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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 21
NiceNice
0–0
FT
MonacoMonaco

Momentum

– NiceMonaco –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Allianz Riviera, Nice
Capacity
36,178
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,243

Teams

Coaches
Claude Puel · Sebastien Pocognoli
Position
13 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Benoît Bastien

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
9.6° (feels 8.5°)
Wind
3.7
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 196

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nice

LWWLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 10 · xG 8.08–8.98 · xPts 6.26

  • D H Brest 2–2 xG 1.1–1.65 FRA L1
  • L A Ludogorets 0–1 xG 0.99–1.13 UEFA EL
  • W A Nantes 4–1 xG 1.21–1.7 FRA L1
  • W H Go Ahead Eagles 3–1 xG 2.56–2.19 UEFA EL
  • L A Toulouse 1–5 xG 2.21–2.32 FRA L1

Monaco

LLDDW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 6.09–5.8 · xPts 7.45

  • W H Rennes 4–0 xG 1.92–0.74 FRA L1
  • D H Juventus 0–0 xG 0.53–0.28 UEFA CL
  • D A Le Havre 0–0 xG 0.64–0.24 FRA L1
  • L A Real Madrid 1–6 xG 1.79–3.46 UEFA CL
  • L H Lorient 1–3 xG 1.21–1.07 FRA L1

All meetings · 38 matches since 2005

Nice 1111 draws16 Monaco

Goals 46–48 · 2.47 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 53%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Nice 33 draws4 Monaco

Goals 13–12 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Nice 12 draws2 Monaco

Goals 7–8 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Nice 0–0 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Monaco 2–2 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 2–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 2–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 2–3 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 0–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 0–3 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 0–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 1–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 2–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNice all · 34Nice at home · 17Monaco all · 34Monaco away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.181.591.29
W / D / L7 / 11 / 164 / 8 / 516 / 6 / 126 / 4 / 7
Goals for / match1.091.121.761.59
Goals against / match1.761.591.591.82
Clean sheets18%24%21%12%
Failed to score32%35%21%29%
Both teams scored59%53%65%71%
Over 2.550%41%65%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.381.631.50
xG against / match1.711.651.431.65
xG difference-0.47-0.270.20-0.15
Finishing vs xG-0.15-0.260.140.09
xPts / match1.121.261.491.30
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.090.10-0.01
Game state
Scored first38%35%44%35%
PPG when scoring first1.852.332.531.83
PPG when conceding first0.280.440.821.00
Came back from behind24%44%33%30%
Leads held54%67%84%67%
Minutes leading20%25%28%22%
Minutes level48%49%51%54%
Minutes trailing32%26%21%25%
First goal (min)42424347
First goal conceded (min)38384747
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%58%63%63%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%52%61%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.180.350.29
Late goals against0.350.410.410.53
Style
Possession46%46%54%53%
Shots11.213.012.512.9
On target3.94.44.44.4
Shot conversion10%9%14%12%
Shots inside box65%63%73%73%
Big chances created2.73.23.02.8
Corners5.15.55.15.2
xG from set plays27%27%25%24%
Goals from headers11%16%12%11%
Pressure index9.09.612.311.3
Dominant minutes40.942.650.047.4
Pass accuracy82%82%83%83%
Fouls12.412.213.013.2
Cards2.122.002.442.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Monaco

0–15'55
16–30'76
31–45'1010
46–60'127
61–75'1412
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.082

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.413
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.262
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Monaco · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.037
Early press (0-15, level)+0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.162

Game state

When ahead-0.096
When level+0.037
When behind+0.122
10 min after conceding-0.434
10 min after scoring+0.267

Situations

At home-0.113
Away+0.024
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.025

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.223
As favourite-0.044
Evenly matched+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.196
Conceded late (76+)+0.106

Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.09

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-4-33 9%1.332.03.01.23.1

Monaco

Current: unbeaten 7 · wins 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 41%1.571.641.291.471.31
4-2-3-17 21%1.861.711.141.731.2
3-1-4-23 9%2.03.03.02.472.15
3-4-1-22 6%3.02.51.02.081.55
4-2-2-22 6%0.50.51.50.920.66

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.5Home 27% P 29%3.8Draw 25% P 25%2.0Away 48% P 46%

Double Chance

1.7Nice or Draw 28% P 27%1.25Nice or Monaco 38% P 38%1.36Draw or Monaco 35% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.371 39%1.532 61%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65% P 66%2.62No 35% P 34%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 64% P 64%2.62Under 36% P 36%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 45–47.5% · 218 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home29%28%34%+6.0
Draw25%26%22%-3.6
Away46%46%44%-2.4

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 65–67.5% · 319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes66%66%66%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.564%64%63%-0.4

Benoît Bastien

Career
347 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.264.06+0.3472
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.19
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.30 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.1652
Time added7.36.7+0.5280
First card
31' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-28 50 231 27'8
2026-01-24 40 340 37'6
2026-01-04 10 111 49'9
2025-12-09 60 252 13'5
2025-12-06 20 211 83'8
2025-11-09 81 180 35'10
2025-11-05 40 272 4'7
2025-11-01 72 260 26'9
2025-10-26 10 201 75'13
2025-10-05 20 230 45'6