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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 20
LorientLorient
2–1
FT
NantesNantes

Momentum

– LorientNantes –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir, Lorient
Capacity
18,110
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
14,237

Teams

Coaches
Olivier Pantaloni · Ahmed Kantari
Position
9 · 16
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Bastien Dechepy

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
9.3° (feels 6.8°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
95%

Where to watch · 193

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Lorient

WDDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 2 · xG 5.84–5.48 · xPts 7.18

  • W A Rennes 2–0 xG 1.2–2.32 FRA L1
  • W A Monaco 3–1 xG 1.07–1.21 FRA L1
  • D H Metz 1–1 xG 1.27–0.48 FRA L1
  • D A Strasbourg 0–0 xG 0.5–0.81 FRA L1
  • W H Olympique Lyonnais 1–0 xG 1.8–0.67 FRA L1

Nantes

LLWLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 12 · xG 6.87–7.95 · xPts 6.31

  • L H Nice 1–4 xG 1.7–1.21 FRA L1
  • L H Paris 1–2 xG 0.36–0.58 FRA L1
  • W A Olympique Marseille 2–0 xG 2.76–0.68 FRA L1
  • L A Angers SCO 1–4 xG 0.38–2.68 FRA L1
  • L H Lens 1–2 xG 1.67–2.8 FRA L1

All meetings · 22 matches since 2006

Lorient 65 draws11 Nantes

Goals 27–31 · 2.64 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lorient 22 draws6 Nantes

Goals 12–19 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lorient 11 draws3 Nantes

Goals 6–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Lorient 2–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 1–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 0–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 5–3 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 1–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 3–2 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 4–2 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 0–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 1–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 0–2 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLorient all · 34Lorient at home · 17Nantes all · 33Nantes away · 17
Results
Matches34173317
Points per game1.321.760.700.65
W / D / L11 / 12 / 118 / 6 / 35 / 8 / 202 / 5 / 10
Goals for / match1.411.820.880.65
Goals against / match1.501.471.581.47
Clean sheets21%24%21%24%
Failed to score29%6%42%53%
Both teams scored53%71%46%41%
Over 2.544%53%46%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.621.100.99
xG against / match1.381.181.491.56
xG difference-0.030.43-0.38-0.57
Finishing vs xG0.070.21-0.22-0.35
xPts / match1.341.611.131.00
Points vs xPts-0.010.16-0.44-0.36
Game state
Scored first47%65%27%24%
PPG when scoring first2.192.182.002.00
PPG when conceding first0.531.000.100.00
Came back from behind42%62%9%0%
Leads held65%67%56%50%
Minutes leading26%37%19%14%
Minutes level49%50%50%61%
Minutes trailing25%13%30%25%
First goal (min)37363740
First goal conceded (min)45484346
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%55%45%36%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%72%58%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.240.150.12
Late goals against0.470.530.580.53
Style
Possession45%46%42%40%
Shots11.311.911.310.6
On target3.94.43.33.1
Shot conversion12%15%8%6%
Shots inside box63%64%65%67%
Big chances created2.02.51.81.5
Corners3.53.23.73.4
xG from set plays33%34%36%38%
Goals from headers6%10%14%18%
Pressure index10.110.68.28.1
Dominant minutes42.843.636.235.1
Pass accuracy84%84%78%78%
Fouls9.59.512.712.9
Cards1.681.712.122.18

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lorient

0–15'46
16–30'76
31–45'95
46–60'811
61–75'77
76–90'1316

Nantes

0–15'66
16–30'18
31–45'98
46–60'57
61–75'34
76–90'519

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lorient · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.96

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)+0.374
Late push (76+, level)-0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.322
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.963

Situations

At home-0.072
Away-0.182
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
Evenly matched-0.232

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Ahead vs level -0.18 · Behind vs level +0.28

Nantes

No pressure profile yet.

Lorient

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%1.291.391.681.371.46
3-4-34 12%1.751.750.51.680.99
5-4-12 6%1.01.01.00.410.96

Nantes

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 30%0.91.22.11.081.94
4-1-4-110 30%0.50.51.10.91.38
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.672.01.071.2
5-3-23 9%0.00.01.670.771.19
4-2-3-12 6%1.52.01.02.41.5

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 50% P 50%3.4Draw 28% P 28%4.33Away 22% P 22%

Double Chance

1.2Lorient or Draw 39% P 39%1.3Lorient or Nantes 36% P 36%1.9Draw or Nantes 25% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 50%1.9No 50% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home50%51%55%+3.6
Draw28%27%26%-1.4
Away22%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Bastien Dechepy

Career
99 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.14 (3.87 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
25.1 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 82 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.34.06+0.4276
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.23
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.33 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.36+0.5072
Time added6.56.7-0.0636
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.21

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-17 70 390 14'5
2025-12-13 40 261 45'7
2025-11-30 30 261 44'8
2025-11-08 31 342 45'10
2025-10-29 60 211 35'8
2025-10-18 31 291 34'11
2025-09-28 61 250 1'7
2025-09-14 31 211 23'9
2025-08-24 · Nantes 40 200 22'9
2025-08-07 40 250 53'8