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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 20

Momentum

ToulouseAuxerre
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Capacity
33,150
Attendance
23,704

Teams

Coaches
Carles Martínez Novell · Christophe Pélissier
Position
8 · 17
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Romain Lissorgue

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
11.1° (feels 10.5°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
87%

Where to watch · 190

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Toulouse

WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 4 · xG 6.34–6.0 · xPts 6.97

  • W A Brest 2–0 xG 0.43–0.9 FRA L1
  • W H Nice 5–1 xG 2.32–2.21 FRA L1
  • L H Lens 0–3 xG 0.92–1.91 FRA L1
  • W A Paris 3–0 xG 2.14–0.87 FRA L1
  • W H Strasbourg 1–0 xG 0.53–0.11 FRA L1

Auxerre

WLLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 7.03–7.0 · xPts 6.84

  • L H Paris Saint Germain 0–1 xG 0.51–1.49 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 0–1 xG 0.52–2.32 FRA L1
  • L A Brest 0–2 xG 1.34–1.79 FRA L1
  • L H LOSC Lille 3–4 xG 2.73–0.8 FRA L1
  • W H Metz 3–1 xG 1.94–0.6 FRA L1

All meetings · 20 matches since 2005

Toulouse 85 draws7 Auxerre

Goals 22–17 · 1.95 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 20%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Toulouse 43 draws3 Auxerre

Goals 13–8 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Toulouse 13 draws1 Auxerre

Goals 5–4 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Toulouse 0–0 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Auxerre 1–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Auxerre 2–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 2–0 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Toulouse 1–1 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Auxerre 0–5 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 1–0 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Auxerre 2–0 Toulouse neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Toulouse 0–1 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Auxerre 1–2 Toulouse neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricToulouse all · 33Toulouse at home · 17Auxerre all · 34Auxerre away · 17
Results
Matches33173417
Points per game1.331.411.000.71
W / D / L12 / 8 / 136 / 6 / 58 / 10 / 162 / 6 / 9
Goals for / match1.421.471.000.94
Goals against / match1.391.411.291.59
Clean sheets27%35%26%12%
Failed to score30%35%47%47%
Both teams scored48%41%41%47%
Over 2.554%53%44%41%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.381.631.120.98
xG against / match1.261.151.371.57
xG difference0.120.48-0.25-0.59
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.16-0.12-0.04
xPts / match1.471.681.231.04
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.27-0.23-0.34
Game state
Scored first39%35%32%35%
PPG when scoring first2.383.002.271.67
PPG when conceding first0.610.440.220.10
Came back from behind38%44%16%18%
Leads held80%100%62%33%
Minutes leading24%24%18%15%
Minutes level45%43%57%56%
Minutes trailing31%33%25%29%
First goal (min)41423119
First goal conceded (min)40353940
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%72%50%31%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%54%54%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.480.590.180.24
Late goals against0.300.240.350.29
Style
Possession42%43%44%44%
Shots12.814.710.79.9
On target4.34.83.53.2
Shot conversion11%10%9%10%
Shots inside box65%68%65%63%
Big chances created1.92.11.71.6
Corners4.55.14.84.1
xG from set plays38%38%31%24%
Goals from headers15%8%18%13%
Pressure index8.69.58.16.7
Dominant minutes38.240.839.235.4
Pass accuracy80%82%80%80%
Fouls14.413.913.714.1
Cards2.582.182.292.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Toulouse

0–15'95
16–30'49
31–45'78
46–60'58
61–75'66
76–90'1610

Auxerre

0–15'65
16–30'49
31–45'76
46–60'38
61–75'84
76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Toulouse · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when level +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)+0.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.182

Game state

When level+0.354
When behind+0.033
10 min after conceding-0.264
10 min after scoring+0.402

Situations

At home+0.422
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.422
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.063

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.044
Conceded late (76+)+0.104

Ahead vs level -0.73 · Behind vs level -0.32

Auxerre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.00) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.004
Early press (0-15, level)+0.074
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.443

Game state

When level-0.114
When behind+0.133
10 min after conceding+0.043
10 min after scoring+0.074

Situations

At home-0.012
Away+0.012
4+ days rest+0.004

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.012
v bottom-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog+0.012

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.094

Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level +0.24

Toulouse

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 70%1.01.041.391.251.2
3-4-39 27%2.332.220.891.611.24
5-4-11 3%0.03.06.02.362.75

Auxerre

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 9 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-312 35%1.331.251.331.451.19
5-4-19 26%0.780.671.220.881.32
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.41.20.861.56
4-4-22 6%1.01.01.01.231.29
4-4-1-12 6%1.51.50.51.280.59

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.75Home 54% P 54%3.5Draw 27% P 27%5.0Away 19% P 19%

Double Chance

1.16Toulouse or Draw 40% P 40%1.28Toulouse or Auxerre 36% P 36%2.0Draw or Auxerre 23% P 23%

Draw No Bet

1.281 73%3.52 27%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 45%1.7No 55% P 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 42%1.61Under 59% P 58%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49% P 47%1.8Under 51% P 53%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 17.5–20% · 551 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home54%54%52%-1.7
Draw27%27%27%+0.4
Away19%19%20%+1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes45%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

Romain Lissorgue

Career
60 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.05 (3.7 yellow · 0.25 red)
Fouls / match
26.0 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.42
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 54 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.24.06+0.2264
Fouls / match26.324.3+1.11
Fouls per card6.46.0+0.45 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.460.36+0.9492
Time added7.16.7+0.3764
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 24% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.43

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-18 21 270 19'9
2025-12-13 30 200 16'10
2025-11-30 30 180 27'10
2025-11-08 60 280 22'8
2025-09-13 · Auxerre 91 310 38'10
2025-08-30 60 321 28'10
2025-08-16 50 330 34'9
2025-07-15 61 260 34'4
2025-05-04 30 320 13'12
2025-04-06 50 341 19'9