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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 21

Momentum

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now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Parc des Princes, Paris
Capacity
48,583
Surface
grass
Attendance
47,926

Teams

Coaches
Luis Enrique · Roberto De Zerbi
Position
2 · 4
Formation
4-3-3 · 5-4-1

Referee

Willy Delajod

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
7.7° (feels 6.5°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
85%

Where to watch · 338

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Paris Saint Germain

WLWDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 8.57–5.41 · xPts 8.89

  • W A Strasbourg 2–1 xG 1.11–2.09 FRA L1
  • D H Newcastle United 1–1 xG 3.09–1.16 UEFA CL
  • W A Auxerre 1–0 xG 1.49–0.51 FRA L1
  • L A Sporting CP 1–2 xG 1.75–0.8 UEFA CL
  • W H LOSC Lille 3–0 xG 1.13–0.86 FRA L1

Olympique Marseille

WLWLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 11 · xG 7.87–5.56 · xPts 8.23

  • D A Paris 2–2 xG 2.61–1.4 FRA L1
  • L A Club Brugge 0–3 xG 1.11–1.15 UEFA CL
  • W H Lens 3–1 xG 0.91–0.49 FRA L1
  • L H Liverpool 0–3 xG 0.9–1.56 UEFA CL
  • W A Angers SCO 5–2 xG 2.35–0.96 FRA L1

All meetings · 41 matches since 2005

Paris Saint Germain 247 draws10 Olympique Marseille

Goals 75–39 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 61%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Paris Saint Germain 81 draws1 Olympique Marseille

Goals 23–3 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Paris Saint Germain 40 draws1 Olympique Marseille

Goals 13–2 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Paris Saint Germain 5–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 1–0 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 0–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 0–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 4–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 0–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Olympique Marseille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Olympique Marseille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 0–0 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricParis Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain at home · 17Olympique Marseille all · 34Olympique Marseille away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.242.411.741.29
W / D / L24 / 4 / 613 / 2 / 218 / 5 / 117 / 1 / 9
Goals for / match2.182.411.851.29
Goals against / match0.850.711.321.47
Clean sheets53%65%26%24%
Failed to score6%0%24%41%
Both teams scored41%35%50%35%
Over 2.562%71%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.992.251.701.61
xG against / match0.980.801.201.35
xG difference1.011.450.490.25
Finishing vs xG0.180.160.16-0.31
xPts / match1.992.241.691.55
Points vs xPts0.250.180.04-0.26
Game state
Scored first85%88%59%47%
PPG when scoring first2.622.732.402.38
PPG when conceding first0.000.000.790.33
Came back from behind14%33%31%10%
Leads held83%87%72%78%
Minutes leading44%50%38%28%
Minutes level45%38%41%43%
Minutes trailing11%12%21%29%
First goal (min)38363638
First goal conceded (min)38254647
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%58%59%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%42%69%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.530.590.500.29
Late goals against0.240.060.440.29
Style
Possession69%69%57%56%
Shots17.720.215.114.4
On target6.77.05.75.1
Shot conversion12%12%12%9%
Shots inside box63%61%64%64%
Big chances created3.73.53.02.6
Corners6.47.55.24.8
xG from set plays29%31%26%26%
Goals from headers15%12%10%4%
Pressure index27.430.317.615.8
Dominant minutes73.077.258.355.6
Pass accuracy91%91%87%87%
Fouls9.19.512.712.5
Cards1.181.242.532.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Olympique Marseille

0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.675

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%2.172.441.171.91.23
3-4-2-19 26%1.441.671.441.521.09
3-4-1-22 6%1.51.01.01.310.95
3-5-1-11 3%1.01.01.01.811.38
3-2-4-11 3%0.00.01.02.280.97

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.44Home 65% P 67%5.0Draw 19% P 18%6.0Away 16% P 15%

Double Chance

1.12PSG or Draw 42% P 42%1.16PSG or Marseille 40% P 41%2.62Draw or Marseille 18% P 17%

Draw No Bet

1.161 81%5.02 19%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 60%2.25No 41% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 68%2.75Under 34% P 32%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 57%1.9Under 49% P 43%
4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home67%66%69%+3.3
Draw18%20%20%-0.7
Away15%14%11%-2.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.568%69%69%+0.6

Willy Delajod

Career
170 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.05 (3.76 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.43
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.984.06-0.2336
Fouls / match24.824.3+0.33
Fouls per card6.36.0+0.38 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.36+0.4868
Time added6.96.7+0.2352
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-29 20 160 52'6
2026-01-25 40 240 36'6
2026-01-16 10 250 70'6
2025-12-14 20 300 10'5
2025-12-11 11 180 14'4
2025-11-30 41 280 45'10
2025-11-08 · Olympique Marseille 10 221 37'7
2025-10-29 · Paris Saint Germain 20 180 68'8
2025-10-23 30 150 8'9
2025-10-05 41 193 24'16