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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 21

Momentum

MetzLOSC Lille
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Stade Saint-Symphorien, Longeville-lès-Metz
Capacity
28,786
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,378

Teams

Coaches
Benoit Tavenot · Bruno Génésio
Position
18 · 5
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Guillaume Paradis

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
8.6° (feels 5.8°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
93%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Metz

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 12 · xG 4.08–7.55 · xPts 4.44

  • L A Angers SCO 0–1 xG 0.53–1.41 FRA L1
  • L H Olympique Lyonnais 2–5 xG 1.27–2.45 FRA L1
  • L A Strasbourg 1–2 xG 1.11–0.87 FRA L1
  • D A Lorient 1–1 xG 0.48–1.27 FRA L1
  • L H Paris Saint Germain 2–3 xG 0.69–1.55 FRA L1

LOSC Lille

LLLWL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 10 · xG 6.53–5.46 · xPts 7.88

  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 0–1 xG 0.64–0.39 FRA L1
  • W H SC Freiburg 1–0 xG 1.32–0.31 UEFA EL
  • L H Strasbourg 1–4 xG 1.96–3.0 FRA L1
  • L A Celta de Vigo 1–2 xG 1.76–0.63 UEFA EL
  • L A Paris Saint Germain 0–3 xG 0.86–1.13 FRA L1

All meetings · 19 matches since 2005

Metz 26 draws11 LOSC Lille

Goals 15–36 · 2.68 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 47%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Metz 04 draws6 LOSC Lille

Goals 6–19 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Metz 02 draws3 LOSC Lille

Goals 2–10 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Metz 0–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 6–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 1–2 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 2–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 0–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Metz 3–3 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 0–2 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 1–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 0–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 3–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricMetz all · 34Metz at home · 17LOSC Lille all · 34LOSC Lille away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.500.591.791.88
W / D / L3 / 8 / 232 / 4 / 1118 / 7 / 910 / 2 / 5
Goals for / match0.940.881.531.65
Goals against / match2.241.881.091.18
Clean sheets21%24%38%41%
Failed to score44%47%29%35%
Both teams scored50%47%38%29%
Over 2.562%53%38%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.001.161.581.46
xG against / match1.771.411.041.20
xG difference-0.77-0.250.540.26
Finishing vs xG-0.06-0.28-0.050.19
xPts / match0.931.211.711.52
Points vs xPts-0.43-0.620.090.36
Game state
Scored first21%18%53%59%
PPG when scoring first1.141.332.672.80
PPG when conceding first0.180.270.790.50
Came back from behind8%8%40%29%
Leads held38%50%86%91%
Minutes leading6%6%26%34%
Minutes level52%58%52%45%
Minutes trailing42%35%22%21%
First goal (min)42484834
First goal conceded (min)31394440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%60%71%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%56%62%60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.350.680.71
Late goals against0.710.710.210.18
Style
Possession49%50%56%55%
Shots10.111.813.612.4
On target3.23.84.64.5
Shot conversion9%8%11%13%
Shots inside box62%61%70%66%
Big chances created1.41.82.82.4
Corners4.24.95.75.1
xG from set plays33%31%30%30%
Goals from headers16%13%10%11%
Pressure index8.710.115.214.5
Dominant minutes40.346.861.459.8
Pass accuracy85%86%85%85%
Fouls11.411.510.710.9
Cards1.761.472.412.76

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Metz

0–15'412
16–30'49
31–45'613
46–60'59
61–75'29
76–90'1124

LOSC Lille

0–15'53
16–30'54
31–45'57
46–60'99
61–75'57
76–90'237

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Metz

No pressure profile yet.

LOSC Lille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26

Metz

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 56%0.581.112.051.041.7
3-4-2-15 15%0.20.42.60.771.98
4-3-34 12%0.250.753.01.022.05
4-1-4-13 9%1.00.671.331.421.38
5-3-22 6%0.00.02.00.321.82

LOSC Lille

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%1.931.550.91.580.98
4-3-32 6%0.50.52.00.861.28
4-3-1-21 3%1.01.01.00.640.59
4-4-21 3%3.04.02.03.730.93
5-4-11 3%0.01.04.01.963.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

6.5Home 15% P 16%4.33Draw 22% P 22%1.5Away 63% P 63%

Double Chance

2.5Metz or Draw 19% P 19%1.2Metz or Lille 39% P 39%1.12Draw or Lille 42% P 42%

Draw No Bet

4.51 21%1.182 79%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 48%1.8No 52% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 62.5–65% · 188 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home16%16%17%+1.1
Draw22%21%26%+4.9
Away63%63%57%-6.0

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Guillaume Paradis

Career
17 matches · 2 seasons
Cards / match
3.94 (3.82 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
24.5 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.06
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.824.06-0.5520
Fouls / match24.524.3+0.15
Fouls per card6.46.0+0.49 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.060.36-2.900
Time added8.96.7+1.6696
First card
30' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 25% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-25 50 320 15'9
2026-01-04 · Metz 30 170 45'8
2025-11-30 20 180 48'8
2025-11-07 60 220 57'5
2025-10-25 70 330 18'17
2025-10-05 40 230 6'7
2025-09-28 · Metz 40 320 30'9
2025-09-13 20 300 44'11
2025-08-24 40 331 7'9