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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 21

Momentum

NantesLYO
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, Nantes
Capacity
37,473
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,849

Teams

Coaches
Ahmed Kantari · Paulo Rodrigues Fonseca
Position
16 · 4
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Mathieu Vernice

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
7.3° (feels 4.8°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
98%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nantes

LWLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 12 · xG 6.09–5.77 · xPts 7.05

  • L A Lorient 1–2 xG 0.9–0.62 FRA L1
  • L H Nice 1–4 xG 1.7–1.21 FRA L1
  • L H Paris 1–2 xG 0.36–0.58 FRA L1
  • W A Olympique Marseille 2–0 xG 2.76–0.68 FRA L1
  • L A Angers SCO 1–4 xG 0.38–2.68 FRA L1

Olympique Lyonnais

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 13 GA 5 · xG 8.02–3.97 · xPts 9.19

  • W H LOSC Lille 1–0 xG 0.39–0.64 FRA L1
  • W H PAOK 4–2 xG 2.56–0.6 UEFA EL
  • W A Metz 5–2 xG 2.45–1.27 FRA L1
  • W A Young Boys 1–0 xG 0.92–0.99 UEFA EL
  • W H Brest 2–1 xG 1.7–0.46 FRA L1

All meetings · 31 matches since 2005

Nantes 37 draws21 Olympique Lyonnais

Goals 20–57 · 2.48 per match · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 48%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Nantes 03 draws7 Olympique Lyonnais

Goals 5–16 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Nantes 01 draws4 Olympique Lyonnais

Goals 2–10 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Nantes 0–1 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Lyonnais 3–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 1–1 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Lyonnais 2–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 1–3 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Lyonnais 1–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Lyonnais 1–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 0–0 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Lyonnais 3–2 Nantes neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 0–1 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNantes all · 33Nantes at home · 16Olympique Lyonnais all · 34Olympique Lyonnais away · 17
Results
Matches33163417
Points per game0.700.751.761.35
W / D / L5 / 8 / 203 / 3 / 1018 / 6 / 106 / 5 / 6
Goals for / match0.881.131.561.35
Goals against / match1.581.691.181.29
Clean sheets21%19%44%41%
Failed to score42%31%18%29%
Both teams scored46%50%50%53%
Over 2.546%44%56%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.101.221.541.29
xG against / match1.491.401.391.53
xG difference-0.38-0.190.15-0.24
Finishing vs xG-0.22-0.090.020.06
xPts / match1.131.271.471.24
Points vs xPts-0.44-0.520.300.12
Game state
Scored first27%31%62%53%
PPG when scoring first2.002.002.332.11
PPG when conceding first0.100.180.780.00
Came back from behind9%17%23%0%
Leads held56%60%78%67%
Minutes leading19%25%36%38%
Minutes level50%40%50%45%
Minutes trailing30%36%14%17%
First goal (min)37353727
First goal conceded (min)43394646
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%50%49%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%62%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.190.260.24
Late goals against0.580.630.440.59
Style
Possession42%44%55%53%
Shots11.312.112.311.0
On target3.33.54.74.6
Shot conversion8%9%13%12%
Shots inside box65%63%68%67%
Big chances created1.82.12.72.3
Corners3.74.05.95.2
xG from set plays36%34%26%27%
Goals from headers14%11%17%22%
Pressure index8.28.314.511.2
Dominant minutes36.237.353.448.8
Pass accuracy78%78%85%84%
Fouls12.712.513.012.7
Cards2.122.062.152.47

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nantes

0–15'66
16–30'18
31–45'98
46–60'57
61–75'34
76–90'519

Olympique Lyonnais

0–15'63
16–30'93
31–45'129
46–60'105
61–75'75
76–90'915

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nantes

No pressure profile yet.

Olympique Lyonnais · 8 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.42

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.028
Early press (0-15, level)-0.128
Late push (76+, level)-0.353
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.342

Game state

When ahead+0.155
When level-0.128
When behind-0.052
10 min after conceding-0.145
10 min after scoring+0.427

Situations

At home+0.094
Away-0.134
4+ days rest-0.017

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.032
v mid-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents+0.112
As favourite+0.094
Evenly matched-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.008
Conceded when ahead-0.115
Conceded late (76+)-0.327

Congested vs rested -0.06 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.07

Nantes

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-110 30%0.50.51.10.91.38
4-3-310 30%0.91.22.11.081.94
5-3-23 9%0.00.01.670.771.19
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.672.01.071.2
4-2-3-12 6%1.52.01.02.41.5

Olympique Lyonnais

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.351.411.291.621.38
4-3-37 21%2.571.290.711.251.15
4-3-1-24 12%1.51.752.251.461.94
3-4-2-13 9%2.01.670.331.611.37
4-1-4-12 6%2.01.50.51.571.37

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.75Home 20% P 20%3.75Draw 25% P 25%1.75Away 54% P 55%

Double Chance

2.0Nantes or Draw 23% P 22%1.28Nantes or Lyon 37% P 37%1.18Draw or Lyon 40% P 40%

Draw No Bet

3.51 27%1.282 73%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 51%1.8No 52% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 49%1.72Under 55% P 51%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 52.5–55% · 365 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home20%21%23%+1.8
Draw25%25%25%-0.3
Away55%54%52%-1.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Mathieu Vernice

Career
66 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.64 (4.29 yellow · 0.23 red)
Fouls / match
26.9 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 61 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.06+0.8788
Fouls / match26.924.3+1.43
Fouls per card6.06.0+0.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.460.36+0.9188
Time added7.36.7+0.5280
First card
29' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-23 10 220 72'4
2026-01-02 51 320 23'10
2025-12-07 · Olympique Lyonnais 61 330 37'7
2025-11-22 30 180 32'5
2025-09-28 · Olympique Lyonnais 80 440 43'14
2025-09-20 · Nantes 40 322 6'8
2025-08-17 40 290 31'9
2025-07-24 90 300 11'8
2025-05-10 20 252 39'3
2025-04-27 81 250 43'9