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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 20
NiceNice
2–2
FT
BrestBrest

Momentum

– NiceBrest –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Allianz Riviera, Nice
Capacity
36,178
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,757

Teams

Coaches
Claude Puel · Eric Roy
Position
14 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Stéphanie Frappart

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
10.7° (feels 9.9°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
81%

Where to watch · 193

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nice

DLWWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 8.91–8.56 · xPts 7.09

  • L A Ludogorets 0–1 xG 0.99–1.13 UEFA EL
  • W A Nantes 4–1 xG 1.21–1.7 FRA L1
  • W H Go Ahead Eagles 3–1 xG 2.56–2.19 UEFA EL
  • L A Toulouse 1–5 xG 2.21–2.32 FRA L1
  • D H Strasbourg 1–1 xG 1.93–1.22 FRA L1

Brest

WLWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 4.77–5.53 · xPts 6.26

  • L H Toulouse 0–2 xG 0.9–0.43 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 1–2 xG 0.46–1.7 FRA L1
  • W H Auxerre 2–0 xG 1.79–1.34 FRA L1
  • L A Rennes 1–3 xG 0.84–1.24 FRA L1
  • W H Monaco 1–0 xG 0.77–0.82 FRA L1

All meetings · 20 matches since 2010

Nice 88 draws4 Brest

Goals 28–18 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 35% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Nice 53 draws2 Brest

Goals 16–8 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Nice 22 draws1 Brest

Goals 10–6 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Nice 2–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 4–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 6–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 0–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Brest 0–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 0–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 1–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 1–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 0–3 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 2–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNice all · 34Nice at home · 17Brest all · 34Brest away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.181.150.76
W / D / L7 / 11 / 164 / 8 / 510 / 9 / 153 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.091.121.260.88
Goals against / match1.761.591.621.88
Clean sheets18%24%26%12%
Failed to score32%35%32%41%
Both teams scored59%53%47%47%
Over 2.550%41%50%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.381.290.91
xG against / match1.711.651.541.66
xG difference-0.47-0.27-0.25-0.75
Finishing vs xG-0.15-0.26-0.03-0.02
xPts / match1.121.261.280.95
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.09-0.13-0.19
Game state
Scored first38%35%47%35%
PPG when scoring first1.852.331.941.33
PPG when conceding first0.280.440.380.45
Came back from behind24%44%21%23%
Leads held54%67%56%38%
Minutes leading20%25%24%15%
Minutes level48%49%44%45%
Minutes trailing32%26%32%41%
First goal (min)42423547
First goal conceded (min)38383338
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%58%49%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%52%51%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.180.240.24
Late goals against0.350.410.320.47
Style
Possession46%46%43%42%
Shots11.213.011.28.6
On target3.94.43.52.5
Shot conversion10%9%11%10%
Shots inside box65%63%63%63%
Big chances created2.73.22.21.5
Corners5.15.53.93.1
xG from set plays27%27%36%42%
Goals from headers11%16%21%13%
Pressure index9.09.68.16.1
Dominant minutes40.942.636.732.6
Pass accuracy82%82%78%78%
Fouls12.412.212.712.9
Cards2.122.001.851.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Brest

0–15'98
16–30'612
31–45'77
46–60'86
61–75'511
76–90'811

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.082

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.413
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.262
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.424
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.303

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-5-23 9%0.330.671.671.421.86

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.421.381.421.351.38
4-3-35 15%0.21.02.21.512.04
4-1-4-12 6%0.51.53.50.512.69
4-2-2-21 3%0.00.02.00.90.43
4-4-21 3%3.02.00.01.791.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 42%3.3Draw 29% P 28%3.3Away 29% P 30%

Double Chance

1.33Nice or Draw 35% P 35%1.33Nice or Brest 35% P 36%1.57Draw or Brest 30% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 59%2.2No 42% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 54%2.0Under 47% P 46%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%41%42%+0.5
Draw28%30%27%-2.4
Away30%29%31%+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Stéphanie Frappart

Career
125 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.19 (3.99 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
24.5 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 76 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.214.06+0.2468
Fouls / match24.724.3+0.29
Fouls per card6.06.0-0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.250.36-1.0812
Time added6.76.7+0.0940
First card
28' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-18 50 320 33'13
2025-12-12 30 301 24'8
2025-12-06 60 340 28'5
2025-11-09 · Nice 60 311 21'8
2025-10-25 60 211 22'8
2025-09-21 10 211 43'10
2025-08-30 40 240 43'7
2025-05-17 40 231 12'7
2025-04-27 · Brest 50 300 36'9
2025-04-13 50 201 2'2