xG 0.38–2.68 FRA L1
  • L H Lens 1–2 xG 1.67–2.8 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 0–3 xG 0.87–2.85 FRA L1

Nice

LLDLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 8.75–7.88 · xPts 7.4

  • W H Go Ahead Eagles 3–1 xG 2.56–2.19 UEFA EL
  • L A Toulouse 1–5 xG 2.21–2.32 FRA L1
  • D H Strasbourg 1–1 xG 1.93–1.22 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 0–2 xG 0.68–1.28 FRA L1
  • L H Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 1.37–0.87 UEFA EL

All meetings · 31 matches since 2005

Nantes 1011 draws10 Nice

Goals 33–36 · 2.23 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 42%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Nantes 33 draws4 Nice

Goals 11–15 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Nantes 21 draws2 Nice

Goals 6–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Nantes 1–4 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 1–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 1–2 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 1–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 1–2 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 1–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 2–2 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 1–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 2–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 0–2 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNantes all · 33Nantes at home · 16Nice all · 34Nice away · 17
Results
Matches33163417
Points per game0.700.750.940.71
W / D / L5 / 8 / 203 / 3 / 107 / 11 / 163 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match0.881.131.091.06
Goals against / match1.581.691.761.94
Clean sheets21%19%18%12%
Failed to score42%31%32%29%
Both teams scored46%50%59%65%
Over 2.546%44%50%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.101.221.241.11
xG against / match1.491.401.711.78
xG difference-0.38-0.19-0.47-0.67
Finishing vs xG-0.22-0.09-0.15-0.05
xPts / match1.131.271.120.99
Points vs xPts-0.44-0.52-0.18-0.28
Game state
Scored first27%31%38%41%
PPG when scoring first2.002.001.851.43
PPG when conceding first0.100.180.280.11
Came back from behind9%17%24%8%
Leads held56%60%54%43%
Minutes leading19%25%20%15%
Minutes level50%40%48%47%
Minutes trailing30%36%32%38%
First goal (min)37354242
First goal conceded (min)43393838
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%50%49%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%52%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.190.210.24
Late goals against0.580.630.350.29
Style
Possession42%44%46%47%
Shots11.312.111.29.5
On target3.33.53.93.5
Shot conversion8%9%10%11%
Shots inside box65%63%65%66%
Big chances created1.82.12.72.1
Corners3.74.05.14.6
xG from set plays36%34%27%28%
Goals from headers14%11%11%6%
Pressure index8.28.39.08.4
Dominant minutes36.237.340.939.2
Pass accuracy78%78%82%82%
Fouls12.712.512.412.5
Cards2.122.062.122.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nantes

0–15'66
16–30'18
31–45'98
46–60'57
61–75'34
76–90'519

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nantes

No pressure profile yet.

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.082

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.413
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.262
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Nantes

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 30%0.91.22.11.081.94
4-1-4-110 30%0.50.51.10.91.38
5-3-23 9%0.00.01.670.771.19
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.672.01.071.2
4-2-3-12 6%1.52.01.02.41.5

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-4-33 9%1.332.03.01.23.1

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 35%3.3Draw 29% P 28%2.62Away 36% P 36%

Double Chance

1.53Nantes or Draw 31% P 32%1.3Nantes or Nice 36% P 36%1.4Draw or Nice 33% P 32%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 58%2.1No 44% P 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 51%2.0Under 47% P 49%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%36%35%-0.6
Draw28%28%28%+0.2
Away36%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes58%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Hakim Ben El Hadj

Career
153 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
4.07 (3.86 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
25.9 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 70 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.064.06-0.0656
Fouls / match24.524.3+0.15
Fouls per card6.26.0+0.22 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.240.36-1.158
Time added6.96.7+0.2352
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-04 20 230 47'8
2025-12-07 · Nice 21 200 53'6
2025-11-22 11 161 19'7
2025-11-09 40 242 32'6
2025-10-26 40 330 2'8
2025-08-22 –– 12– –8
2025-05-17 · Nice 50 251 26'10
2025-05-03 30 270 83'12
2025-04-27 61 270 18'9
2025-04-04 · Nantes · Nice 20 230 28'6